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IonoBench

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Updated model files and readme

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  1. README.md +11 -15
  2. training_sessions/DCNN/files.json +1 -1
  3. training_sessions/DCNN/testing_info_2025-04-11_19-06-56.txt +0 -390
  4. training_sessions/DCNN/testing_info_2025-06-07_18-00-01.txt +390 -0
  5. training_sessions/SimVPv2/files.json +1 -2
  6. training_sessions/SimVPv2/testing_info_2025-03-31_18-42-13(ChronovsStrat).txt +0 -26
  7. training_sessions/SimVPv2/testing_info_2025-04-14_21-33-16.txt +0 -392
  8. training_sessions/SimVPv2/testing_info_2025-06-08_14-22-28.txt +514 -0
  9. training_sessions/SimVPv2_Chrono/files.json +1 -1
  10. training_sessions/SimVPv2_Chrono/testing_info_2025-04-12_17-17-53.txt +0 -31
  11. training_sessions/SimVPv2_Chrono/testing_info_2025-06-08_15-34-43.txt +18 -0
  12. training_sessions/SwinLSTM/files.json +1 -1
  13. training_sessions/SwinLSTM/testing_info_2025-04-11_19-00-08.txt +0 -390
  14. training_sessions/SwinLSTM/testing_info_2025-06-08_14-00-32.txt +390 -0
README.md CHANGED
@@ -1,32 +1,28 @@
1
  ---
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  license: cc-by-4.0
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  ---
 
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- # IonoBench: Evaluating Spatiotemporal Models for IonosphericForecasting under Solar-Balanced and Storm-Aware Conditions (Under Review)
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-
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-
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- This repository stores the **IonoBenchv1 Evaluation Framework: Benchmarked Models** with trained weights, logs, and configs for various models used in the IonoBenchv1 Evalution Framework.
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- Current config files are old version. The config structure is getting changed during review to handle easy CLI commands.
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- After publication it is going to be fully usable.
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-
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  ## Models
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- Ex:
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- - **Checkpoint**: [`SimVP/model_best.pth`](SimVP_AllFeatures/model_best.pth)
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- - **Config**: [`config.yaml`](SimVP_AllFeatures/config.yaml)
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- - **Logs**: [`training_log.txt`](SimVP_AllFeatures/training_log.txt)
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- - **Test Results**: See `testing_info_*.txt`
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  ## Notes
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- - Please check config files to see training details and used dataset (Stratified or Chronological)
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- - For further information on the benchmark framework, experimental setup, and evaluation strategy, see the related paper: (will be added)
 
 
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  ## References
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  - **SimVPv2**: Tan et al., 2024. [arXiv:2211.12509](https://arxiv.org/abs/2211.12509)
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  - **SwinLSTM**: Tang et al., 2023. [arXiv:2308.09891](https://arxiv.org/abs/2308.09891)
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  - **DCNN121**: Boulch et al., 2018. [arXiv:1810.13273](https://arxiv.org/abs/1810.13273)
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- - **OpenSTL**: Tan et al., 2023. [arXiv:2306.11249](https://arxiv.org/abs/2306.11249)
 
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  ---
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  license: cc-by-4.0
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  ---
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+ # IonoBench Benchmark Models
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+ This repository stores trained weights, logs, and configs for various models used in the IonoBenchv1 Evalution Framework.
 
 
 
 
 
 
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  ## Models
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+ Includes:
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+ - **Best Checkpoint**: [`MODEL_NAME_SessionNAME_best_checkpoint_yyyymmdd_hhmm.pth`](SimVP_AllFeatures/model_best.pth)
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+ - **Training Logs**: [`MODEL_NAME_SessionNAME_lrxx_bsxx_yyyymmdd_hhmm.pth`](SimVP_AllFeatures/training_log.txt)
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+ - **Test Results**: See `testing_info_yyyy-mm-dd_hh-mm.txt`
 
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  ## Notes
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+ - For your reference old config files added used for training.
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+ - For further information on the benchmark framework, experimental setup, and evaluation strategy, see the related paper:
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+ - Turkmen, M.C., Lee, Y.H., Tan, E.L.
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+ *IonoBench: A Framework for Benchmarking Spatiotemporal Ionospheric Forecasting Models under Solar-Balanced and Storm-Aware Conditions.* (in review)
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  ## References
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  - **SimVPv2**: Tan et al., 2024. [arXiv:2211.12509](https://arxiv.org/abs/2211.12509)
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  - **SwinLSTM**: Tang et al., 2023. [arXiv:2308.09891](https://arxiv.org/abs/2308.09891)
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  - **DCNN121**: Boulch et al., 2018. [arXiv:1810.13273](https://arxiv.org/abs/1810.13273)
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+ - **OpenSTL**: Tan et al., 2023. [arXiv:2306.11249](https://arxiv.org/abs/2306.11249)
training_sessions/DCNN/files.json CHANGED
@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
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  [
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  "DCNN_in12_out12_best_checkpoint_20250410_0940.pth",
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  "DCNN_in12_out12_lr0.0001_bs32_20250410_0940.txt",
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- "testing_info_2025-04-11_19-06-56.txt"
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  ]
 
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  [
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  "DCNN_in12_out12_best_checkpoint_20250410_0940.pth",
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  "DCNN_in12_out12_lr0.0001_bs32_20250410_0940.txt",
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+ "testing_info_2025-06-07_18-00-01.txt"
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  ]
training_sessions/DCNN/testing_info_2025-04-11_19-06-56.txt DELETED
@@ -1,390 +0,0 @@
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- Testing Session Information
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- ========================================================================================================================
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- Session name: DCNN_in12_out12
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- Testing Session Start Time: 2025-04-11_19-06-56
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- Inputs: ['F10.7', 'Dst', 'ap', 'AE', 'pc', 'SW Temp', 'SW Density', 'SW Speed', 'SW Long Angle', 'SW Lat Angle', 'Flow Pressure', 'E Field', 'Scalar B', 'BZ (GSM)', 'Year', 'Day of Year', 'Hour']
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-
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- Overall Metrics:
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- RMSE(TECU): 2.5172 ± 1.8042
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- R²: 0.9504 ± 0.0229
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- SSIM: 0.8411 ± 0.0491
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-
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- Per-Horizon Metrics:
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- RMSE per step: [np.float32(1.5711), np.float32(2.2907), np.float32(2.5608), np.float32(2.6547), np.float32(2.6415), np.float32(2.6742), np.float32(2.7192), np.float32(2.7359), np.float32(2.707), np.float32(2.7265), np.float32(2.7471), np.float32(2.7401)]
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- RMSE_std per step: [np.float32(0.8091), np.float32(1.2421), np.float32(1.5097), np.float32(1.6835), np.float32(1.7431), np.float32(1.7998), np.float32(1.8398), np.float32(1.878), np.float32(1.8773), np.float32(1.8907), np.float32(1.9026), np.float32(1.9311)]
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- R² per step: [np.float64(0.9793), np.float64(0.9566), np.float64(0.9491), np.float64(0.9473), np.float64(0.948), np.float64(0.9472), np.float64(0.9465), np.float64(0.9458), np.float64(0.9461), np.float64(0.9454), np.float64(0.9457), np.float64(0.9464)]
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- R²_std per step: [np.float64(0.0105), np.float64(0.022), np.float64(0.0262), np.float64(0.0297), np.float64(0.0318), np.float64(0.0318), np.float64(0.032), np.float64(0.0345), np.float64(0.0357), np.float64(0.0346), np.float64(0.0342), np.float64(0.0357)]
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- SSIM per step: [np.float64(0.9282), np.float64(0.8837), np.float64(0.8763), np.float64(0.8766), np.float64(0.8762), np.float64(0.8732), np.float64(0.8726), np.float64(0.8741), np.float64(0.8738), np.float64(0.8708), np.float64(0.8721), np.float64(0.8776)]
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- SSIM_std per step: [np.float64(0.0263), np.float64(0.0364), np.float64(0.0378), np.float64(0.0391), np.float64(0.0403), np.float64(0.0412), np.float64(0.0406), np.float64(0.0407), np.float64(0.0412), np.float64(0.0415), np.float64(0.0403), np.float64(0.0393)]
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-
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- very_weak:
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- Overall Metrics:
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- RMSE(TECU): 1.2326
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- RMSE_std: 0.5104
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- R²: 0.9474
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- R²_std: 0.0194
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- SSIM: 0.8368
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- SSIM_std: 0.0398
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- RMSE per step: [0.9221, 1.2993, 1.3501, 1.3459, 1.3219, 1.3088, 1.3011, 1.3024, 1.3115, 1.3166, 1.3016, 1.2834]
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- RMSE std per step: [0.2096, 0.3144, 0.3587, 0.3791, 0.3849, 0.3854, 0.382, 0.3736, 0.3665, 0.3651, 0.3671, 0.3743]
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- R² per step: [0.9728, 0.9467, 0.9422, 0.9425, 0.9444, 0.9454, 0.9459, 0.9457, 0.9449, 0.9446, 0.9458, 0.9475]
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- R² std per step: [0.0116, 0.0216, 0.0262, 0.0277, 0.0282, 0.0283, 0.0282, 0.0279, 0.0278, 0.0277, 0.0274, 0.0272]
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- SSIM per step: [0.9125, 0.8690, 0.8675, 0.8681, 0.8687, 0.8697, 0.8692, 0.8683, 0.8666, 0.8658, 0.8678, 0.8713]
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- SSIM std per step: [0.0278, 0.0340, 0.0346, 0.0353, 0.0356, 0.0354, 0.0355, 0.0354, 0.0352, 0.0348, 0.0341, 0.0328]
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-
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- weak:
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- Overall Metrics:
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- RMSE(TECU): 1.4685
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- RMSE_std: 0.8984
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- R²: 0.9488
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- R²_std: 0.0198
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- SSIM: 0.8368
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- SSIM_std: 0.0409
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- RMSE per step: [1.0486, 1.5013, 1.5759, 1.5792, 1.5676, 1.5628, 1.5613, 1.5682, 1.5804, 1.5866, 1.5708, 1.5482]
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- RMSE std per step: [0.4363, 0.6658, 0.7622, 0.8042, 0.8291, 0.8465, 0.8517, 0.8489, 0.8443, 0.8453, 0.8457, 0.8392]
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- R² per step: [0.9753, 0.9499, 0.9452, 0.9453, 0.9463, 0.9468, 0.9470, 0.9464, 0.9454, 0.9450, 0.9462, 0.9477]
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- R² std per step: [0.0106, 0.0212, 0.0261, 0.0275, 0.0283, 0.0290, 0.0292, 0.0291, 0.0289, 0.0290, 0.0290, 0.0290]
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- SSIM per step: [0.9188, 0.8759, 0.8732, 0.8734, 0.8737, 0.8742, 0.8737, 0.8722, 0.8699, 0.8692, 0.8713, 0.8746]
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- SSIM std per step: [0.0232, 0.0299, 0.0320, 0.0331, 0.0333, 0.0333, 0.0333, 0.0331, 0.0329, 0.0326, 0.0323, 0.0315]
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-
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- moderate:
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- Overall Metrics:
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- RMSE(TECU): 3.2508
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- RMSE_std: 1.3912
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- R²: 0.9501
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- R²_std: 0.0260
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- SSIM: 0.8419
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- SSIM_std: 0.0552
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- RMSE per step: [2.0112, 2.9587, 3.2800, 3.4056, 3.4600, 3.4906, 3.5039, 3.5092, 3.5186, 3.5338, 3.5283, 3.5109]
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- RMSE std per step: [0.5748, 0.8695, 1.0402, 1.1469, 1.2049, 1.2452, 1.2712, 1.2839, 1.2883, 1.2935, 1.303, 1.3086]
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- R² per step: [0.9819, 0.9609, 0.9517, 0.9477, 0.9458, 0.9448, 0.9443, 0.9441, 0.9438, 0.9434, 0.9435, 0.9439]
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- R² std per step: [0.0086, 0.0196, 0.0272, 0.0323, 0.0354, 0.0373, 0.0389, 0.0399, 0.0404, 0.0409, 0.0420, 0.0427]
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- SSIM per step: [0.9339, 0.8893, 0.8783, 0.8748, 0.8734, 0.8727, 0.8722, 0.8722, 0.8719, 0.8713, 0.8722, 0.8754]
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- SSIM std per step: [0.0205, 0.0340, 0.0400, 0.0428, 0.0440, 0.0448, 0.0454, 0.0456, 0.0455, 0.0457, 0.0457, 0.0453]
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-
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- intense:
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- Overall Metrics:
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- RMSE(TECU): 4.3863
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- RMSE_std: 2.1062
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- R²: 0.9565
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- R²_std: 0.0261
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- SSIM: 0.8515
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- SSIM_std: 0.0574
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- RMSE per step: [2.5343, 3.7303, 4.2410, 4.4753, 4.5942, 4.6744, 4.7257, 4.7558, 4.7877, 4.8162, 4.8221, 4.8524]
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- RMSE std per step: [1.0019, 1.4051, 1.6777, 1.8433, 1.9412, 2.0173, 2.0799, 2.1244, 2.1472, 2.1667, 2.1927, 2.2266]
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- R² per step: [0.9856, 0.9697, 0.9609, 0.9563, 0.9536, 0.9518, 0.9506, 0.9498, 0.9492, 0.9486, 0.9486, 0.9482]
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- R² std per step: [0.0103, 0.0171, 0.0236, 0.0279, 0.0318, 0.0347, 0.0371, 0.0389, 0.0398, 0.0403, 0.0407, 0.0404]
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- SSIM per step: [0.9456, 0.9065, 0.8924, 0.8875, 0.8857, 0.8846, 0.8841, 0.8843, 0.8842, 0.8841, 0.8848, 0.8866]
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- SSIM std per step: [0.0221, 0.0327, 0.0403, 0.0440, 0.0457, 0.0467, 0.0474, 0.0475, 0.0472, 0.0468, 0.0466, 0.0462]
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- Storm Analysis Results:
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- ======================================================================================================================================================
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- Storm Date Dst(nT) Full (RMSE ± std / R² ± std / SSIM ± std) Main (RMSE ± std / R² ± std / SSIM ± std)
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- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- 1 2001-03-31 08:00 -387.0 8.36 ± 3.32 / 0.92 ± 0.04 / 0.76 ± 0.09 7.84 ± 2.72 / 0.93 ± 0.03 / 0.79 ± 0.08
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- 2 2001-11-06 06:00 -292.0 7.59 ± 2.98 / 0.93 ± 0.05 / 0.79 ± 0.12 8.14 ± 2.60 / 0.91 ± 0.04 / 0.77 ± 0.08
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- 3 2001-04-12 00:00 -236.0 6.18 ± 2.62 / 0.94 ± 0.04 / 0.80 ± 0.09 6.14 ± 2.64 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.82 ± 0.06
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- 4 2001-11-24 16:00 -221.0 5.77 ± 1.83 / 0.94 ± 0.03 / 0.82 ± 0.08 6.46 ± 1.52 / 0.93 ± 0.02 / 0.78 ± 0.05
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- 5 2001-10-21 22:00 -180.0 7.44 ± 2.25 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.82 ± 0.06 5.72 ± 1.80 / 0.97 ± 0.01 / 0.87 ± 0.02
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- 6 2001-10-03 14:00 -166.0 6.49 ± 1.94 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.82 ± 0.04 6.28 ± 1.78 / 0.96 ± 0.00 / 0.81 ± 0.01
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- 7 2001-10-28 10:00 -149.0 6.81 ± 2.03 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.83 ± 0.04 6.16 ± 1.74 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.85 ± 0.04
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- 8 2001-03-20 16:00 -146.0 5.55 ± 2.39 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.82 ± 0.07 7.59 ± 2.70 / 0.92 ± 0.01 / 0.74 ± 0.00
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- 9 2012-03-09 08:00 -145.0 4.48 ± 1.76 / 0.93 ± 0.02 / 0.77 ± 0.05 4.89 ± 1.79 / 0.92 ± 0.01 / 0.75 ± 0.02
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- 10 2012-07-15 16:00 -139.0 3.32 ± 1.58 / 0.89 ± 0.07 / 0.74 ± 0.10 4.60 ± 1.62 / 0.84 ± 0.03 / 0.62 ± 0.04
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- 11 2012-10-01 04:00 -122.0 4.78 ± 2.09 / 0.92 ± 0.04 / 0.79 ± 0.11 4.52 ± 1.80 / 0.93 ± 0.02 / 0.82 ± 0.06
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- 12 2012-04-24 04:00 -120.0 4.49 ± 1.89 / 0.93 ± 0.02 / 0.79 ± 0.06 4.58 ± 1.77 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.81 ± 0.05
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- 13 2001-04-18 06:00 -114.0 4.32 ± 1.51 / 0.96 ± 0.02 / 0.86 ± 0.06 3.54 ± 1.30 / 0.97 ± 0.01 / 0.88 ± 0.04
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- 14 2012-10-09 08:00 -109.0 3.67 ± 1.43 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.81 ± 0.05 4.75 ± 1.53 / 0.90 ± 0.01 / 0.73 ± 0.00
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- 15 2001-11-01 10:00 -106.0 7.21 ± 1.92 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.81 ± 0.06 7.59 ± 1.63 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.76 ± 0.06
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- 16 2012-11-14 06:00 -103.0 4.84 ± 1.97 / 0.92 ± 0.04 / 0.79 ± 0.09 6.17 ± 1.85 / 0.88 ± 0.02 / 0.75 ± 0.03
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-
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-
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- ======================== Per-Horizon Breakdown ========================
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-
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- Storm 1: 2001-03-31 08:00 (Dst: -387.0 nT)
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-
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- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
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- RMSE : [3.7815, 5.9931, 7.1295, 8.3731, 8.8751, 9.0213, 9.0148, 9.3360, 9.5740, 9.5545, 9.4859, 9.6971]
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- RMSE_std : [1.2060, 1.6204, 1.9000, 2.6836, 3.2434, 3.3165, 3.1209, 3.2919, 3.6181, 3.6250, 3.2955, 3.1517]
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- R² : [0.9846, 0.9618, 0.9479, 0.9247, 0.9117, 0.9080, 0.9132, 0.9059, 0.8971, 0.8961, 0.9029, 0.8987]
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- R²_std : [0.0094, 0.0190, 0.0233, 0.0486, 0.0678, 0.0740, 0.0586, 0.0604, 0.0778, 0.0842, 0.0663, 0.0635]
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- SSIM : [0.9414, 0.8838, 0.8547, 0.8354, 0.8326, 0.8318, 0.8318, 0.8273, 0.8263, 0.8268, 0.8283, 0.8249]
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- SSIM_std : [0.0279, 0.0487, 0.0588, 0.0742, 0.0799, 0.0785, 0.0762, 0.0823, 0.0864, 0.0842, 0.0795, 0.0816]
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-
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- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
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- RMSE : [2.7937, 4.4893, 4.9500, 5.0783, 5.1131, 5.1832, 6.2172, 7.6913, 8.4035, 9.4105, 12.1281, 14.1849]
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- RMSE_std : [0.1363, 0.6232, 0.8071, 0.7991, 0.5256, 0.2943, 1.2074, 2.8504, 3.6707, 4.3106, 4.9992, 4.6155]
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- R² : [0.9911, 0.9768, 0.9715, 0.9692, 0.9688, 0.9691, 0.9581, 0.9374, 0.9288, 0.9155, 0.8618, 0.7928]
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- R²_std : [0.0001, 0.0047, 0.0082, 0.0099, 0.0086, 0.0063, 0.0122, 0.0358, 0.0472, 0.0578, 0.0882, 0.1262]
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- SSIM : [0.9658, 0.9337, 0.9251, 0.9187, 0.9184, 0.9221, 0.9019, 0.8772, 0.8667, 0.8348, 0.7707, 0.7171]
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- SSIM_std : [0.0003, 0.0073, 0.0057, 0.0101, 0.0121, 0.0098, 0.0195, 0.0532, 0.0707, 0.0965, 0.1196, 0.1202]
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- Storm 2: 2001-11-06 06:00 (Dst: -292.0 nT)
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- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
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- RMSE : [4.4680, 6.2494, 7.1279, 7.4542, 7.6473, 7.7793, 8.0338, 8.1035, 8.1144, 8.0923, 8.4277, 8.7770]
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- RMSE_std : [1.5856, 1.8847, 2.4578, 2.5760, 2.6483, 3.0079, 3.3929, 3.2852, 3.2007, 3.4735, 3.6436, 3.2972]
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- R² : [0.9742, 0.9523, 0.9384, 0.9306, 0.9231, 0.9208, 0.9171, 0.9142, 0.9100, 0.9109, 0.9071, 0.9008]
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- R²_std : [0.0181, 0.0276, 0.0392, 0.0503, 0.0650, 0.0677, 0.0718, 0.0758, 0.0863, 0.0857, 0.0826, 0.0775]
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- SSIM : [0.9212, 0.8692, 0.8458, 0.8397, 0.8363, 0.8358, 0.8294, 0.8304, 0.8322, 0.8354, 0.8297, 0.8297]
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- SSIM_std : [0.0363, 0.0505, 0.0709, 0.0775, 0.0774, 0.0781, 0.0903, 0.0916, 0.0866, 0.0842, 0.0906, 0.0881]
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- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
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- RMSE : [3.0376, 4.2653, 4.9517, 4.9083, 4.9599, 5.7932, 6.6290, 7.7437, 8.7988, 11.3358, 12.5958, 13.7401]
134
- RMSE_std : [0.3133, 0.0429, 0.0988, 0.0832, 0.0568, 0.4833, 0.9938, 2.3961, 3.9526, 5.0510, 4.7031, 3.9191]
135
- R² : [0.9877, 0.9764, 0.9683, 0.9682, 0.9684, 0.9585, 0.9457, 0.9175, 0.8968, 0.8519, 0.7998, 0.7321]
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- R²_std : [0.0029, 0.0006, 0.0004, 0.0016, 0.0001, 0.0052, 0.0109, 0.0416, 0.0724, 0.1013, 0.1303, 0.1515]
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- SSIM : [0.9468, 0.9133, 0.9090, 0.9060, 0.8891, 0.8598, 0.8473, 0.8123, 0.8009, 0.7301, 0.7056, 0.6786]
138
- SSIM_std : [0.0061, 0.0123, 0.0113, 0.0123, 0.0171, 0.0252, 0.0326, 0.0672, 0.0753, 0.1063, 0.1059, 0.0726]
139
-
140
- Storm 3: 2001-04-12 00:00 (Dst: -236.0 nT)
141
-
142
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
143
- RMSE : [3.0624, 4.8103, 5.6163, 6.2549, 6.4873, 6.5863, 6.6783, 6.8915, 7.0495, 7.0334, 7.0044, 7.0864]
144
- RMSE_std : [0.7348, 1.2605, 1.3627, 1.8074, 2.2840, 2.4268, 2.3820, 2.4024, 2.7114, 2.8752, 2.8485, 2.7675]
145
- R² : [0.9870, 0.9675, 0.9560, 0.9427, 0.9362, 0.9338, 0.9321, 0.9265, 0.9220, 0.9215, 0.9222, 0.9197]
146
- R²_std : [0.0063, 0.0167, 0.0218, 0.0346, 0.0483, 0.0534, 0.0545, 0.0569, 0.0647, 0.0701, 0.0715, 0.0719]
147
- SSIM : [0.9496, 0.8987, 0.8752, 0.8639, 0.8571, 0.8544, 0.8499, 0.8514, 0.8479, 0.8476, 0.8457, 0.8499]
148
- SSIM_std : [0.0230, 0.0452, 0.0528, 0.0617, 0.0743, 0.0762, 0.0745, 0.0745, 0.0817, 0.0816, 0.0795, 0.0796]
149
-
150
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
151
- RMSE : [2.3230, 3.5535, 4.7630, 4.1350, 3.9963, 4.4763, 5.8008, 7.0295, 7.4414, 7.6968, 9.1711, 11.1690]
152
- RMSE_std : [0.1726, 0.1724, 0.9032, 0.3410, 0.0952, 0.6565, 1.7893, 3.0780, 3.2074, 2.5847, 1.7521, 1.2506]
153
- R² : [0.9927, 0.9830, 0.9689, 0.9760, 0.9767, 0.9706, 0.9518, 0.9328, 0.9272, 0.9273, 0.8933, 0.8424]
154
- R²_std : [0.0016, 0.0003, 0.0096, 0.0028, 0.0014, 0.0080, 0.0249, 0.0441, 0.0463, 0.0356, 0.0369, 0.0504]
155
- SSIM : [0.9692, 0.9411, 0.9163, 0.9259, 0.9245, 0.9141, 0.8836, 0.8450, 0.8455, 0.8331, 0.7954, 0.7421]
156
- SSIM_std : [0.0023, 0.0012, 0.0122, 0.0026, 0.0031, 0.0199, 0.0440, 0.0833, 0.0763, 0.0659, 0.0500, 0.0323]
157
-
158
- Storm 4: 2001-11-24 16:00 (Dst: -221.0 nT)
159
-
160
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
161
- RMSE : [2.9503, 4.4374, 5.4239, 6.0420, 5.9676, 6.0508, 6.2486, 6.4004, 6.2088, 6.1737, 6.2673, 6.4280]
162
- RMSE_std : [0.6320, 0.9341, 1.5939, 1.8058, 1.9526, 1.8035, 1.8056, 1.9315, 2.0275, 1.9054, 1.8716, 1.9195]
163
- R² : [0.9849, 0.9665, 0.9495, 0.9350, 0.9335, 0.9331, 0.9307, 0.9260, 0.9277, 0.9300, 0.9304, 0.9256]
164
- R²_std : [0.0068, 0.0148, 0.0289, 0.0369, 0.0426, 0.0400, 0.0393, 0.0415, 0.0439, 0.0421, 0.0392, 0.0409]
165
- SSIM : [0.9405, 0.8914, 0.8631, 0.8539, 0.8587, 0.8572, 0.8485, 0.8514, 0.8590, 0.8591, 0.8520, 0.8541]
166
- SSIM_std : [0.0216, 0.0331, 0.0508, 0.0578, 0.0592, 0.0510, 0.0560, 0.0603, 0.0623, 0.0539, 0.0576, 0.0598]
167
-
168
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
169
- RMSE : [2.6068, 4.2932, 4.7344, 4.5997, 4.5947, 5.7016, 6.7829, 6.7394, 6.8348, 7.8732, 9.5568, 9.8892]
170
- RMSE_std : [0.1994, 0.7452, 0.2769, 0.2365, 0.1148, 0.1344, 1.6167, 1.8846, 1.8362, 1.8772, 1.1202, 1.2309]
171
- R² : [0.9895, 0.9710, 0.9654, 0.9657, 0.9660, 0.9491, 0.9264, 0.9241, 0.9249, 0.9062, 0.8668, 0.8517]
172
- R²_std : [0.0008, 0.0084, 0.0046, 0.0065, 0.0050, 0.0052, 0.0319, 0.0348, 0.0312, 0.0346, 0.0268, 0.0366]
173
- SSIM : [0.9530, 0.9078, 0.8985, 0.9008, 0.8949, 0.8550, 0.8309, 0.8300, 0.8222, 0.7778, 0.7421, 0.7449]
174
- SSIM_std : [0.0018, 0.0070, 0.0043, 0.0085, 0.0181, 0.0350, 0.0673, 0.0686, 0.0451, 0.0375, 0.0194, 0.0114]
175
-
176
- Storm 5: 2001-10-21 22:00 (Dst: -180.0 nT)
177
-
178
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
179
- RMSE : [4.6108, 6.2979, 6.9999, 7.4193, 7.6848, 7.8338, 7.7922, 7.8161, 7.9615, 8.0811, 8.2005, 8.5040]
180
- RMSE_std : [1.8082, 1.5303, 1.6913, 1.7743, 2.0054, 1.9625, 2.1226, 2.1150, 2.3455, 2.2279, 2.3225, 2.2990]
181
- R² : [0.9743, 0.9564, 0.9471, 0.9417, 0.9348, 0.9335, 0.9348, 0.9356, 0.9297, 0.9288, 0.9275, 0.9236]
182
- R²_std : [0.0213, 0.0198, 0.0218, 0.0235, 0.0295, 0.0278, 0.0291, 0.0287, 0.0363, 0.0353, 0.0359, 0.0367]
183
- SSIM : [0.9245, 0.8806, 0.8638, 0.8589, 0.8585, 0.8521, 0.8514, 0.8514, 0.8560, 0.8526, 0.8475, 0.8449]
184
- SSIM_std : [0.0394, 0.0428, 0.0507, 0.0508, 0.0518, 0.0526, 0.0540, 0.0513, 0.0531, 0.0555, 0.0584, 0.0580]
185
-
186
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
187
- RMSE : [3.6336, 4.4393, 5.1495, 5.1800, 5.1489, 5.0027, 4.8217, 4.8180, 6.5505, 7.6922, 7.7410, 7.4751]
188
- RMSE_std : [0.2320, 0.0133, 0.3181, 0.1289, 0.0279, 0.2220, 0.4166, 0.3667, 1.2968, 2.9126, 3.2972, 2.7542]
189
- R² : [0.9866, 0.9802, 0.9735, 0.9726, 0.9732, 0.9746, 0.9765, 0.9767, 0.9592, 0.9438, 0.9411, 0.9399]
190
- R²_std : [0.0021, 0.0008, 0.0026, 0.0014, 0.0009, 0.0028, 0.0046, 0.0040, 0.0136, 0.0336, 0.0397, 0.0383]
191
- SSIM : [0.9412, 0.9123, 0.8960, 0.9001, 0.9072, 0.9040, 0.9125, 0.9149, 0.8639, 0.8291, 0.8322, 0.8315]
192
- SSIM_std : [0.0089, 0.0023, 0.0102, 0.0097, 0.0147, 0.0116, 0.0047, 0.0011, 0.0616, 0.0887, 0.0931, 0.0881]
193
-
194
- Storm 6: 2001-10-03 14:00 (Dst: -166.0 nT)
195
-
196
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
197
- RMSE : [3.9630, 5.6647, 6.4070, 6.7611, 6.7791, 6.7882, 6.9771, 7.0686, 6.9733, 6.9559, 7.1735, 7.3091]
198
- RMSE_std : [1.0670, 1.0441, 1.1497, 1.2566, 1.4203, 1.4576, 1.4229, 1.4403, 1.6522, 1.6853, 1.5857, 1.5091]
199
- R² : [0.9821, 0.9641, 0.9542, 0.9498, 0.9485, 0.9476, 0.9445, 0.9440, 0.9442, 0.9436, 0.9399, 0.9391]
200
- R²_std : [0.0102, 0.0152, 0.0176, 0.0205, 0.0255, 0.0260, 0.0236, 0.0233, 0.0293, 0.0307, 0.0287, 0.0269]
201
- SSIM : [0.9347, 0.8883, 0.8676, 0.8620, 0.8715, 0.8666, 0.8620, 0.8629, 0.8716, 0.8656, 0.8605, 0.8608]
202
- SSIM_std : [0.0206, 0.0234, 0.0289, 0.0346, 0.0388, 0.0352, 0.0325, 0.0364, 0.0403, 0.0375, 0.0340, 0.0355]
203
-
204
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
205
- RMSE : [3.1111, 6.2308, 7.3326, 7.0403, 6.6782, 7.1692, 7.5740, 6.7268, 6.1064, 6.2303, 6.3212, 6.2406]
206
- RMSE_std : [0.1859, 0.1830, 0.5306, 0.1896, 0.1781, 0.8293, 1.2150, 1.1834, 0.3249, 0.4494, 0.4021, 0.7697]
207
- R² : [0.9905, 0.9634, 0.9497, 0.9531, 0.9556, 0.9487, 0.9445, 0.9554, 0.9612, 0.9591, 0.9595, 0.9602]
208
- R²_std : [0.0009, 0.0002, 0.0035, 0.0002, 0.0003, 0.0052, 0.0118, 0.0119, 0.0044, 0.0025, 0.0027, 0.0079]
209
- SSIM : [0.9457, 0.8700, 0.8458, 0.8628, 0.8582, 0.8406, 0.8344, 0.8779, 0.8808, 0.8721, 0.8614, 0.8620]
210
- SSIM_std : [0.0135, 0.0275, 0.0308, 0.0007, 0.0096, 0.0262, 0.0347, 0.0247, 0.0147, 0.0047, 0.0161, 0.0401]
211
-
212
- Storm 7: 2001-10-28 10:00 (Dst: -149.0 nT)
213
-
214
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
215
- RMSE : [3.5133, 5.6352, 6.6016, 6.7845, 7.0749, 7.2883, 7.4762, 7.2702, 7.3783, 7.5582, 7.6956, 7.5267]
216
- RMSE_std : [0.5421, 1.0832, 1.4802, 1.5169, 1.5642, 1.6488, 1.8116, 1.8182, 1.7456, 1.8855, 2.1253, 2.1493]
217
- R² : [0.9864, 0.9653, 0.9504, 0.9481, 0.9442, 0.9412, 0.9358, 0.9395, 0.9387, 0.9358, 0.9309, 0.9340]
218
- R²_std : [0.0046, 0.0125, 0.0201, 0.0221, 0.0249, 0.0256, 0.0280, 0.0281, 0.0283, 0.0311, 0.0364, 0.0368]
219
- SSIM : [0.9441, 0.8890, 0.8681, 0.8632, 0.8607, 0.8600, 0.8588, 0.8590, 0.8583, 0.8560, 0.8569, 0.8600]
220
- SSIM_std : [0.0142, 0.0354, 0.0369, 0.0410, 0.0469, 0.0474, 0.0420, 0.0455, 0.0480, 0.0480, 0.0429, 0.0457]
221
-
222
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
223
- RMSE : [3.5585, 4.2784, 4.7486, 5.0091, 5.0876, 5.5160, 5.4388, 5.9842, 7.1495, 8.3880, 8.2931, 8.9842]
224
- RMSE_std : [0.2364, 0.0323, 0.0599, 0.2856, 0.1101, 0.4731, 0.2834, 0.9755, 1.8926, 2.2257, 2.4656, 2.2078]
225
- R² : [0.9859, 0.9795, 0.9752, 0.9731, 0.9714, 0.9650, 0.9669, 0.9622, 0.9493, 0.9317, 0.9302, 0.9205]
226
- R²_std : [0.0019, 0.0010, 0.0011, 0.0027, 0.0009, 0.0055, 0.0034, 0.0106, 0.0206, 0.0254, 0.0320, 0.0336]
227
- SSIM : [0.9443, 0.9229, 0.9117, 0.9148, 0.9030, 0.8844, 0.8755, 0.8744, 0.8495, 0.8269, 0.8100, 0.7951]
228
- SSIM_std : [0.0039, 0.0016, 0.0076, 0.0018, 0.0037, 0.0144, 0.0193, 0.0413, 0.0499, 0.0437, 0.0480, 0.0460]
229
-
230
- Storm 8: 2001-03-20 16:00 (Dst: -146.0 nT)
231
-
232
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
233
- RMSE : [2.6357, 4.2345, 4.9130, 5.4736, 5.6506, 6.0246, 6.1187, 6.2725, 6.3560, 6.6323, 6.6216, 6.7539]
234
- RMSE_std : [0.5341, 1.1424, 1.4007, 1.7312, 1.9115, 2.0177, 2.0191, 2.1006, 2.1273, 2.1330, 2.1094, 2.1282]
235
- R² : [0.9885, 0.9706, 0.9601, 0.9505, 0.9468, 0.9401, 0.9383, 0.9353, 0.9337, 0.9290, 0.9293, 0.9269]
236
- R²_std : [0.0034, 0.0119, 0.0181, 0.0245, 0.0282, 0.0318, 0.0331, 0.0346, 0.0351, 0.0363, 0.0374, 0.0384]
237
- SSIM : [0.9530, 0.9075, 0.8847, 0.8790, 0.8713, 0.8621, 0.8597, 0.8636, 0.8584, 0.8515, 0.8493, 0.8551]
238
- SSIM_std : [0.0160, 0.0331, 0.0409, 0.0498, 0.0562, 0.0574, 0.0570, 0.0601, 0.0629, 0.0610, 0.0584, 0.0596]
239
-
240
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
241
- RMSE : [2.8482, 4.4049, 5.9952, 6.9793, 8.0048, 8.3529, 8.6313, 8.7456, 8.9088, 9.3983, 10.0243, 10.4319]
242
- RMSE_std : [0.7182, 0.5551, 1.3402, 1.0268, 0.2504, 0.2462, 0.3138, 0.1932, 0.0423, 0.2472, 0.5583, 0.8688]
243
- R² : [0.9887, 0.9740, 0.9519, 0.9376, 0.9224, 0.9147, 0.9059, 0.9013, 0.8952, 0.8778, 0.8604, 0.8474]
244
- R²_std : [0.0042, 0.0032, 0.0157, 0.0139, 0.0045, 0.0074, 0.0121, 0.0117, 0.0101, 0.0172, 0.0207, 0.0262]
245
- SSIM : [0.9502, 0.9000, 0.8718, 0.8387, 0.8151, 0.7936, 0.7872, 0.7838, 0.7799, 0.7560, 0.7319, 0.7195]
246
- SSIM_std : [0.0198, 0.0276, 0.0344, 0.0094, 0.0018, 0.0177, 0.0395, 0.0376, 0.0225, 0.0113, 0.0077, 0.0150]
247
-
248
- Storm 9: 2012-03-09 08:00 (Dst: -145.0 nT)
249
-
250
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
251
- RMSE : [2.9305, 4.1035, 4.6314, 4.9504, 5.0055, 4.9608, 4.9402, 4.9694, 4.9185, 4.8624, 4.8129, 4.8855]
252
- RMSE_std : [0.5137, 0.6922, 0.8345, 1.1904, 1.2414, 1.0754, 1.0018, 1.2129, 1.2822, 1.0859, 0.9609, 1.1631]
253
- R² : [0.9712, 0.9418, 0.9279, 0.9172, 0.9143, 0.9153, 0.9184, 0.9169, 0.9170, 0.9174, 0.9210, 0.9192]
254
- R²_std : [0.0085, 0.0181, 0.0232, 0.0386, 0.0405, 0.0320, 0.0286, 0.0394, 0.0410, 0.0334, 0.0307, 0.0387]
255
- SSIM : [0.9077, 0.8376, 0.8231, 0.8154, 0.8172, 0.8087, 0.8157, 0.8151, 0.8200, 0.8108, 0.8203, 0.8232]
256
- SSIM_std : [0.0200, 0.0430, 0.0324, 0.0418, 0.0434, 0.0543, 0.0338, 0.0378, 0.0470, 0.0600, 0.0359, 0.0351]
257
-
258
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
259
- RMSE : [2.7913, 4.4832, 5.4421, 5.1120, 5.3647, 5.6761, 5.1594, 4.7661, 4.6843, 5.7221, 5.7194, 6.3315]
260
- RMSE_std : [0.3599, 0.0682, 0.3077, 0.0036, 0.0606, 0.5448, 0.0102, 0.2477, 0.0258, 0.2006, 0.8713, 1.5567]
261
- R² : [0.9676, 0.9231, 0.8996, 0.9044, 0.8963, 0.8991, 0.9212, 0.9319, 0.9378, 0.9177, 0.9132, 0.8972]
262
- R²_std : [0.0118, 0.0085, 0.0045, 0.0126, 0.0272, 0.0077, 0.0053, 0.0033, 0.0032, 0.0022, 0.0222, 0.0381]
263
- SSIM : [0.8824, 0.7985, 0.7992, 0.7823, 0.7706, 0.7886, 0.8161, 0.8316, 0.8325, 0.8261, 0.7963, 0.8117]
264
- SSIM_std : [0.0287, 0.0029, 0.0170, 0.0408, 0.0817, 0.0333, 0.0015, 0.0044, 0.0310, 0.0085, 0.0369, 0.0463]
265
-
266
- Storm 10: 2012-07-15 16:00 (Dst: -139.0 nT)
267
-
268
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
269
- RMSE : [1.8379, 2.7720, 3.2127, 3.4333, 3.5298, 3.6048, 3.6415, 3.6856, 3.7088, 3.7444, 3.7422, 3.7200]
270
- RMSE_std : [0.4207, 0.6655, 1.0234, 1.2337, 1.4431, 1.3559, 1.3776, 1.5492, 1.6369, 1.4598, 1.4567, 1.5920]
271
- R² : [0.9709, 0.9294, 0.9017, 0.8866, 0.8798, 0.8714, 0.8651, 0.8605, 0.8620, 0.8578, 0.8539, 0.8548]
272
- R²_std : [0.0135, 0.0380, 0.0604, 0.0776, 0.0922, 0.0962, 0.1068, 0.1232, 0.1215, 0.1145, 0.1240, 0.1345]
273
- SSIM : [0.9082, 0.8372, 0.8108, 0.8037, 0.8046, 0.7951, 0.7935, 0.7933, 0.7973, 0.7905, 0.7921, 0.7947]
274
- SSIM_std : [0.0258, 0.0608, 0.0702, 0.0820, 0.0901, 0.0937, 0.0865, 0.0931, 0.0969, 0.0956, 0.0874, 0.0899]
275
-
276
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
277
- RMSE : [1.6619, 2.7866, 3.0078, 3.0040, 3.6827, 5.0912, 5.6977, 6.0358, 5.5168, 5.3259, 5.8434, 6.4567]
278
- RMSE_std : [0.5288, 1.3087, 1.4555, 1.1940, 0.5520, 0.4616, 0.9793, 1.8050, 1.3790, 0.0300, 0.5132, 1.1222]
279
- R² : [0.9762, 0.9336, 0.9203, 0.9249, 0.8970, 0.8259, 0.7945, 0.7833, 0.7887, 0.7843, 0.7535, 0.7238]
280
- R²_std : [0.0119, 0.0457, 0.0587, 0.0493, 0.0302, 0.0310, 0.0509, 0.0903, 0.0841, 0.0292, 0.0141, 0.0106]
281
- SSIM : [0.9140, 0.8475, 0.8248, 0.8315, 0.7961, 0.7552, 0.7242, 0.7144, 0.7098, 0.6957, 0.6680, 0.6453]
282
- SSIM_std : [0.0310, 0.0542, 0.0631, 0.0667, 0.0277, 0.0091, 0.0245, 0.0466, 0.0599, 0.0605, 0.0397, 0.0281]
283
-
284
- Storm 11: 2012-10-01 04:00 (Dst: -122.0 nT)
285
-
286
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
287
- RMSE : [2.8128, 4.1777, 4.6310, 4.9627, 5.1031, 5.1231, 5.1830, 5.3179, 5.3314, 5.3040, 5.2455, 5.2153]
288
- RMSE_std : [0.6519, 1.1666, 1.3264, 1.6292, 1.7566, 1.8826, 1.8704, 2.0001, 1.9695, 2.0014, 1.9615, 2.0381]
289
- R² : [0.9770, 0.9472, 0.9327, 0.9240, 0.9203, 0.9164, 0.9117, 0.9099, 0.9120, 0.9100, 0.9085, 0.9121]
290
- R²_std : [0.0091, 0.0277, 0.0359, 0.0440, 0.0469, 0.0574, 0.0630, 0.0629, 0.0568, 0.0643, 0.0673, 0.0617]
291
- SSIM : [0.9280, 0.8764, 0.8567, 0.8467, 0.8454, 0.8489, 0.8427, 0.8409, 0.8425, 0.8473, 0.8441, 0.8455]
292
- SSIM_std : [0.0187, 0.0448, 0.0549, 0.0675, 0.0653, 0.0707, 0.0714, 0.0781, 0.0703, 0.0736, 0.0734, 0.0748]
293
-
294
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
295
- RMSE : [2.4642, 3.0487, 3.5805, 3.7542, 3.8316, 4.0032, 4.2231, 4.4829, 4.8037, 5.6943, 6.7674, 7.5242]
296
- RMSE_std : [0.4359, 0.2346, 0.0138, 0.0091, 0.3150, 0.7141, 0.6939, 0.6617, 0.8583, 1.1700, 2.1083, 2.6014]
297
- R² : [0.9806, 0.9701, 0.9597, 0.9553, 0.9548, 0.9511, 0.9489, 0.9407, 0.9352, 0.9149, 0.8869, 0.8541]
298
- R²_std : [0.0068, 0.0052, 0.0020, 0.0003, 0.0073, 0.0152, 0.0136, 0.0129, 0.0173, 0.0262, 0.0551, 0.0798]
299
- SSIM : [0.9381, 0.9113, 0.8984, 0.8941, 0.8974, 0.8747, 0.8710, 0.8498, 0.8396, 0.7942, 0.7627, 0.7443]
300
- SSIM_std : [0.0149, 0.0074, 0.0054, 0.0128, 0.0144, 0.0368, 0.0413, 0.0359, 0.0486, 0.0413, 0.0668, 0.0714]
301
-
302
- Storm 12: 2012-04-24 04:00 (Dst: -120.0 nT)
303
-
304
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
305
- RMSE : [2.5455, 4.0965, 4.6476, 4.7984, 4.9358, 5.1202, 5.1402, 5.0466, 4.9736, 4.9945, 4.9049, 4.7564]
306
- RMSE_std : [0.4820, 0.8010, 1.2356, 1.3077, 1.3271, 1.3554, 1.4677, 1.2441, 1.2260, 1.2575, 1.3899, 1.2230]
307
- R² : [0.9807, 0.9497, 0.9325, 0.9284, 0.9245, 0.9182, 0.9152, 0.9210, 0.9240, 0.9229, 0.9227, 0.9295]
308
- R²_std : [0.0062, 0.0157, 0.0351, 0.0393, 0.0370, 0.0372, 0.0458, 0.0404, 0.0357, 0.0347, 0.0442, 0.0395]
309
- SSIM : [0.9280, 0.8659, 0.8518, 0.8464, 0.8390, 0.8339, 0.8398, 0.8424, 0.8375, 0.8353, 0.8445, 0.8515]
310
- SSIM_std : [0.0219, 0.0402, 0.0457, 0.0432, 0.0504, 0.0549, 0.0552, 0.0470, 0.0513, 0.0548, 0.0545, 0.0458]
311
-
312
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
313
- RMSE : [2.7088, 3.7203, 3.8839, 3.7866, 4.2519, 4.2568, 4.5640, 4.8405, 5.6065, 5.6401, 5.8618, 6.4557]
314
- RMSE_std : [0.1029, 0.1928, 0.1968, 0.4601, 0.0669, 0.1555, 0.4561, 1.8082, 2.1983, 2.3242, 1.8875, 0.8885]
315
- R² : [0.9774, 0.9586, 0.9557, 0.9574, 0.9500, 0.9495, 0.9403, 0.9278, 0.9105, 0.9129, 0.9137, 0.8987]
316
- R²_std : [0.0028, 0.0025, 0.0060, 0.0095, 0.0061, 0.0078, 0.0121, 0.0446, 0.0546, 0.0542, 0.0413, 0.0194]
317
- SSIM : [0.9395, 0.8979, 0.8917, 0.9041, 0.8894, 0.8942, 0.8657, 0.8222, 0.7973, 0.8154, 0.7990, 0.7593]
318
- SSIM_std : [0.0164, 0.0161, 0.0154, 0.0121, 0.0083, 0.0073, 0.0283, 0.0907, 0.0987, 0.0915, 0.0533, 0.0055]
319
-
320
- Storm 13: 2001-04-18 06:00 (Dst: -114.0 nT)
321
-
322
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
323
- RMSE : [2.7874, 3.7761, 4.2857, 4.5914, 4.6012, 4.5161, 4.6434, 4.7138, 4.6358, 4.5210, 4.6831, 4.7948]
324
- RMSE_std : [1.0426, 1.0255, 1.1701, 1.2792, 1.2314, 1.2683, 1.3638, 1.3615, 1.2336, 1.2072, 1.2414, 1.2408]
325
- R² : [0.9831, 0.9710, 0.9630, 0.9577, 0.9573, 0.9577, 0.9553, 0.9545, 0.9562, 0.9573, 0.9545, 0.9531]
326
- R²_std : [0.0125, 0.0151, 0.0186, 0.0214, 0.0208, 0.0234, 0.0246, 0.0242, 0.0219, 0.0242, 0.0244, 0.0226]
327
- SSIM : [0.9484, 0.9204, 0.9010, 0.8906, 0.8981, 0.8996, 0.8934, 0.8913, 0.9006, 0.9031, 0.8966, 0.8937]
328
- SSIM_std : [0.0235, 0.0259, 0.0361, 0.0394, 0.0401, 0.0430, 0.0442, 0.0423, 0.0410, 0.0430, 0.0433, 0.0403]
329
-
330
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
331
- RMSE : [2.0503, 2.6753, 2.8020, 2.7835, 2.5910, 2.8857, 3.1765, 3.2200, 3.6830, 4.9705, 5.5025, 5.2617]
332
- RMSE_std : [0.3967, 0.2244, 0.0084, 0.0266, 0.0265, 0.1316, 0.2227, 0.3269, 0.9755, 1.8297, 2.0170, 1.7546]
333
- R² : [0.9907, 0.9846, 0.9835, 0.9837, 0.9856, 0.9819, 0.9786, 0.9782, 0.9723, 0.9523, 0.9418, 0.9423]
334
- R²_std : [0.0034, 0.0020, 0.0002, 0.0002, 0.0005, 0.0012, 0.0027, 0.0042, 0.0122, 0.0267, 0.0329, 0.0323]
335
- SSIM : [0.9680, 0.9443, 0.9367, 0.9399, 0.9420, 0.9415, 0.9288, 0.9321, 0.9129, 0.8799, 0.8517, 0.8623]
336
- SSIM_std : [0.0041, 0.0079, 0.0040, 0.0010, 0.0010, 0.0055, 0.0114, 0.0057, 0.0251, 0.0559, 0.0666, 0.0667]
337
-
338
- Storm 14: 2012-10-09 08:00 (Dst: -109.0 nT)
339
-
340
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
341
- RMSE : [2.3047, 3.2594, 3.7030, 3.9730, 3.8825, 3.8067, 3.8822, 4.0194, 3.9844, 3.9834, 4.0729, 4.1588]
342
- RMSE_std : [0.4915, 0.7997, 1.2150, 1.2267, 1.1051, 1.1410, 1.2496, 1.1960, 1.0239, 1.0399, 1.1426, 1.0879]
343
- R² : [0.9764, 0.9529, 0.9394, 0.9308, 0.9324, 0.9349, 0.9339, 0.9297, 0.9297, 0.9296, 0.9281, 0.9256]
344
- R²_std : [0.0084, 0.0172, 0.0297, 0.0330, 0.0331, 0.0334, 0.0350, 0.0348, 0.0325, 0.0324, 0.0334, 0.0331]
345
- SSIM : [0.9243, 0.8706, 0.8511, 0.8472, 0.8509, 0.8510, 0.8446, 0.8467, 0.8509, 0.8474, 0.8413, 0.8456]
346
- SSIM_std : [0.0185, 0.0316, 0.0453, 0.0495, 0.0464, 0.0489, 0.0517, 0.0543, 0.0509, 0.0495, 0.0508, 0.0546]
347
-
348
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
349
- RMSE : [2.3246, 3.5970, 4.8658, 5.4492, 4.6200, 4.2175, 5.0275, 4.8632, 5.2000, 5.7276, 6.2959, 5.8485]
350
- RMSE_std : [0.1218, 0.1633, 0.0786, 0.5660, 0.1727, 1.0259, 1.1898, 0.5517, 0.9607, 0.7919, 0.3855, 0.2815]
351
- R² : [0.9755, 0.9397, 0.8934, 0.8774, 0.9139, 0.9308, 0.9069, 0.9087, 0.9011, 0.8879, 0.8691, 0.8685]
352
- R²_std : [0.0016, 0.0015, 0.0051, 0.0187, 0.0141, 0.0183, 0.0214, 0.0103, 0.0335, 0.0346, 0.0274, 0.0240]
353
- SSIM : [0.9084, 0.8340, 0.7903, 0.7742, 0.8023, 0.7949, 0.7990, 0.8133, 0.8073, 0.7672, 0.7574, 0.7695]
354
- SSIM_std : [0.0119, 0.0312, 0.0096, 0.0276, 0.0504, 0.0075, 0.0080, 0.0084, 0.0546, 0.0461, 0.0443, 0.0340]
355
-
356
- Storm 15: 2001-11-01 10:00 (Dst: -106.0 nT)
357
-
358
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
359
- RMSE : [3.4719, 5.7387, 6.9807, 7.4507, 7.6302, 7.7532, 7.9902, 7.9542, 7.8625, 7.8229, 7.8326, 7.7733]
360
- RMSE_std : [0.3904, 0.8910, 1.0605, 1.1958, 1.4724, 1.6586, 1.8161, 2.0213, 1.9661, 1.9038, 1.7598, 1.6758]
361
- R² : [0.9873, 0.9649, 0.9468, 0.9400, 0.9367, 0.9341, 0.9280, 0.9288, 0.9309, 0.9318, 0.9312, 0.9335]
362
- R²_std : [0.0029, 0.0110, 0.0162, 0.0197, 0.0248, 0.0283, 0.0319, 0.0345, 0.0327, 0.0318, 0.0287, 0.0255]
363
- SSIM : [0.9445, 0.8799, 0.8492, 0.8427, 0.8436, 0.8427, 0.8390, 0.8430, 0.8474, 0.8476, 0.8469, 0.8511]
364
- SSIM_std : [0.0139, 0.0356, 0.0426, 0.0511, 0.0539, 0.0522, 0.0549, 0.0572, 0.0528, 0.0521, 0.0512, 0.0447]
365
-
366
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
367
- RMSE : [3.0373, 4.9878, 5.7432, 6.2173, 6.2691, 6.6377, 7.1091, 8.2329, 9.0677, 9.8474, 10.2086, 10.3471]
368
- RMSE_std : [0.4356, 0.5509, 0.3161, 0.2058, 0.7536, 1.1866, 1.6452, 1.9222, 2.1757, 2.3283, 2.1292, 1.3979]
369
- R² : [0.9896, 0.9724, 0.9640, 0.9580, 0.9576, 0.9527, 0.9440, 0.9242, 0.9090, 0.8964, 0.8916, 0.8927]
370
- R²_std : [0.0031, 0.0064, 0.0048, 0.0028, 0.0096, 0.0153, 0.0244, 0.0326, 0.0410, 0.0458, 0.0398, 0.0231]
371
- SSIM : [0.9530, 0.9052, 0.9040, 0.8949, 0.8727, 0.8484, 0.8301, 0.8108, 0.7886, 0.7701, 0.7633, 0.7700]
372
- SSIM_std : [0.0096, 0.0089, 0.0039, 0.0222, 0.0494, 0.0599, 0.0710, 0.0605, 0.0347, 0.0218, 0.0037, 0.0043]
373
-
374
- Storm 16: 2012-11-14 06:00 (Dst: -103.0 nT)
375
-
376
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
377
- RMSE : [2.5822, 3.9679, 4.5641, 4.8781, 5.0147, 5.1055, 5.1170, 5.2008, 5.2433, 5.3085, 5.3081, 5.4483]
378
- RMSE_std : [0.7720, 1.3531, 1.6656, 1.9063, 2.0628, 2.1168, 2.0332, 2.0395, 2.1028, 2.1178, 2.0608, 1.9834]
379
- R² : [0.9767, 0.9445, 0.9271, 0.9152, 0.9091, 0.9060, 0.9083, 0.9054, 0.9029, 0.9012, 0.9039, 0.8997]
380
- R²_std : [0.0120, 0.0304, 0.0414, 0.0579, 0.0660, 0.0643, 0.0572, 0.0652, 0.0683, 0.0654, 0.0584, 0.0611]
381
- SSIM : [0.9263, 0.8625, 0.8307, 0.8274, 0.8347, 0.8269, 0.8119, 0.8156, 0.8287, 0.8226, 0.8102, 0.8169]
382
- SSIM_std : [0.0190, 0.0444, 0.0614, 0.0736, 0.0703, 0.0703, 0.0686, 0.0728, 0.0705, 0.0691, 0.0679, 0.0732]
383
-
384
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
385
- RMSE : [2.7909, 4.4063, 5.0012, 5.1146, 5.2961, 5.2798, 5.6197, 6.6476, 7.2556, 7.8279, 8.3917, 9.1710]
386
- RMSE_std : [0.4392, 0.2536, 0.6559, 0.5566, 0.0108, 0.3086, 0.5078, 1.6760, 1.7451, 2.8185, 2.1410, 0.3188]
387
- R² : [0.9699, 0.9260, 0.9035, 0.9030, 0.9034, 0.9064, 0.9058, 0.8817, 0.8682, 0.8535, 0.8327, 0.7996]
388
- R²_std : [0.0087, 0.0135, 0.0359, 0.0323, 0.0118, 0.0159, 0.0104, 0.0413, 0.0404, 0.0676, 0.0585, 0.0199]
389
- SSIM : [0.9107, 0.8131, 0.8146, 0.8201, 0.8067, 0.8050, 0.8206, 0.8078, 0.7817, 0.7660, 0.7381, 0.7301]
390
- SSIM_std : [0.0002, 0.0449, 0.0654, 0.0349, 0.0030, 0.0010, 0.0271, 0.0270, 0.0168, 0.0330, 0.0512, 0.0479]
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
training_sessions/DCNN/testing_info_2025-06-07_18-00-01.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,390 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Testing Session Information
2
+ ========================================================================================================================
3
+ Session name: DCNN_in12_out12
4
+ Testing Session Start Time: 2025-06-07_18-00-01
5
+ Inputs: ['F10.7', 'Dst', 'ap', 'AE', 'pc', 'SW Temp', 'SW Density', 'SW Speed', 'SW Long Angle', 'SW Lat Angle', 'Flow Pressure', 'E Field', 'Scalar B', 'BZ (GSM)', 'Year', 'Day of Year', 'Hour']
6
+
7
+ Overall Metrics:
8
+ RMSE(TECU): 2.6165 ± 1.6610
9
+ R²: 0.9504 ± 0.0232
10
+ SSIM: 0.9627 ± 0.0251
11
+
12
+ Per-Horizon Metrics:
13
+ RMSE per step: [np.float32(1.5579), np.float32(2.2963), np.float32(2.5524), np.float32(2.6341), np.float32(2.6763), np.float32(2.6982), np.float32(2.6997), np.float32(2.7167), np.float32(2.7308), np.float32(2.7334), np.float32(2.738), np.float32(2.7224)]
14
+ RMSE_std per step: [np.float32(0.7979), np.float32(1.2529), np.float32(1.5458), np.float32(1.6756), np.float32(1.744), np.float32(1.818), np.float32(1.8585), np.float32(1.8677), np.float32(1.8849), np.float32(1.8922), np.float32(1.9028), np.float32(1.9259)]
15
+ R² per step: [np.float64(0.9795), np.float64(0.9568), np.float64(0.9493), np.float64(0.9475), np.float64(0.9468), np.float64(0.9465), np.float64(0.947), np.float64(0.9464), np.float64(0.9454), np.float64(0.9454), np.float64(0.9458), np.float64(0.9466)]
16
+ R²_std per step: [np.float64(0.0106), np.float64(0.022), np.float64(0.0271), np.float64(0.0294), np.float64(0.0313), np.float64(0.0327), np.float64(0.0334), np.float64(0.0341), np.float64(0.0348), np.float64(0.0347), np.float64(0.0351), np.float64(0.0357)]
17
+ SSIM per step: [np.float64(0.9815), np.float64(0.9661), np.float64(0.962), np.float64(0.9611), np.float64(0.9605), np.float64(0.9605), np.float64(0.9605), np.float64(0.9599), np.float64(0.9596), np.float64(0.9598), np.float64(0.9598), np.float64(0.961)]
18
+ SSIM_std per step: [np.float64(0.0103), np.float64(0.0198), np.float64(0.0254), np.float64(0.0277), np.float64(0.0291), np.float64(0.0297), np.float64(0.0302), np.float64(0.0304), np.float64(0.03), np.float64(0.03), np.float64(0.0304), np.float64(0.0298)]
19
+
20
+ very_weak:
21
+ Overall Metrics:
22
+ RMSE(TECU): 1.3040
23
+ RMSE_std: 0.2815
24
+ R²: 0.9474
25
+ R²_std: 0.0194
26
+ SSIM: 0.9808
27
+ SSIM_std: 0.0055
28
+ RMSE per step: [0.9221, 1.2993, 1.3501, 1.3459, 1.3219, 1.3088, 1.3011, 1.3024, 1.3115, 1.3166, 1.3016, 1.2834]
29
+ RMSE std per step: [0.2096, 0.3144, 0.3587, 0.3791, 0.3849, 0.3854, 0.382, 0.3736, 0.3665, 0.3651, 0.3671, 0.3743]
30
+ R² per step: [0.9728, 0.9467, 0.9422, 0.9425, 0.9444, 0.9454, 0.9459, 0.9457, 0.9449, 0.9446, 0.9458, 0.9475]
31
+ R² std per step: [0.0116, 0.0216, 0.0262, 0.0277, 0.0282, 0.0283, 0.0282, 0.0279, 0.0278, 0.0277, 0.0274, 0.0272]
32
+ SSIM per step: [0.9883, 0.9792, 0.9793, 0.9797, 0.9805, 0.9807, 0.9806, 0.9803, 0.9798, 0.9797, 0.9803, 0.9810]
33
+ SSIM std per step: [0.0043, 0.0071, 0.0077, 0.0081, 0.0080, 0.0079, 0.0078, 0.0076, 0.0074, 0.0074, 0.0073, 0.0073]
34
+
35
+ weak:
36
+ Overall Metrics:
37
+ RMSE(TECU): 1.5501
38
+ RMSE_std: 0.7490
39
+ R²: 0.9488
40
+ R²_std: 0.0198
41
+ SSIM: 0.9771
42
+ SSIM_std: 0.0130
43
+ RMSE per step: [1.0486, 1.5013, 1.5759, 1.5792, 1.5676, 1.5628, 1.5613, 1.5682, 1.5804, 1.5866, 1.5708, 1.5482]
44
+ RMSE std per step: [0.4363, 0.6658, 0.7622, 0.8042, 0.8291, 0.8465, 0.8517, 0.8489, 0.8443, 0.8453, 0.8457, 0.8392]
45
+ R² per step: [0.9753, 0.9499, 0.9452, 0.9453, 0.9463, 0.9468, 0.9470, 0.9464, 0.9454, 0.9450, 0.9462, 0.9477]
46
+ R² std per step: [0.0106, 0.0212, 0.0261, 0.0275, 0.0283, 0.0290, 0.0292, 0.0291, 0.0289, 0.0290, 0.0290, 0.0290]
47
+ SSIM per step: [0.9868, 0.9764, 0.9761, 0.9764, 0.9769, 0.9768, 0.9765, 0.9760, 0.9754, 0.9753, 0.9760, 0.9769]
48
+ SSIM std per step: [0.0067, 0.0122, 0.0143, 0.0153, 0.0156, 0.0157, 0.0156, 0.0154, 0.0151, 0.0151, 0.0152, 0.0148]
49
+
50
+ moderate:
51
+ Overall Metrics:
52
+ RMSE(TECU): 3.3772
53
+ RMSE_std: 1.0479
54
+ R²: 0.9501
55
+ R²_std: 0.0260
56
+ SSIM: 0.9500
57
+ SSIM_std: 0.0206
58
+ RMSE per step: [2.0112, 2.9587, 3.2800, 3.4056, 3.4600, 3.4906, 3.5039, 3.5092, 3.5186, 3.5338, 3.5283, 3.5109]
59
+ RMSE std per step: [0.5748, 0.8695, 1.0402, 1.1469, 1.2049, 1.2452, 1.2712, 1.2839, 1.2883, 1.2935, 1.303, 1.3086]
60
+ R² per step: [0.9819, 0.9609, 0.9517, 0.9477, 0.9458, 0.9448, 0.9443, 0.9441, 0.9438, 0.9434, 0.9435, 0.9439]
61
+ R² std per step: [0.0086, 0.0196, 0.0272, 0.0323, 0.0354, 0.0373, 0.0389, 0.0399, 0.0404, 0.0409, 0.0420, 0.0427]
62
+ SSIM per step: [0.9751, 0.9557, 0.9500, 0.9479, 0.9470, 0.9465, 0.9462, 0.9462, 0.9461, 0.9458, 0.9462, 0.9476]
63
+ SSIM std per step: [0.0097, 0.0179, 0.0221, 0.0243, 0.0253, 0.0260, 0.0265, 0.0266, 0.0266, 0.0267, 0.0268, 0.0266]
64
+
65
+ intense:
66
+ Overall Metrics:
67
+ RMSE(TECU): 4.5129
68
+ RMSE_std: 1.8194
69
+ R²: 0.9565
70
+ R²_std: 0.0261
71
+ SSIM: 0.9401
72
+ SSIM_std: 0.0294
73
+ RMSE per step: [2.5343, 3.7303, 4.2410, 4.4753, 4.5942, 4.6744, 4.7257, 4.7558, 4.7877, 4.8162, 4.8221, 4.8524]
74
+ RMSE std per step: [1.0019, 1.4051, 1.6777, 1.8433, 1.9412, 2.0173, 2.0799, 2.1244, 2.1472, 2.1667, 2.1927, 2.2266]
75
+ R² per step: [0.9856, 0.9697, 0.9609, 0.9563, 0.9536, 0.9518, 0.9506, 0.9498, 0.9492, 0.9486, 0.9486, 0.9482]
76
+ R² std per step: [0.0103, 0.0171, 0.0236, 0.0279, 0.0318, 0.0347, 0.0371, 0.0389, 0.0398, 0.0403, 0.0407, 0.0404]
77
+ SSIM per step: [0.9717, 0.9498, 0.9410, 0.9376, 0.9362, 0.9353, 0.9348, 0.9348, 0.9346, 0.9344, 0.9348, 0.9358]
78
+ SSIM std per step: [0.0147, 0.0238, 0.0301, 0.0332, 0.0347, 0.0357, 0.0364, 0.0369, 0.0369, 0.0369, 0.0370, 0.0370]
79
+
80
+ Storm Analysis Results:
81
+ ======================================================================================================================================================
82
+ Storm Date Dst(nT) Full (RMSE ± std / R² ± std / SSIM ± std) Main (RMSE ± std / R² ± std / SSIM ± std)
83
+ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
84
+ 1 2001-03-31 08:00 -387.0 8.48 ± 2.56 / 0.92 ± 0.04 / 0.88 ± 0.05 8.97 ± 2.50 / 0.92 ± 0.04 / 0.89 ± 0.04
85
+ 2 2001-11-06 06:00 -292.0 7.36 ± 2.64 / 0.93 ± 0.05 / 0.89 ± 0.05 9.25 ± 2.31 / 0.89 ± 0.05 / 0.86 ± 0.04
86
+ 3 2001-04-12 00:00 -236.0 6.38 ± 2.13 / 0.94 ± 0.04 / 0.91 ± 0.05 7.29 ± 1.41 / 0.93 ± 0.03 / 0.90 ± 0.03
87
+ 4 2001-11-24 16:00 -221.0 5.72 ± 1.47 / 0.94 ± 0.03 / 0.92 ± 0.03 6.95 ± 0.99 / 0.93 ± 0.02 / 0.89 ± 0.02
88
+ 5 2001-10-21 22:00 -180.0 7.54 ± 1.53 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.90 ± 0.03 6.40 ± 1.04 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.91 ± 0.02
89
+ 6 2001-10-03 14:00 -166.0 6.37 ± 1.21 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.91 ± 0.02 6.47 ± 0.12 / 0.96 ± 0.00 / 0.90 ± 0.00
90
+ 7 2001-10-28 10:00 -149.0 6.94 ± 1.26 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.90 ± 0.03 6.80 ± 1.06 / 0.95 ± 0.01 / 0.90 ± 0.02
91
+ 8 2001-03-20 16:00 -146.0 5.82 ± 1.63 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.92 ± 0.03 8.32 ± 0.48 / 0.91 ± 0.01 / 0.86 ± 0.01
92
+ 9 2012-03-09 08:00 -145.0 4.69 ± 0.74 / 0.93 ± 0.02 / 0.91 ± 0.02 5.27 ± 0.47 / 0.92 ± 0.01 / 0.90 ± 0.00
93
+ 10 2012-07-15 16:00 -139.0 3.34 ± 1.21 / 0.89 ± 0.08 / 0.94 ± 0.03 5.11 ± 0.42 / 0.82 ± 0.03 / 0.90 ± 0.01
94
+ 11 2012-10-01 04:00 -122.0 4.82 ± 1.45 / 0.93 ± 0.04 / 0.93 ± 0.03 5.21 ± 1.11 / 0.92 ± 0.03 / 0.91 ± 0.02
95
+ 12 2012-04-24 04:00 -120.0 4.71 ± 0.93 / 0.93 ± 0.02 / 0.92 ± 0.02 5.09 ± 0.76 / 0.93 ± 0.02 / 0.92 ± 0.02
96
+ 13 2001-04-18 06:00 -114.0 4.38 ± 0.90 / 0.96 ± 0.02 / 0.94 ± 0.02 4.01 ± 0.81 / 0.97 ± 0.01 / 0.95 ± 0.01
97
+ 14 2012-10-09 08:00 -109.0 3.79 ± 0.82 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.94 ± 0.02 5.06 ± 0.32 / 0.90 ± 0.01 / 0.91 ± 0.01
98
+ 15 2001-11-01 10:00 -106.0 7.00 ± 1.48 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.90 ± 0.03 8.18 ± 1.24 / 0.93 ± 0.02 / 0.87 ± 0.02
99
+ 16 2012-11-14 06:00 -103.0 4.87 ± 1.58 / 0.92 ± 0.04 / 0.92 ± 0.03 6.62 ± 0.68 / 0.88 ± 0.01 / 0.89 ± 0.01
100
+
101
+
102
+ ======================== Per-Horizon Breakdown ========================
103
+
104
+ Storm 1: 2001-03-31 08:00 (Dst: -387.0 nT)
105
+
106
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
107
+ RMSE : [3.8435, 6.3398, 7.5625, 8.2377, 8.5369, 8.7639, 8.9589, 9.0729, 9.1234, 9.1716, 9.2280, 9.3712]
108
+ RMSE_std : [1.5702, 2.1995, 2.5583, 2.7801, 2.9839, 3.1395, 3.2834, 3.4101, 3.4603, 3.4345, 3.3922, 3.3065]
109
+ R² : [0.9830, 0.9556, 0.9372, 0.9256, 0.9193, 0.9143, 0.9099, 0.9070, 0.9058, 0.9053, 0.9046, 0.9024]
110
+ R²_std : [0.0189, 0.0317, 0.0424, 0.0490, 0.0575, 0.0642, 0.0690, 0.0716, 0.0719, 0.0714, 0.0717, 0.0707]
111
+ SSIM : [0.9576, 0.9115, 0.8889, 0.8787, 0.8749, 0.8721, 0.8700, 0.8698, 0.8704, 0.8707, 0.8711, 0.8708]
112
+ SSIM_std : [0.0243, 0.0429, 0.0531, 0.0592, 0.0633, 0.0666, 0.0695, 0.0715, 0.0725, 0.0730, 0.0734, 0.0728]
113
+
114
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
115
+ RMSE : [2.8569, 4.1956, 4.6838, 4.8340, 5.3026, 6.1366, 7.1401, 8.4254, 10.1689, 12.1448, 14.0165, 15.1642]
116
+ RMSE_std : [0.2035, 0.6289, 0.6164, 0.5176, 1.0699, 2.1100, 2.8989, 3.5941, 4.4336, 4.7933, 4.4429, 3.6093]
117
+ R² : [0.9906, 0.9792, 0.9739, 0.9725, 0.9676, 0.9575, 0.9452, 0.9282, 0.8994, 0.8545, 0.8051, 0.7790]
118
+ R²_std : [0.0010, 0.0055, 0.0069, 0.0071, 0.0124, 0.0268, 0.0375, 0.0479, 0.0713, 0.1066, 0.1264, 0.1134]
119
+ SSIM : [0.9756, 0.9567, 0.9499, 0.9463, 0.9399, 0.9269, 0.9100, 0.8842, 0.8478, 0.8071, 0.7698, 0.7432]
120
+ SSIM_std : [0.0020, 0.0075, 0.0068, 0.0060, 0.0161, 0.0353, 0.0492, 0.0696, 0.0925, 0.1021, 0.0954, 0.0788]
121
+
122
+ Storm 2: 2001-11-06 06:00 (Dst: -292.0 nT)
123
+
124
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
125
+ RMSE : [3.7997, 5.8736, 6.7837, 7.1538, 7.3750, 7.5770, 7.6917, 7.7467, 7.8115, 7.8958, 8.0025, 8.2271]
126
+ RMSE_std : [1.1230, 1.8542, 2.3023, 2.5754, 2.7901, 3.0354, 3.2501, 3.3670, 3.3976, 3.4273, 3.4563, 3.3982]
127
+ R² : [0.9821, 0.9573, 0.9421, 0.9348, 0.9296, 0.9244, 0.9208, 0.9186, 0.9170, 0.9152, 0.9129, 0.9090]
128
+ R²_std : [0.0119, 0.0269, 0.0403, 0.0483, 0.0575, 0.0671, 0.0753, 0.0803, 0.0814, 0.0822, 0.0833, 0.0818]
129
+ SSIM : [0.9553, 0.9140, 0.8966, 0.8903, 0.8870, 0.8844, 0.8829, 0.8823, 0.8825, 0.8825, 0.8825, 0.8817]
130
+ SSIM_std : [0.0194, 0.0381, 0.0504, 0.0569, 0.0613, 0.0647, 0.0678, 0.0696, 0.0696, 0.0694, 0.0692, 0.0683]
131
+
132
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
133
+ RMSE : [2.9444, 4.3967, 4.8618, 5.1498, 5.6051, 6.3804, 7.4769, 9.0370, 10.7581, 12.5936, 14.2288, 15.4266]
134
+ RMSE_std : [0.2595, 0.0918, 0.1640, 0.4384, 0.8665, 1.6561, 2.6196, 3.9286, 4.4973, 4.3202, 3.7774, 2.8387]
135
+ R² : [0.9887, 0.9749, 0.9693, 0.9657, 0.9597, 0.9462, 0.9259, 0.8959, 0.8543, 0.7987, 0.7472, 0.7106]
136
+ R²_std : [0.0024, 0.0019, 0.0013, 0.0049, 0.0103, 0.0278, 0.0479, 0.0755, 0.1030, 0.1280, 0.1294, 0.1085]
137
+ SSIM : [0.9684, 0.9434, 0.9362, 0.9273, 0.9144, 0.8951, 0.8745, 0.8423, 0.8086, 0.7792, 0.7544, 0.7355]
138
+ SSIM_std : [0.0032, 0.0036, 0.0057, 0.0170, 0.0261, 0.0402, 0.0512, 0.0777, 0.0853, 0.0756, 0.0633, 0.0479]
139
+
140
+ Storm 3: 2001-04-12 00:00 (Dst: -236.0 nT)
141
+
142
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
143
+ RMSE : [3.1077, 4.9297, 5.8081, 6.2544, 6.4624, 6.6116, 6.7354, 6.8136, 6.8749, 6.9350, 6.9449, 6.8865]
144
+ RMSE_std : [1.3001, 1.5272, 1.7815, 2.0551, 2.2286, 2.3593, 2.4787, 2.5955, 2.7046, 2.8335, 2.9449, 2.9691]
145
+ R² : [0.9850, 0.9642, 0.9499, 0.9407, 0.9357, 0.9320, 0.9287, 0.9262, 0.9242, 0.9220, 0.9208, 0.9217]
146
+ R²_std : [0.0191, 0.0264, 0.0342, 0.0429, 0.0489, 0.0537, 0.0582, 0.0626, 0.0666, 0.0713, 0.0752, 0.0756]
147
+ SSIM : [0.9663, 0.9308, 0.9129, 0.9039, 0.9005, 0.8983, 0.8965, 0.8959, 0.8952, 0.8940, 0.8940, 0.8958]
148
+ SSIM_std : [0.0205, 0.0312, 0.0404, 0.0476, 0.0517, 0.0550, 0.0573, 0.0592, 0.0612, 0.0634, 0.0649, 0.0651]
149
+
150
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
151
+ RMSE : [2.9119, 3.9082, 4.1976, 4.1074, 4.5835, 5.5496, 6.5485, 7.3901, 8.3741, 9.5894, 10.7599, 11.6269]
152
+ RMSE_std : [1.0328, 0.7786, 0.6618, 0.4346, 1.2306, 2.2168, 2.7292, 2.7925, 2.6207, 2.3196, 1.8268, 1.5069]
153
+ R² : [0.9874, 0.9784, 0.9749, 0.9756, 0.9688, 0.9549, 0.9404, 0.9292, 0.9122, 0.8850, 0.8544, 0.8271]
154
+ R²_std : [0.0097, 0.0079, 0.0069, 0.0049, 0.0166, 0.0316, 0.0396, 0.0398, 0.0418, 0.0523, 0.0616, 0.0667]
155
+ SSIM : [0.9717, 0.9547, 0.9501, 0.9508, 0.9422, 0.9237, 0.9044, 0.8874, 0.8675, 0.8423, 0.8172, 0.7965]
156
+ SSIM_std : [0.0127, 0.0094, 0.0105, 0.0069, 0.0223, 0.0456, 0.0552, 0.0579, 0.0554, 0.0502, 0.0403, 0.0363]
157
+
158
+ Storm 4: 2001-11-24 16:00 (Dst: -221.0 nT)
159
+
160
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
161
+ RMSE : [3.1274, 4.6595, 5.3533, 5.7132, 5.8901, 5.9809, 6.0061, 6.0149, 6.0339, 6.0698, 6.0895, 6.1240]
162
+ RMSE_std : [0.9299, 1.2335, 1.5535, 1.6987, 1.7819, 1.8141, 1.8321, 1.8553, 1.8594, 1.8896, 1.9309, 1.9152]
163
+ R² : [0.9826, 0.9619, 0.9488, 0.9409, 0.9369, 0.9348, 0.9341, 0.9338, 0.9334, 0.9326, 0.9319, 0.9312]
164
+ R²_std : [0.0116, 0.0201, 0.0303, 0.0352, 0.0376, 0.0385, 0.0392, 0.0397, 0.0399, 0.0409, 0.0423, 0.0423]
165
+ SSIM : [0.9623, 0.9326, 0.9198, 0.9143, 0.9123, 0.9111, 0.9107, 0.9113, 0.9117, 0.9114, 0.9116, 0.9125]
166
+ SSIM_std : [0.0165, 0.0250, 0.0316, 0.0352, 0.0365, 0.0369, 0.0374, 0.0377, 0.0378, 0.0383, 0.0387, 0.0383]
167
+
168
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
169
+ RMSE : [3.2062, 4.1495, 4.5489, 4.8670, 5.4653, 6.0768, 6.5298, 7.2082, 8.0063, 8.9455, 9.7479, 9.9930]
170
+ RMSE_std : [0.9769, 0.5286, 0.3935, 0.5253, 1.1914, 1.4938, 1.6780, 1.8078, 1.7241, 1.4709, 1.0214, 0.8658]
171
+ R² : [0.9827, 0.9729, 0.9674, 0.9619, 0.9509, 0.9390, 0.9303, 0.9177, 0.9021, 0.8806, 0.8617, 0.8564]
172
+ R²_std : [0.0122, 0.0072, 0.0059, 0.0090, 0.0222, 0.0279, 0.0304, 0.0320, 0.0324, 0.0341, 0.0287, 0.0253]
173
+ SSIM : [0.9607, 0.9450, 0.9387, 0.9311, 0.9149, 0.8998, 0.8899, 0.8753, 0.8578, 0.8416, 0.8312, 0.8309]
174
+ SSIM_std : [0.0176, 0.0098, 0.0079, 0.0156, 0.0330, 0.0378, 0.0392, 0.0401, 0.0346, 0.0227, 0.0134, 0.0139]
175
+
176
+ Storm 5: 2001-10-21 22:00 (Dst: -180.0 nT)
177
+
178
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
179
+ RMSE : [3.8724, 5.9512, 6.8329, 7.2922, 7.5323, 7.6971, 7.8004, 7.8890, 8.0126, 8.1608, 8.3551, 8.7214]
180
+ RMSE_std : [1.1975, 1.4090, 1.5916, 1.7295, 1.8447, 1.9388, 2.0400, 2.1141, 2.1492, 2.1890, 2.2291, 2.2116]
181
+ R² : [0.9828, 0.9614, 0.9494, 0.9425, 0.9385, 0.9358, 0.9339, 0.9322, 0.9298, 0.9269, 0.9232, 0.9165]
182
+ R²_std : [0.0133, 0.0169, 0.0205, 0.0236, 0.0261, 0.0277, 0.0292, 0.0308, 0.0325, 0.0347, 0.0370, 0.0393]
183
+ SSIM : [0.9563, 0.9201, 0.9051, 0.8985, 0.8956, 0.8939, 0.8927, 0.8918, 0.8906, 0.8890, 0.8870, 0.8842]
184
+ SSIM_std : [0.0204, 0.0287, 0.0352, 0.0379, 0.0390, 0.0395, 0.0400, 0.0406, 0.0410, 0.0416, 0.0425, 0.0438]
185
+
186
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
187
+ RMSE : [3.5357, 4.6738, 5.0883, 5.1599, 5.0769, 4.9826, 5.3190, 6.0070, 6.7970, 7.6043, 8.5199, 9.5622]
188
+ RMSE_std : [0.6336, 0.4556, 0.3346, 0.1925, 0.2448, 0.2934, 1.1062, 2.0806, 2.6194, 2.8648, 2.7873, 2.2091]
189
+ R² : [0.9870, 0.9777, 0.9736, 0.9729, 0.9739, 0.9750, 0.9716, 0.9638, 0.9544, 0.9425, 0.9286, 0.9115]
190
+ R²_std : [0.0050, 0.0045, 0.0035, 0.0024, 0.0029, 0.0032, 0.0116, 0.0231, 0.0301, 0.0358, 0.0377, 0.0335]
191
+ SSIM : [0.9559, 0.9326, 0.9261, 0.9284, 0.9321, 0.9348, 0.9257, 0.9078, 0.8879, 0.8674, 0.8487, 0.8292]
192
+ SSIM_std : [0.0104, 0.0093, 0.0118, 0.0090, 0.0072, 0.0059, 0.0296, 0.0526, 0.0645, 0.0672, 0.0630, 0.0499]
193
+
194
+ Storm 6: 2001-10-03 14:00 (Dst: -166.0 nT)
195
+
196
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
197
+ RMSE : [3.4380, 5.3089, 6.0810, 6.4203, 6.5371, 6.5985, 6.6448, 6.6848, 6.7217, 6.7653, 6.8121, 6.8888]
198
+ RMSE_std : [0.7368, 1.0129, 1.2239, 1.3557, 1.4324, 1.5255, 1.6105, 1.6805, 1.7257, 1.7358, 1.7367, 1.7830]
199
+ R² : [0.9865, 0.9680, 0.9579, 0.9528, 0.9507, 0.9494, 0.9483, 0.9474, 0.9464, 0.9455, 0.9445, 0.9428]
200
+ R²_std : [0.0064, 0.0128, 0.0174, 0.0204, 0.0221, 0.0237, 0.0248, 0.0262, 0.0276, 0.0283, 0.0289, 0.0307]
201
+ SSIM : [0.9613, 0.9262, 0.9121, 0.9072, 0.9062, 0.9057, 0.9056, 0.9056, 0.9053, 0.9047, 0.9042, 0.9040]
202
+ SSIM_std : [0.0116, 0.0196, 0.0259, 0.0284, 0.0292, 0.0298, 0.0305, 0.0307, 0.0309, 0.0310, 0.0308, 0.0308]
203
+
204
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
205
+ RMSE : [3.1136, 5.7877, 6.8019, 7.0609, 7.0345, 6.9397, 6.7553, 6.4160, 6.2347, 6.3769, 6.6709, 6.8779]
206
+ RMSE_std : [0.3739, 0.5113, 0.6937, 0.6813, 0.6961, 1.0073, 1.0630, 0.7199, 0.3318, 0.6354, 0.9006, 0.9341]
207
+ R² : [0.9907, 0.9683, 0.9560, 0.9519, 0.9518, 0.9522, 0.9535, 0.9574, 0.9595, 0.9581, 0.9544, 0.9518]
208
+ R²_std : [0.0018, 0.0044, 0.0070, 0.0063, 0.0056, 0.0094, 0.0110, 0.0074, 0.0030, 0.0065, 0.0118, 0.0131]
209
+ SSIM : [0.9606, 0.9100, 0.8916, 0.8872, 0.8868, 0.8908, 0.8980, 0.9072, 0.9096, 0.9049, 0.8950, 0.8882]
210
+ SSIM_std : [0.0085, 0.0199, 0.0233, 0.0235, 0.0242, 0.0284, 0.0259, 0.0137, 0.0093, 0.0164, 0.0234, 0.0229]
211
+
212
+ Storm 7: 2001-10-28 10:00 (Dst: -149.0 nT)
213
+
214
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
215
+ RMSE : [3.7196, 5.5610, 6.3890, 6.7959, 7.0432, 7.1877, 7.2799, 7.3564, 7.4353, 7.5027, 7.5531, 7.6144]
216
+ RMSE_std : [0.9030, 1.0473, 1.2632, 1.4255, 1.5483, 1.6074, 1.6524, 1.6982, 1.7677, 1.8729, 1.9780, 1.9871]
217
+ R² : [0.9840, 0.9656, 0.9544, 0.9483, 0.9442, 0.9418, 0.9403, 0.9390, 0.9376, 0.9361, 0.9350, 0.9340]
218
+ R²_std : [0.0099, 0.0127, 0.0175, 0.0210, 0.0236, 0.0247, 0.0256, 0.0265, 0.0283, 0.0307, 0.0332, 0.0335]
219
+ SSIM : [0.9578, 0.9216, 0.9071, 0.9018, 0.8993, 0.8975, 0.8961, 0.8947, 0.8934, 0.8921, 0.8916, 0.8919]
220
+ SSIM_std : [0.0151, 0.0237, 0.0301, 0.0327, 0.0335, 0.0337, 0.0347, 0.0362, 0.0372, 0.0381, 0.0393, 0.0393]
221
+
222
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
223
+ RMSE : [3.1667, 4.2893, 4.8419, 5.1628, 5.3181, 5.6014, 6.1787, 7.0036, 7.8038, 8.5988, 9.2946, 9.9872]
224
+ RMSE_std : [0.3195, 0.1276, 0.1327, 0.3133, 0.3817, 0.6578, 1.3276, 1.9355, 2.0905, 2.0898, 2.0152, 1.4894]
225
+ R² : [0.9888, 0.9798, 0.9742, 0.9704, 0.9682, 0.9653, 0.9592, 0.9495, 0.9392, 0.9283, 0.9182, 0.9081]
226
+ R²_std : [0.0024, 0.0013, 0.0016, 0.0039, 0.0050, 0.0072, 0.0143, 0.0224, 0.0254, 0.0274, 0.0284, 0.0232]
227
+ SSIM : [0.9684, 0.9479, 0.9378, 0.9290, 0.9221, 0.9120, 0.8989, 0.8848, 0.8677, 0.8519, 0.8387, 0.8294]
228
+ SSIM_std : [0.0054, 0.0034, 0.0062, 0.0122, 0.0150, 0.0232, 0.0334, 0.0387, 0.0367, 0.0339, 0.0302, 0.0206]
229
+
230
+ Storm 8: 2001-03-20 16:00 (Dst: -146.0 nT)
231
+
232
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
233
+ RMSE : [2.7810, 4.3846, 5.1350, 5.5658, 5.8134, 6.0264, 6.1873, 6.2739, 6.3562, 6.4548, 6.5156, 6.5995]
234
+ RMSE_std : [0.8683, 1.1922, 1.4746, 1.6671, 1.7950, 1.8931, 1.9559, 2.0005, 2.0272, 2.0470, 2.0875, 2.1331]
235
+ R² : [0.9869, 0.9688, 0.9574, 0.9499, 0.9453, 0.9412, 0.9381, 0.9364, 0.9348, 0.9330, 0.9319, 0.9303]
236
+ R²_std : [0.0090, 0.0149, 0.0205, 0.0247, 0.0276, 0.0302, 0.0324, 0.0340, 0.0351, 0.0363, 0.0380, 0.0393]
237
+ SSIM : [0.9704, 0.9402, 0.9255, 0.9183, 0.9146, 0.9116, 0.9093, 0.9083, 0.9072, 0.9058, 0.9047, 0.9040]
238
+ SSIM_std : [0.0143, 0.0228, 0.0303, 0.0353, 0.0385, 0.0409, 0.0424, 0.0433, 0.0438, 0.0443, 0.0449, 0.0461]
239
+
240
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
241
+ RMSE : [3.4046, 5.3127, 6.6086, 7.5366, 8.1289, 8.4508, 8.6761, 8.9438, 9.3125, 9.7514, 10.1767, 10.4206]
242
+ RMSE_std : [1.2121, 1.1070, 1.0082, 0.6688, 0.2235, 0.1984, 0.2007, 0.2679, 0.5065, 0.7584, 0.7945, 0.6749]
243
+ R² : [0.9832, 0.9628, 0.9449, 0.9302, 0.9190, 0.9108, 0.9033, 0.8934, 0.8811, 0.8667, 0.8533, 0.8464]
244
+ R²_std : [0.0114, 0.0121, 0.0120, 0.0093, 0.0065, 0.0085, 0.0097, 0.0143, 0.0195, 0.0244, 0.0235, 0.0189]
245
+ SSIM : [0.9561, 0.9185, 0.8952, 0.8778, 0.8645, 0.8556, 0.8483, 0.8402, 0.8315, 0.8215, 0.8138, 0.8101]
246
+ SSIM_std : [0.0229, 0.0255, 0.0230, 0.0138, 0.0137, 0.0169, 0.0174, 0.0158, 0.0129, 0.0116, 0.0112, 0.0101]
247
+
248
+ Storm 9: 2012-03-09 08:00 (Dst: -145.0 nT)
249
+
250
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
251
+ RMSE : [2.8732, 4.1441, 4.5760, 4.8109, 4.8949, 4.9229, 4.9120, 4.8669, 4.8332, 4.8225, 4.8001, 4.7788]
252
+ RMSE_std : [0.5558, 0.8237, 0.9495, 1.0483, 1.0898, 1.1148, 1.1361, 1.1406, 1.1245, 1.1050, 1.1019, 1.0842]
253
+ R² : [0.9720, 0.9418, 0.9291, 0.9217, 0.9187, 0.9179, 0.9182, 0.9193, 0.9205, 0.9210, 0.9220, 0.9230]
254
+ R²_std : [0.0101, 0.0210, 0.0266, 0.0308, 0.0342, 0.0350, 0.0356, 0.0356, 0.0350, 0.0345, 0.0344, 0.0338]
255
+ SSIM : [0.9562, 0.9227, 0.9126, 0.9082, 0.9070, 0.9066, 0.9067, 0.9076, 0.9086, 0.9087, 0.9092, 0.9108]
256
+ SSIM_std : [0.0130, 0.0212, 0.0249, 0.0258, 0.0256, 0.0253, 0.0259, 0.0267, 0.0272, 0.0275, 0.0271, 0.0260]
257
+
258
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
259
+ RMSE : [2.9735, 4.5623, 4.9860, 5.2845, 5.3127, 5.2220, 5.1689, 5.1962, 5.4107, 5.8491, 6.0261, 6.0605]
260
+ RMSE_std : [0.3607, 0.5033, 0.3696, 0.3019, 0.3626, 0.4363, 0.3510, 0.5980, 0.8598, 1.3394, 1.5039, 1.2788]
261
+ R² : [0.9657, 0.9216, 0.9093, 0.9045, 0.9082, 0.9178, 0.9240, 0.9251, 0.9207, 0.9090, 0.9026, 0.9020]
262
+ R²_std : [0.0100, 0.0169, 0.0186, 0.0164, 0.0213, 0.0145, 0.0059, 0.0129, 0.0225, 0.0355, 0.0410, 0.0338]
263
+ SSIM : [0.9525, 0.9059, 0.8970, 0.8931, 0.8952, 0.9029, 0.9076, 0.9093, 0.9038, 0.8927, 0.8859, 0.8868]
264
+ SSIM_std : [0.0087, 0.0129, 0.0193, 0.0190, 0.0194, 0.0136, 0.0067, 0.0091, 0.0226, 0.0302, 0.0363, 0.0320]
265
+
266
+ Storm 10: 2012-07-15 16:00 (Dst: -139.0 nT)
267
+
268
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
269
+ RMSE : [1.7800, 2.7360, 3.0840, 3.2586, 3.3767, 3.4504, 3.4807, 3.5054, 3.5313, 3.5592, 3.5705, 3.5601]
270
+ RMSE_std : [0.4598, 0.8313, 1.0956, 1.2397, 1.3710, 1.4847, 1.5322, 1.5425, 1.5573, 1.5672, 1.5742, 1.5806]
271
+ R² : [0.9711, 0.9294, 0.9079, 0.8951, 0.8851, 0.8778, 0.8742, 0.8717, 0.8690, 0.8662, 0.8650, 0.8655]
272
+ R²_std : [0.0150, 0.0434, 0.0638, 0.0769, 0.0907, 0.1037, 0.1109, 0.1163, 0.1213, 0.1245, 0.1253, 0.1247]
273
+ SSIM : [0.9747, 0.9513, 0.9428, 0.9385, 0.9358, 0.9338, 0.9329, 0.9324, 0.9319, 0.9314, 0.9312, 0.9313]
274
+ SSIM_std : [0.0089, 0.0210, 0.0289, 0.0331, 0.0365, 0.0389, 0.0403, 0.0412, 0.0421, 0.0426, 0.0426, 0.0420]
275
+
276
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
277
+ RMSE : [1.7132, 2.6867, 3.3575, 4.0311, 4.7820, 5.5027, 5.7943, 5.7892, 5.8990, 6.0216, 6.0877, 6.0632]
278
+ RMSE_std : [0.5851, 0.9813, 1.1320, 1.1014, 0.9983, 1.2689, 1.3208, 1.2519, 1.0749, 0.8332, 0.7726, 0.7891]
279
+ R² : [0.9756, 0.9412, 0.9106, 0.8781, 0.8415, 0.8044, 0.7847, 0.7788, 0.7627, 0.7466, 0.7296, 0.7046]
280
+ R²_std : [0.0134, 0.0343, 0.0464, 0.0513, 0.0518, 0.0645, 0.0713, 0.0663, 0.0547, 0.0325, 0.0283, 0.0562]
281
+ SSIM : [0.9761, 0.9514, 0.9352, 0.9200, 0.9042, 0.8919, 0.8859, 0.8824, 0.8755, 0.8683, 0.8619, 0.8606]
282
+ SSIM_std : [0.0108, 0.0233, 0.0279, 0.0248, 0.0176, 0.0220, 0.0272, 0.0271, 0.0251, 0.0189, 0.0130, 0.0102]
283
+
284
+ Storm 11: 2012-10-01 04:00 (Dst: -122.0 nT)
285
+
286
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
287
+ RMSE : [2.7347, 4.0261, 4.4679, 4.6772, 4.8333, 4.9440, 5.0303, 5.0924, 5.1150, 5.1266, 5.1196, 5.0433]
288
+ RMSE_std : [0.5756, 1.1035, 1.4125, 1.5953, 1.7156, 1.8165, 1.9007, 1.9548, 1.9619, 1.9394, 1.9293, 1.9238]
289
+ R² : [0.9774, 0.9501, 0.9373, 0.9303, 0.9248, 0.9205, 0.9169, 0.9142, 0.9131, 0.9126, 0.9125, 0.9148]
290
+ R²_std : [0.0077, 0.0238, 0.0356, 0.0428, 0.0480, 0.0531, 0.0576, 0.0602, 0.0604, 0.0596, 0.0593, 0.0578]
291
+ SSIM : [0.9646, 0.9361, 0.9278, 0.9241, 0.9215, 0.9198, 0.9184, 0.9178, 0.9176, 0.9176, 0.9183, 0.9207]
292
+ SSIM_std : [0.0118, 0.0261, 0.0340, 0.0384, 0.0414, 0.0438, 0.0455, 0.0465, 0.0465, 0.0461, 0.0457, 0.0449]
293
+
294
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
295
+ RMSE : [2.4025, 3.2804, 3.6916, 3.9222, 4.0738, 4.2864, 4.5166, 4.8944, 5.6207, 6.5689, 7.4274, 8.1451]
296
+ RMSE_std : [0.2538, 0.2426, 0.2877, 0.3795, 0.5272, 0.6480, 0.6762, 0.9435, 1.5827, 2.0510, 2.3132, 2.1792]
297
+ R² : [0.9817, 0.9659, 0.9572, 0.9526, 0.9500, 0.9455, 0.9413, 0.9334, 0.9159, 0.8883, 0.8570, 0.8289]
298
+ R²_std : [0.0040, 0.0053, 0.0066, 0.0082, 0.0107, 0.0132, 0.0134, 0.0199, 0.0392, 0.0601, 0.0802, 0.0830]
299
+ SSIM : [0.9709, 0.9535, 0.9480, 0.9429, 0.9368, 0.9295, 0.9221, 0.9103, 0.8923, 0.8701, 0.8530, 0.8389]
300
+ SSIM_std : [0.0050, 0.0053, 0.0074, 0.0130, 0.0172, 0.0206, 0.0203, 0.0248, 0.0372, 0.0431, 0.0460, 0.0437]
301
+
302
+ Storm 12: 2012-04-24 04:00 (Dst: -120.0 nT)
303
+
304
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
305
+ RMSE : [2.5973, 3.9920, 4.5371, 4.7781, 4.9077, 4.9917, 5.0398, 5.0212, 4.9558, 4.8983, 4.8399, 4.7829]
306
+ RMSE_std : [0.5199, 0.8241, 1.0773, 1.2088, 1.2639, 1.2758, 1.2773, 1.2784, 1.2722, 1.2418, 1.2324, 1.2354]
307
+ R² : [0.9795, 0.9517, 0.9368, 0.9292, 0.9248, 0.9222, 0.9206, 0.9209, 0.9227, 0.9246, 0.9262, 0.9278]
308
+ R²_std : [0.0072, 0.0167, 0.0275, 0.0345, 0.0381, 0.0384, 0.0386, 0.0392, 0.0387, 0.0371, 0.0369, 0.0373]
309
+ SSIM : [0.9654, 0.9340, 0.9224, 0.9183, 0.9164, 0.9151, 0.9143, 0.9146, 0.9157, 0.9162, 0.9171, 0.9189]
310
+ SSIM_std : [0.0108, 0.0216, 0.0276, 0.0303, 0.0316, 0.0319, 0.0322, 0.0325, 0.0325, 0.0321, 0.0320, 0.0318]
311
+
312
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
313
+ RMSE : [2.4271, 3.4625, 3.8801, 4.0518, 4.0908, 4.4009, 4.8595, 5.2361, 5.7408, 6.2065, 6.6278, 7.1086]
314
+ RMSE_std : [0.2312, 0.3755, 0.4377, 0.3406, 0.3608, 0.8518, 1.4472, 1.8402, 1.8763, 1.7112, 1.2362, 0.7317]
315
+ R² : [0.9822, 0.9652, 0.9573, 0.9537, 0.9527, 0.9437, 0.9310, 0.9219, 0.9120, 0.9027, 0.8907, 0.8691]
316
+ R²_std : [0.0040, 0.0066, 0.0079, 0.0061, 0.0078, 0.0209, 0.0354, 0.0440, 0.0438, 0.0390, 0.0304, 0.0410]
317
+ SSIM : [0.9706, 0.9524, 0.9460, 0.9451, 0.9430, 0.9325, 0.9165, 0.9039, 0.8906, 0.8757, 0.8606, 0.8513]
318
+ SSIM_std : [0.0035, 0.0043, 0.0087, 0.0085, 0.0099, 0.0293, 0.0458, 0.0517, 0.0502, 0.0455, 0.0308, 0.0127]
319
+
320
+ Storm 13: 2001-04-18 06:00 (Dst: -114.0 nT)
321
+
322
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
323
+ RMSE : [2.3871, 3.6805, 4.2034, 4.4555, 4.5379, 4.5679, 4.5822, 4.5603, 4.5664, 4.5815, 4.5766, 4.6015]
324
+ RMSE_std : [0.6741, 0.8623, 1.0484, 1.1807, 1.2230, 1.2388, 1.2526, 1.2627, 1.2386, 1.1871, 1.1477, 1.1512]
325
+ R² : [0.9884, 0.9732, 0.9647, 0.9600, 0.9583, 0.9575, 0.9571, 0.9573, 0.9572, 0.9570, 0.9571, 0.9568]
326
+ R²_std : [0.0076, 0.0120, 0.0165, 0.0197, 0.0211, 0.0220, 0.0229, 0.0232, 0.0229, 0.0223, 0.0220, 0.0215]
327
+ SSIM : [0.9762, 0.9542, 0.9448, 0.9408, 0.9398, 0.9396, 0.9395, 0.9401, 0.9405, 0.9407, 0.9414, 0.9422]
328
+ SSIM_std : [0.0103, 0.0161, 0.0219, 0.0248, 0.0259, 0.0264, 0.0271, 0.0275, 0.0271, 0.0264, 0.0255, 0.0248]
329
+
330
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
331
+ RMSE : [1.9015, 2.6100, 2.7038, 2.7074, 2.8425, 3.0024, 3.2865, 3.8157, 4.5265, 5.2231, 5.7908, 6.2202]
332
+ RMSE_std : [0.2543, 0.1728, 0.1486, 0.1179, 0.2338, 0.2781, 0.6040, 1.3484, 1.7854, 1.7565, 1.6206, 1.4088]
333
+ R² : [0.9922, 0.9855, 0.9844, 0.9843, 0.9826, 0.9807, 0.9773, 0.9697, 0.9584, 0.9463, 0.9347, 0.9261]
334
+ R²_std : [0.0021, 0.0016, 0.0017, 0.0013, 0.0027, 0.0033, 0.0075, 0.0193, 0.0278, 0.0297, 0.0305, 0.0280]
335
+ SSIM : [0.9829, 0.9708, 0.9696, 0.9698, 0.9676, 0.9653, 0.9599, 0.9492, 0.9335, 0.9177, 0.9050, 0.8968]
336
+ SSIM_std : [0.0025, 0.0035, 0.0025, 0.0023, 0.0060, 0.0068, 0.0118, 0.0266, 0.0385, 0.0412, 0.0386, 0.0328]
337
+
338
+ Storm 14: 2012-10-09 08:00 (Dst: -109.0 nT)
339
+
340
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
341
+ RMSE : [2.1868, 3.2854, 3.6407, 3.7828, 3.8348, 3.8614, 3.8880, 3.9210, 3.9491, 3.9885, 4.0339, 4.0807]
342
+ RMSE_std : [0.4173, 0.8011, 1.0360, 1.1276, 1.1341, 1.1324, 1.1168, 1.0890, 1.0517, 1.0330, 1.0431, 1.0891]
343
+ R² : [0.9793, 0.9531, 0.9419, 0.9372, 0.9355, 0.9348, 0.9342, 0.9334, 0.9327, 0.9317, 0.9305, 0.9294]
344
+ R²_std : [0.0066, 0.0186, 0.0274, 0.0313, 0.0325, 0.0334, 0.0335, 0.0331, 0.0321, 0.0316, 0.0321, 0.0333]
345
+ SSIM : [0.9714, 0.9468, 0.9394, 0.9366, 0.9352, 0.9345, 0.9340, 0.9337, 0.9331, 0.9322, 0.9315, 0.9314]
346
+ SSIM_std : [0.0075, 0.0175, 0.0230, 0.0258, 0.0270, 0.0276, 0.0278, 0.0277, 0.0273, 0.0271, 0.0274, 0.0284]
347
+
348
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
349
+ RMSE : [2.5441, 3.9929, 4.5381, 4.6506, 4.5826, 4.5833, 4.9925, 5.3708, 5.6824, 5.9344, 6.0885, 6.1057]
350
+ RMSE_std : [0.2845, 0.6301, 0.7605, 0.8888, 0.9820, 0.9621, 0.9015, 0.8626, 0.8203, 0.5490, 0.4141, 0.4634]
351
+ R² : [0.9710, 0.9289, 0.9098, 0.9094, 0.9170, 0.9201, 0.9088, 0.8983, 0.8883, 0.8763, 0.8658, 0.8582]
352
+ R²_std : [0.0049, 0.0191, 0.0266, 0.0277, 0.0225, 0.0200, 0.0237, 0.0282, 0.0320, 0.0276, 0.0210, 0.0170]
353
+ SSIM : [0.9626, 0.9292, 0.9195, 0.9167, 0.9178, 0.9197, 0.9134, 0.9027, 0.8917, 0.8807, 0.8741, 0.8712]
354
+ SSIM_std : [0.0074, 0.0142, 0.0157, 0.0152, 0.0160, 0.0158, 0.0204, 0.0254, 0.0275, 0.0216, 0.0177, 0.0184]
355
+
356
+ Storm 15: 2001-11-01 10:00 (Dst: -106.0 nT)
357
+
358
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
359
+ RMSE : [3.6731, 5.6660, 6.5753, 7.0205, 7.2654, 7.4165, 7.5012, 7.5121, 7.4837, 7.4395, 7.3850, 7.3856]
360
+ RMSE_std : [0.8066, 0.9612, 1.2041, 1.4901, 1.7012, 1.8415, 1.9849, 2.0715, 2.0565, 1.9830, 1.8930, 1.7586]
361
+ R² : [0.9849, 0.9648, 0.9524, 0.9451, 0.9406, 0.9377, 0.9357, 0.9353, 0.9359, 0.9371, 0.9384, 0.9387]
362
+ R²_std : [0.0082, 0.0116, 0.0170, 0.0228, 0.0271, 0.0298, 0.0322, 0.0333, 0.0325, 0.0306, 0.0282, 0.0255]
363
+ SSIM : [0.9569, 0.9154, 0.8977, 0.8911, 0.8891, 0.8883, 0.8880, 0.8886, 0.8901, 0.8916, 0.8939, 0.8961]
364
+ SSIM_std : [0.0147, 0.0257, 0.0345, 0.0395, 0.0414, 0.0418, 0.0428, 0.0435, 0.0423, 0.0404, 0.0383, 0.0347]
365
+
366
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
367
+ RMSE : [3.1216, 4.8520, 5.6796, 6.2250, 6.6772, 7.3201, 8.1194, 9.0761, 9.9003, 10.5265, 10.8771, 10.8753]
368
+ RMSE_std : [0.4157, 0.6282, 0.6786, 0.8798, 1.1573, 1.5169, 1.8953, 2.1302, 2.1596, 1.8939, 1.4655, 0.9605]
369
+ R² : [0.9892, 0.9740, 0.9647, 0.9581, 0.9515, 0.9411, 0.9271, 0.9098, 0.8952, 0.8851, 0.8809, 0.8843]
370
+ R²_std : [0.0028, 0.0067, 0.0084, 0.0114, 0.0165, 0.0241, 0.0332, 0.0402, 0.0416, 0.0359, 0.0266, 0.0166]
371
+ SSIM : [0.9694, 0.9406, 0.9235, 0.9063, 0.8900, 0.8723, 0.8544, 0.8365, 0.8238, 0.8184, 0.8182, 0.8248]
372
+ SSIM_std : [0.0074, 0.0143, 0.0277, 0.0390, 0.0443, 0.0455, 0.0423, 0.0333, 0.0200, 0.0122, 0.0081, 0.0082]
373
+
374
+ Storm 16: 2012-11-14 06:00 (Dst: -103.0 nT)
375
+
376
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
377
+ RMSE : [2.5942, 4.0566, 4.6076, 4.8339, 4.9395, 5.0098, 5.0200, 5.0105, 5.0464, 5.0997, 5.1452, 5.2381]
378
+ RMSE_std : [0.6669, 1.2981, 1.6124, 1.8292, 1.9472, 2.0077, 2.0325, 2.0459, 2.0399, 2.0556, 2.0554, 2.0349]
379
+ R² : [0.9772, 0.9432, 0.9261, 0.9180, 0.9138, 0.9113, 0.9111, 0.9116, 0.9110, 0.9095, 0.9084, 0.9061]
380
+ R²_std : [0.0098, 0.0324, 0.0464, 0.0553, 0.0602, 0.0628, 0.0638, 0.0641, 0.0637, 0.0640, 0.0636, 0.0627]
381
+ SSIM : [0.9650, 0.9315, 0.9201, 0.9153, 0.9127, 0.9109, 0.9102, 0.9103, 0.9102, 0.9094, 0.9089, 0.9100]
382
+ SSIM_std : [0.0115, 0.0294, 0.0387, 0.0431, 0.0452, 0.0463, 0.0469, 0.0474, 0.0471, 0.0471, 0.0468, 0.0465]
383
+
384
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
385
+ RMSE : [2.6132, 3.9863, 4.6584, 4.8132, 4.9791, 5.5724, 6.1635, 6.9029, 7.7298, 8.4131, 9.1162, 9.5216]
386
+ RMSE_std : [0.3882, 0.5037, 0.4616, 0.4532, 0.4839, 1.0986, 1.5347, 1.9317, 2.0099, 1.9079, 1.3368, 0.9028]
387
+ R² : [0.9734, 0.9393, 0.9211, 0.9195, 0.9191, 0.9069, 0.8947, 0.8784, 0.8565, 0.8341, 0.8093, 0.7915]
388
+ R²_std : [0.0088, 0.0201, 0.0243, 0.0222, 0.0172, 0.0268, 0.0358, 0.0441, 0.0477, 0.0488, 0.0373, 0.0194]
389
+ SSIM : [0.9622, 0.9297, 0.9207, 0.9188, 0.9139, 0.9025, 0.8915, 0.8773, 0.8609, 0.8446, 0.8309, 0.8246]
390
+ SSIM_std : [0.0095, 0.0163, 0.0128, 0.0114, 0.0136, 0.0217, 0.0278, 0.0319, 0.0356, 0.0375, 0.0289, 0.0196]
training_sessions/SimVPv2/files.json CHANGED
@@ -1,6 +1,5 @@
1
  [
2
  "SimVP_stratifiedSplit_Allfeatures_best_checkpoint_20250320_1401.pth",
3
  "SimVP_stratifiedSplit_Allfeatures_lr8e-05_bs128_20250320_1401.txt",
4
- "testing_info_2025-03-31_18-42-13(ChronovsStrat).txt",
5
- "testing_info_2025-04-14_21-33-16.txt"
6
  ]
 
1
  [
2
  "SimVP_stratifiedSplit_Allfeatures_best_checkpoint_20250320_1401.pth",
3
  "SimVP_stratifiedSplit_Allfeatures_lr8e-05_bs128_20250320_1401.txt",
4
+ "testing_info_2025-06-08_14-22-28.txt"
 
5
  ]
training_sessions/SimVPv2/testing_info_2025-03-31_18-42-13(ChronovsStrat).txt DELETED
@@ -1,26 +0,0 @@
1
- Testing Session Information
2
- ========================================================================================================================
3
- Session name: SimVP_AllFeatures
4
- Testing Session Start Time: 2025-03-31_18-42-13
5
- Inputs: []
6
- Num of GPU: 4
7
- Overall Metrics:
8
- MAE: 2.9076
9
- RMSE(TECU): 3.9725
10
- RMSE(%): 12.9884
11
- R²: 0.9598
12
- Pearson's R: 0.9807
13
-
14
- Per-Horizon Metrics:
15
- RMSE per step: [np.float32(2.8157), np.float32(3.529), np.float32(3.8456), np.float32(4.0306), np.float32(4.183), np.float32(4.2177), np.float32(4.2979), np.float32(4.3633), np.float32(4.4439), np.float32(4.4761), np.float32(4.5716), np.float32(4.6369)]
16
- R² per step: [np.float64(0.9808), np.float64(0.9705), np.float64(0.9646), np.float64(0.9614), np.float64(0.9588), np.float64(0.9577), np.float64(0.9566), np.float64(0.9556), np.float64(0.9534), np.float64(0.953), np.float64(0.9513), np.float64(0.949)]
17
-
18
- Storm Analysis Results:
19
- Storm 1: Storm Date: 2024-05-11 02:00| Storm Dst: -412.0| Full Period RMSE: 6.3418 | R²: 0.8911 Main Phase RMSE: 10.0658 | R²: 0.7915
20
- Storm 2: Storm Date: 2024-08-12 16:00| Storm Dst: -188.0| Full Period RMSE: 5.5004 | R²: 0.9394 Main Phase RMSE: 7.7180 | R²: 0.8974
21
- Storm 3: Storm Date: 2023-11-05 22:00| Storm Dst: -155.0| Full Period RMSE: 5.4218 | R²: 0.9421 Main Phase RMSE: 7.0863 | R²: 0.9113
22
- Storm 4: Storm Date: 2024-03-24 20:00| Storm Dst: -128.0| Full Period RMSE: 5.6221 | R²: 0.9519 Main Phase RMSE: 6.8234 | R²: 0.9353
23
- Storm 5: Storm Date: 2024-03-03 18:00| Storm Dst: -111.0| Full Period RMSE: 4.5454 | R²: 0.9503 Main Phase RMSE: 5.1216 | R²: 0.9375
24
- Storm 6: Storm Date: 2023-12-01 12:00| Storm Dst: -107.0| Full Period RMSE: 4.4141 | R²: 0.9489 Main Phase RMSE: 4.8138 | R²: 0.9427
25
- Storm 7: Storm Date: 2024-06-28 12:00| Storm Dst: -105.0| Full Period RMSE: 3.5596 | R²: 0.9497 Main Phase RMSE: 4.3873 | R²: 0.9338
26
- Storm 8: Storm Date: 2024-04-19 18:00| Storm Dst: -103.0| Full Period RMSE: 5.6884 | R²: 0.9526 Main Phase RMSE: 6.6965 | R²: 0.9324
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
training_sessions/SimVPv2/testing_info_2025-04-14_21-33-16.txt DELETED
@@ -1,392 +0,0 @@
1
- Testing Session Information
2
- ========================================================================================================================
3
- Session name: SimVP_AllFeatures
4
- Testing Session Start Time: 2025-04-14_21-33-16
5
- Inputs: ['F10.7', 'Dst', 'ap', 'AE', 'pc', 'SW Temp', 'SW Density', 'SW Speed', 'SW Long Angle', 'SW Lat Angle', 'Flow Pressure', 'E Field', 'Scalar B', 'BZ (GSM)', 'Year', 'Day of Year', 'Hour']
6
-
7
- Overall Metrics:
8
- RMSE(TECU): 2.1778 ± 1.4676
9
- R²: 0.9622 ± 0.0153
10
- SSIM: 0.8667 ± 0.0390
11
-
12
- Per-Horizon Metrics:
13
- RMSE per step: [np.float32(1.5085), np.float32(1.904), np.float32(2.1119), np.float32(2.198), np.float32(2.2193), np.float32(2.2561), np.float32(2.3371), np.float32(2.3627), np.float32(2.3691), np.float32(2.3872), np.float32(2.4358), np.float32(2.4741)]
14
- RMSE_std per step: [np.float32(0.7787), np.float32(1.0089), np.float32(1.168), np.float32(1.2994), np.float32(1.3554), np.float32(1.4052), np.float32(1.4608), np.float32(1.5237), np.float32(1.5359), np.float32(1.574), np.float32(1.6181), np.float32(1.6566)]
15
- R² per step: [np.float64(0.9808), np.float64(0.9698), np.float64(0.9643), np.float64(0.9627), np.float64(0.9622), np.float64(0.9612), np.float64(0.9588), np.float64(0.9586), np.float64(0.9574), np.float64(0.957), np.float64(0.9564), np.float64(0.9548)]
16
- R²_std per step: [np.float64(0.0099), np.float64(0.0152), np.float64(0.0173), np.float64(0.0186), np.float64(0.0193), np.float64(0.0199), np.float64(0.0214), np.float64(0.0229), np.float64(0.0249), np.float64(0.0252), np.float64(0.025), np.float64(0.028)]
17
- SSIM per step: [np.float64(0.922), np.float64(0.896), np.float64(0.8884), np.float64(0.8885), np.float64(0.8873), np.float64(0.883), np.float64(0.8803), np.float64(0.8859), np.float64(0.8844), np.float64(0.8812), np.float64(0.8827), np.float64(0.8841)]
18
- SSIM_std per step: [np.float64(0.0282), np.float64(0.0333), np.float64(0.0338), np.float64(0.0337), np.float64(0.0341), np.float64(0.0346), np.float64(0.0366), np.float64(0.0349), np.float64(0.0366), np.float64(0.0371), np.float64(0.0356), np.float64(0.0378)]
19
-
20
-
21
- very_weak:
22
- Overall Metrics:
23
- RMSE(TECU): 1.1311
24
- RMSE_std: 0.4184
25
- R²: 0.9566
26
- R²_std: 0.0138
27
- SSIM: 0.8548
28
- SSIM_std: 0.0321
29
- RMSE per step: [0.8943, 1.1028, 1.1754, 1.1756, 1.1777, 1.1794, 1.2115, 1.1960, 1.2184, 1.2117, 1.2184, 1.2372]
30
- RMSE std per step: [0.1843, 0.2303, 0.2504, 0.2678, 0.2821, 0.2892, 0.3128, 0.3084, 0.3328, 0.331, 0.3348, 0.344]
31
- R² per step: [0.9746, 0.9613, 0.9561, 0.9560, 0.9560, 0.9558, 0.9533, 0.9544, 0.9527, 0.9531, 0.9528, 0.9511]
32
- R² std per step: [0.0103, 0.0156, 0.0176, 0.0186, 0.0187, 0.0193, 0.0213, 0.0210, 0.0229, 0.0231, 0.0230, 0.0248]
33
- SSIM per step: [0.9026, 0.8782, 0.8719, 0.8725, 0.8731, 0.8718, 0.8670, 0.8722, 0.8712, 0.8712, 0.8719, 0.8723]
34
- SSIM std per step: [0.0254, 0.0297, 0.0308, 0.0311, 0.0315, 0.0310, 0.0336, 0.0321, 0.0326, 0.0331, 0.0323, 0.0339]
35
-
36
- weak:
37
- Overall Metrics:
38
- RMSE(TECU): 1.3017
39
- RMSE_std: 0.7146
40
- R²: 0.9597
41
- R²_std: 0.0137
42
- SSIM: 0.8585
43
- SSIM_std: 0.0334
44
- RMSE per step: [0.9904, 1.2395, 1.3329, 1.3463, 1.3551, 1.3670, 1.3945, 1.3893, 1.4071, 1.4098, 1.4178, 1.4381]
45
- RMSE std per step: [0.3946, 0.5169, 0.5715, 0.6081, 0.6356, 0.6428, 0.6567, 0.6635, 0.679, 0.6869, 0.6987, 0.7064]
46
- R² per step: [0.9779, 0.9655, 0.9602, 0.9597, 0.9595, 0.9587, 0.9567, 0.9572, 0.9560, 0.9558, 0.9555, 0.9540]
47
- R² std per step: [0.0091, 0.0143, 0.0166, 0.0176, 0.0185, 0.0195, 0.0210, 0.0208, 0.0222, 0.0223, 0.0226, 0.0233]
48
- SSIM per step: [0.9101, 0.8857, 0.8795, 0.8793, 0.8800, 0.8771, 0.8739, 0.8775, 0.8781, 0.8766, 0.8778, 0.8767]
49
- SSIM std per step: [0.0229, 0.0267, 0.0283, 0.0285, 0.0283, 0.0285, 0.0314, 0.0290, 0.0298, 0.0303, 0.0295, 0.0318]
50
-
51
- moderate:
52
- Overall Metrics:
53
- RMSE(TECU): 2.7553
54
- RMSE_std: 1.1069
55
- R²: 0.9647
56
- R²_std: 0.0157
57
- SSIM: 0.8749
58
- SSIM_std: 0.0418
59
- RMSE per step: [1.9037, 2.4206, 2.6536, 2.7580, 2.8500, 2.8887, 2.9377, 2.9638, 3.0015, 3.0300, 3.0765, 3.1085]
60
- RMSE std per step: [0.5025, 0.6614, 0.7665, 0.8411, 0.8926, 0.9328, 0.9754, 1.0233, 1.0475, 1.0824, 1.1154, 1.1428]
61
- R² per step: [0.9840, 0.9739, 0.9687, 0.9662, 0.9639, 0.9629, 0.9614, 0.9607, 0.9596, 0.9588, 0.9575, 0.9564]
62
- R² std per step: [0.0068, 0.0121, 0.0154, 0.0177, 0.0195, 0.0211, 0.0230, 0.0246, 0.0257, 0.0273, 0.0291, 0.0318]
63
- SSIM per step: [0.9338, 0.9090, 0.8989, 0.8952, 0.8930, 0.8921, 0.8898, 0.8912, 0.8904, 0.8898, 0.8891, 0.8887]
64
- SSIM std per step: [0.0187, 0.0268, 0.0298, 0.0319, 0.0329, 0.0342, 0.0357, 0.0363, 0.0371, 0.0376, 0.0379, 0.0394]
65
-
66
- intense:
67
- Overall Metrics:
68
- RMSE(TECU): 3.7472
69
- RMSE_std: 1.6914
70
- R²: 0.9689
71
- R²_std: 0.0156
72
- SSIM: 0.8812
73
- SSIM_std: 0.0415
74
- RMSE per step: [2.4878, 3.0975, 3.4372, 3.6350, 3.7997, 3.8920, 3.9860, 4.0637, 4.1410, 4.1908, 4.2515, 4.3011]
75
- RMSE std per step: [0.9157, 1.0944, 1.2378, 1.369, 1.4754, 1.5528, 1.6251, 1.689, 1.7324, 1.788, 1.8453, 1.9016]
76
- R² per step: [0.9866, 0.9792, 0.9745, 0.9715, 0.9689, 0.9673, 0.9657, 0.9643, 0.9630, 0.9620, 0.9608, 0.9597]
77
- R² std per step: [0.0077, 0.0111, 0.0136, 0.0158, 0.0179, 0.0196, 0.0213, 0.0232, 0.0239, 0.0255, 0.0275, 0.0298]
78
- SSIM per step: [0.9431, 0.9219, 0.9106, 0.9055, 0.9030, 0.9011, 0.8990, 0.9002, 0.8989, 0.8980, 0.8980, 0.8975]
79
- SSIM std per step: [0.0195, 0.0267, 0.0305, 0.0330, 0.0340, 0.0353, 0.0359, 0.0366, 0.0367, 0.0373, 0.0376, 0.0391]
80
-
81
-
82
- Storm Analysis Results:
83
- ======================================================================================================================================================
84
- Storm Date Dst(nT) Full (RMSE ± std / R² ± std / SSIM ± std) Main (RMSE ± std / R² ± std / SSIM ± std)
85
- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
86
- 1 2001-03-31 08:00 -387.0 6.96 ± 3.13 / 0.94 ± 0.04 / 0.82 ± 0.08 8.39 ± 3.28 / 0.92 ± 0.04 / 0.79 ± 0.08
87
- 2 2001-11-06 06:00 -292.0 6.47 ± 2.06 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.83 ± 0.08 7.93 ± 1.99 / 0.92 ± 0.03 / 0.78 ± 0.07
88
- 3 2001-04-12 00:00 -236.0 5.41 ± 2.41 / 0.95 ± 0.03 / 0.84 ± 0.08 6.78 ± 3.06 / 0.93 ± 0.03 / 0.79 ± 0.09
89
- 4 2001-11-24 16:00 -221.0 4.97 ± 1.78 / 0.95 ± 0.03 / 0.86 ± 0.07 6.82 ± 1.60 / 0.93 ± 0.02 / 0.76 ± 0.05
90
- 5 2001-10-21 22:00 -180.0 6.04 ± 1.99 / 0.96 ± 0.02 / 0.85 ± 0.05 5.81 ± 1.90 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.86 ± 0.04
91
- 6 2001-10-03 14:00 -166.0 5.40 ± 1.53 / 0.97 ± 0.01 / 0.85 ± 0.04 6.01 ± 1.72 / 0.96 ± 0.00 / 0.82 ± 0.01
92
- 7 2001-10-28 10:00 -149.0 5.85 ± 1.63 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.86 ± 0.03 5.86 ± 1.58 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.85 ± 0.04
93
- 8 2001-03-20 16:00 -146.0 4.54 ± 1.79 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.86 ± 0.05 5.94 ± 1.75 / 0.95 ± 0.00 / 0.80 ± 0.01
94
- 9 2012-03-09 08:00 -145.0 3.90 ± 1.41 / 0.94 ± 0.01 / 0.81 ± 0.04 4.11 ± 1.34 / 0.94 ± 0.01 / 0.80 ± 0.00
95
- 10 2012-07-15 16:00 -139.0 2.65 ± 1.11 / 0.93 ± 0.04 / 0.79 ± 0.08 4.07 ± 1.29 / 0.87 ± 0.02 / 0.67 ± 0.03
96
- 11 2012-10-01 04:00 -122.0 3.94 ± 1.51 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.85 ± 0.07 4.71 ± 1.86 / 0.93 ± 0.03 / 0.79 ± 0.07
97
- 12 2012-04-24 04:00 -120.0 3.82 ± 1.48 / 0.95 ± 0.01 / 0.84 ± 0.05 4.48 ± 1.50 / 0.94 ± 0.01 / 0.80 ± 0.05
98
- 13 2001-04-18 06:00 -114.0 3.50 ± 1.30 / 0.97 ± 0.02 / 0.89 ± 0.05 3.90 ± 1.56 / 0.96 ± 0.02 / 0.87 ± 0.06
99
- 14 2012-10-09 08:00 -109.0 3.07 ± 1.15 / 0.96 ± 0.02 / 0.85 ± 0.05 4.23 ± 1.30 / 0.93 ± 0.01 / 0.78 ± 0.01
100
- 15 2001-11-01 10:00 -106.0 5.64 ± 1.29 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.87 ± 0.03 6.47 ± 1.08 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.81 ± 0.04
101
- 16 2012-11-14 06:00 -103.0 3.78 ± 1.48 / 0.95 ± 0.03 / 0.84 ± 0.07 4.69 ± 1.66 / 0.93 ± 0.02 / 0.81 ± 0.06
102
-
103
-
104
- ======================== Per-Horizon Breakdown ========================
105
-
106
- Storm 1: 2001-03-31 08:00 (Dst: -387.0 nT)
107
-
108
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
109
- RMSE : [4.1192, 5.3218, 6.0750, 6.5378, 6.9250, 7.2092, 7.3898, 7.5617, 7.7427, 7.8764, 8.0228, 8.2361]
110
- RMSE_std : [1.3776, 2.0510, 2.4238, 2.7309, 2.9729, 3.2370, 3.3063, 3.3938, 3.2114, 3.3200, 3.5706, 3.6009]
111
- R² : [0.9815, 0.9686, 0.9593, 0.9526, 0.9464, 0.9409, 0.9373, 0.9340, 0.9323, 0.9298, 0.9261, 0.9225]
112
- R²_std : [0.0136, 0.0241, 0.0308, 0.0373, 0.0449, 0.0579, 0.0659, 0.0692, 0.0624, 0.0651, 0.0721, 0.0740]
113
- SSIM : [0.9306, 0.8983, 0.8792, 0.8696, 0.8660, 0.8618, 0.8576, 0.8588, 0.8561, 0.8543, 0.8524, 0.8483]
114
- SSIM_std : [0.0321, 0.0480, 0.0578, 0.0631, 0.0657, 0.0698, 0.0738, 0.0777, 0.0799, 0.0805, 0.0840, 0.0844]
115
-
116
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
117
- RMSE : [2.8422, 3.4202, 3.6427, 3.9341, 4.8492, 5.8049, 6.9473, 8.1249, 9.6947, 11.6618, 13.8169, 15.1150]
118
- RMSE_std : [0.1792, 0.3199, 0.1737, 0.3724, 1.4970, 2.6851, 3.3571, 3.8208, 4.3531, 4.5543, 4.2984, 3.3670]
119
- R² : [0.9907, 0.9862, 0.9845, 0.9821, 0.9722, 0.9599, 0.9460, 0.9317, 0.9079, 0.8660, 0.8112, 0.7823]
120
- R²_std : [0.0008, 0.0025, 0.0012, 0.0025, 0.0172, 0.0351, 0.0443, 0.0505, 0.0678, 0.0981, 0.1215, 0.1069]
121
- SSIM : [0.9568, 0.9460, 0.9380, 0.9324, 0.9209, 0.9084, 0.8876, 0.8672, 0.8297, 0.7876, 0.7426, 0.7054]
122
- SSIM_std : [0.0040, 0.0039, 0.0057, 0.0051, 0.0141, 0.0338, 0.0476, 0.0692, 0.0915, 0.1068, 0.1110, 0.0963]
123
-
124
- Storm 2: 2001-11-06 06:00 (Dst: -292.0 nT)
125
-
126
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
127
- RMSE : [3.9541, 4.8273, 5.3903, 5.9038, 6.3749, 6.6118, 6.8668, 7.1135, 7.1798, 7.3619, 7.5515, 7.7505]
128
- RMSE_std : [1.1323, 1.3097, 1.4887, 1.6145, 1.7384, 1.8624, 1.8682, 1.9805, 2.0467, 2.3101, 2.5219, 2.7313]
129
- R² : [0.9808, 0.9717, 0.9647, 0.9576, 0.9503, 0.9463, 0.9424, 0.9377, 0.9361, 0.9316, 0.9270, 0.9221]
130
- R²_std : [0.0116, 0.0158, 0.0201, 0.0236, 0.0278, 0.0306, 0.0306, 0.0357, 0.0386, 0.0484, 0.0566, 0.0644]
131
- SSIM : [0.9248, 0.8970, 0.8811, 0.8722, 0.8664, 0.8629, 0.8569, 0.8570, 0.8538, 0.8511, 0.8489, 0.8462]
132
- SSIM_std : [0.0297, 0.0435, 0.0506, 0.0534, 0.0538, 0.0559, 0.0591, 0.0596, 0.0608, 0.0627, 0.0663, 0.0700]
133
-
134
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
135
- RMSE : [3.1465, 4.1117, 4.6499, 5.1475, 5.5401, 5.8548, 6.4198, 7.4544, 8.6703, 10.3680, 12.0141, 13.7147]
136
- RMSE_std : [0.2291, 0.2659, 0.4155, 0.4313, 0.5039, 0.9827, 1.4270, 2.5717, 3.1097, 3.4502, 3.3249, 2.7405]
137
- R² : [0.9872, 0.9780, 0.9718, 0.9656, 0.9604, 0.9555, 0.9476, 0.9319, 0.9087, 0.8640, 0.8180, 0.7695]
138
- R²_std : [0.0019, 0.0028, 0.0046, 0.0054, 0.0074, 0.0148, 0.0207, 0.0393, 0.0577, 0.0874, 0.0994, 0.0931]
139
- SSIM : [0.9437, 0.9186, 0.9010, 0.8860, 0.8753, 0.8624, 0.8503, 0.8195, 0.7872, 0.7520, 0.7185, 0.6843]
140
- SSIM_std : [0.0062, 0.0095, 0.0104, 0.0147, 0.0152, 0.0276, 0.0339, 0.0630, 0.0765, 0.0823, 0.0785, 0.0615]
141
-
142
- Storm 3: 2001-04-12 00:00 (Dst: -236.0 nT)
143
-
144
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
145
- RMSE : [3.2471, 4.2605, 4.7848, 5.1314, 5.3914, 5.4957, 5.8205, 6.0376, 6.1871, 6.3186, 6.5239, 6.5273]
146
- RMSE_std : [0.9939, 1.2655, 1.4437, 1.5738, 1.6544, 1.7919, 1.9475, 2.1748, 2.3578, 2.6013, 2.7456, 2.9388]
147
- R² : [0.9851, 0.9743, 0.9675, 0.9625, 0.9584, 0.9559, 0.9499, 0.9448, 0.9411, 0.9370, 0.9319, 0.9299]
148
- R²_std : [0.0114, 0.0174, 0.0208, 0.0243, 0.0271, 0.0323, 0.0392, 0.0478, 0.0547, 0.0632, 0.0688, 0.0743]
149
- SSIM : [0.9413, 0.9151, 0.8980, 0.8884, 0.8853, 0.8820, 0.8745, 0.8721, 0.8699, 0.8646, 0.8636, 0.8605]
150
- SSIM_std : [0.0266, 0.0379, 0.0444, 0.0481, 0.0488, 0.0537, 0.0576, 0.0635, 0.0677, 0.0730, 0.0772, 0.0811]
151
-
152
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
153
- RMSE : [2.9501, 3.5025, 3.5266, 3.6695, 4.3740, 5.2872, 6.3255, 7.2963, 8.3547, 9.6604, 10.9071, 11.9562]
154
- RMSE_std : [0.6462, 0.5304, 0.3664, 0.2954, 1.1777, 2.2680, 2.9333, 3.1434, 3.0184, 2.7880, 2.2573, 1.8935]
155
- R² : [0.9879, 0.9829, 0.9824, 0.9806, 0.9716, 0.9585, 0.9431, 0.9292, 0.9107, 0.8808, 0.8482, 0.8144]
156
- R²_std : [0.0053, 0.0043, 0.0028, 0.0028, 0.0152, 0.0318, 0.0427, 0.0461, 0.0494, 0.0620, 0.0716, 0.0808]
157
- SSIM : [0.9574, 0.9439, 0.9369, 0.9302, 0.9138, 0.8887, 0.8576, 0.8331, 0.8063, 0.7744, 0.7409, 0.7116]
158
- SSIM_std : [0.0125, 0.0085, 0.0070, 0.0135, 0.0359, 0.0666, 0.0770, 0.0764, 0.0744, 0.0640, 0.0539, 0.0517]
159
-
160
- Storm 4: 2001-11-24 16:00 (Dst: -221.0 nT)
161
-
162
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
163
- RMSE : [3.2827, 3.9334, 4.4614, 4.7218, 4.9272, 5.0355, 5.3090, 5.4476, 5.5231, 5.5424, 5.6385, 5.7127]
164
- RMSE_std : [0.8458, 1.1088, 1.3102, 1.5660, 1.5906, 1.5966, 1.7779, 1.8080, 1.8930, 1.9168, 1.9715, 1.9918]
165
- R² : [0.9812, 0.9725, 0.9644, 0.9591, 0.9558, 0.9541, 0.9483, 0.9458, 0.9438, 0.9434, 0.9412, 0.9397]
166
- R²_std : [0.0103, 0.0172, 0.0229, 0.0294, 0.0302, 0.0299, 0.0348, 0.0354, 0.0380, 0.0385, 0.0402, 0.0423]
167
- SSIM : [0.9307, 0.9047, 0.8891, 0.8828, 0.8802, 0.8774, 0.8742, 0.8744, 0.8731, 0.8726, 0.8726, 0.8705]
168
- SSIM_std : [0.0275, 0.0407, 0.0475, 0.0518, 0.0516, 0.0529, 0.0559, 0.0566, 0.0586, 0.0592, 0.0579, 0.0575]
169
-
170
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
171
- RMSE : [3.0778, 3.4700, 3.9177, 4.3131, 5.1069, 5.9247, 6.3961, 7.2407, 8.2287, 9.2248, 9.8703, 10.1777]
172
- RMSE_std : [0.5882, 0.4735, 0.4392, 0.7439, 1.6821, 1.9490, 2.3033, 2.2516, 2.0727, 1.3573, 0.6645, 0.7750]
173
- R² : [0.9849, 0.9811, 0.9758, 0.9695, 0.9548, 0.9398, 0.9298, 0.9149, 0.8953, 0.8737, 0.8592, 0.8511]
174
- R²_std : [0.0059, 0.0053, 0.0055, 0.0117, 0.0316, 0.0371, 0.0422, 0.0406, 0.0398, 0.0301, 0.0178, 0.0244]
175
- SSIM : [0.9368, 0.9229, 0.9138, 0.8978, 0.8723, 0.8470, 0.8296, 0.8011, 0.7757, 0.7507, 0.7463, 0.7471]
176
- SSIM_std : [0.0124, 0.0068, 0.0086, 0.0321, 0.0620, 0.0696, 0.0738, 0.0692, 0.0550, 0.0299, 0.0212, 0.0237]
177
-
178
- Storm 5: 2001-10-21 22:00 (Dst: -180.0 nT)
179
-
180
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
181
- RMSE : [3.8856, 4.7295, 5.2928, 5.7091, 5.9668, 6.2044, 6.4662, 6.5455, 6.7698, 6.7991, 6.9897, 7.1499]
182
- RMSE_std : [0.9505, 1.2081, 1.4190, 1.5882, 1.6940, 1.8342, 1.8626, 1.9364, 1.8758, 1.9592, 2.0250, 2.0364]
183
- R² : [0.9837, 0.9758, 0.9700, 0.9651, 0.9616, 0.9584, 0.9550, 0.9538, 0.9508, 0.9502, 0.9474, 0.9451]
184
- R²_std : [0.0081, 0.0119, 0.0147, 0.0174, 0.0200, 0.0231, 0.0237, 0.0252, 0.0245, 0.0263, 0.0280, 0.0283]
185
- SSIM : [0.9325, 0.9085, 0.8948, 0.8854, 0.8823, 0.8779, 0.8728, 0.8745, 0.8720, 0.8696, 0.8675, 0.8642]
186
- SSIM_std : [0.0218, 0.0314, 0.0390, 0.0439, 0.0446, 0.0471, 0.0471, 0.0465, 0.0455, 0.0453, 0.0478, 0.0511]
187
-
188
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
189
- RMSE : [3.4323, 3.8652, 4.3140, 4.4805, 4.4540, 4.6301, 5.0670, 5.8080, 6.5829, 7.3047, 8.1476, 9.2164]
190
- RMSE_std : [0.4040, 0.3103, 0.2715, 0.3282, 0.2582, 0.3080, 1.3461, 2.4447, 2.8497, 2.7637, 2.5658, 2.0354]
191
- R² : [0.9880, 0.9848, 0.9811, 0.9795, 0.9799, 0.9784, 0.9738, 0.9649, 0.9561, 0.9471, 0.9352, 0.9179]
192
- R²_std : [0.0028, 0.0023, 0.0023, 0.0031, 0.0026, 0.0030, 0.0143, 0.0276, 0.0322, 0.0323, 0.0332, 0.0312]
193
- SSIM : [0.9421, 0.9260, 0.9183, 0.9140, 0.9165, 0.9183, 0.9008, 0.8813, 0.8589, 0.8359, 0.8120, 0.7787]
194
- SSIM_std : [0.0082, 0.0082, 0.0085, 0.0092, 0.0079, 0.0045, 0.0408, 0.0693, 0.0792, 0.0762, 0.0726, 0.0567]
195
-
196
- Storm 6: 2001-10-03 14:00 (Dst: -166.0 nT)
197
-
198
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
199
- RMSE : [3.4969, 4.5035, 5.0313, 5.3515, 5.4803, 5.6070, 5.7261, 5.7798, 5.8975, 6.0380, 6.1504, 6.3377]
200
- RMSE_std : [0.5431, 0.7511, 0.8878, 1.0261, 1.0757, 1.1332, 1.1799, 1.2564, 1.2306, 1.2995, 1.3963, 1.3966]
201
- R² : [0.9868, 0.9780, 0.9725, 0.9687, 0.9670, 0.9653, 0.9635, 0.9626, 0.9610, 0.9589, 0.9569, 0.9542]
202
- R²_std : [0.0041, 0.0075, 0.0091, 0.0115, 0.0121, 0.0128, 0.0141, 0.0151, 0.0154, 0.0166, 0.0195, 0.0204]
203
- SSIM : [0.9383, 0.9107, 0.8948, 0.8883, 0.8886, 0.8862, 0.8812, 0.8828, 0.8817, 0.8786, 0.8796, 0.8766]
204
- SSIM_std : [0.0125, 0.0220, 0.0282, 0.0306, 0.0297, 0.0314, 0.0316, 0.0339, 0.0332, 0.0342, 0.0348, 0.0340]
205
-
206
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
207
- RMSE : [3.6227, 4.8000, 5.6659, 5.9855, 6.3654, 6.7070, 6.7976, 6.6294, 6.4142, 6.4562, 6.8749, 7.2389]
208
- RMSE_std : [0.2510, 0.4548, 0.7060, 0.8603, 0.8425, 0.7116, 0.7872, 0.7496, 0.7129, 0.8556, 0.8055, 0.7069]
209
- R² : [0.9873, 0.9782, 0.9695, 0.9653, 0.9604, 0.9553, 0.9527, 0.9545, 0.9570, 0.9568, 0.9518, 0.9472]
210
- R²_std : [0.0019, 0.0030, 0.0058, 0.0076, 0.0074, 0.0066, 0.0096, 0.0083, 0.0077, 0.0096, 0.0099, 0.0087]
211
- SSIM : [0.9349, 0.8933, 0.8644, 0.8594, 0.8626, 0.8625, 0.8586, 0.8622, 0.8594, 0.8552, 0.8473, 0.8365]
212
- SSIM_std : [0.0068, 0.0222, 0.0279, 0.0270, 0.0209, 0.0208, 0.0230, 0.0221, 0.0250, 0.0249, 0.0281, 0.0223]
213
-
214
- Storm 7: 2001-10-28 10:00 (Dst: -149.0 nT)
215
-
216
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
217
- RMSE : [3.9086, 4.6823, 5.1253, 5.5349, 5.8901, 6.0202, 6.2593, 6.3533, 6.6226, 6.6501, 6.6547, 6.6243]
218
- RMSE_std : [0.6153, 0.8146, 1.0320, 1.1667, 1.2377, 1.3547, 1.4674, 1.4853, 1.5519, 1.5540, 1.5840, 1.7199]
219
- R² : [0.9830, 0.9756, 0.9708, 0.9659, 0.9612, 0.9595, 0.9558, 0.9546, 0.9505, 0.9501, 0.9498, 0.9498]
220
- R²_std : [0.0058, 0.0083, 0.0112, 0.0137, 0.0159, 0.0177, 0.0206, 0.0212, 0.0244, 0.0245, 0.0252, 0.0269]
221
- SSIM : [0.9323, 0.9073, 0.8948, 0.8872, 0.8831, 0.8794, 0.8757, 0.8751, 0.8709, 0.8695, 0.8720, 0.8722]
222
- SSIM_std : [0.0157, 0.0253, 0.0309, 0.0340, 0.0332, 0.0362, 0.0359, 0.0357, 0.0358, 0.0350, 0.0351, 0.0389]
223
-
224
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
225
- RMSE : [3.5358, 3.7854, 4.0639, 4.3036, 4.7646, 5.0936, 5.6675, 6.4134, 7.1730, 7.4942, 7.8785, 8.6395]
226
- RMSE_std : [0.4039, 0.2526, 0.2274, 0.3962, 0.5601, 0.7994, 1.1903, 1.7311, 1.7354, 1.5063, 1.2340, 1.0039]
227
- R² : [0.9860, 0.9842, 0.9818, 0.9793, 0.9743, 0.9710, 0.9657, 0.9577, 0.9491, 0.9462, 0.9422, 0.9318]
228
- R²_std : [0.0035, 0.0024, 0.0018, 0.0040, 0.0060, 0.0082, 0.0116, 0.0179, 0.0183, 0.0157, 0.0133, 0.0130]
229
- SSIM : [0.9446, 0.9324, 0.9220, 0.9159, 0.9045, 0.8931, 0.8771, 0.8586, 0.8404, 0.8194, 0.8088, 0.7953]
230
- SSIM_std : [0.0068, 0.0041, 0.0055, 0.0123, 0.0176, 0.0254, 0.0367, 0.0457, 0.0495, 0.0445, 0.0313, 0.0249]
231
-
232
- Storm 8: 2001-03-20 16:00 (Dst: -146.0 nT)
233
-
234
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
235
- RMSE : [2.8092, 3.5197, 3.9834, 4.2800, 4.5797, 4.7496, 4.8929, 5.0394, 5.1434, 5.2880, 5.4160, 5.5450]
236
- RMSE_std : [0.7259, 0.9482, 1.1138, 1.2192, 1.2778, 1.3141, 1.3981, 1.4891, 1.6063, 1.7045, 1.8045, 1.8762]
237
- R² : [0.9868, 0.9795, 0.9738, 0.9699, 0.9658, 0.9635, 0.9612, 0.9588, 0.9570, 0.9546, 0.9524, 0.9504]
238
- R²_std : [0.0062, 0.0086, 0.0114, 0.0132, 0.0146, 0.0153, 0.0174, 0.0197, 0.0225, 0.0244, 0.0271, 0.0286]
239
- SSIM : [0.9467, 0.9235, 0.9087, 0.9013, 0.8968, 0.8934, 0.8903, 0.8886, 0.8863, 0.8826, 0.8803, 0.8755]
240
- SSIM_std : [0.0180, 0.0268, 0.0338, 0.0377, 0.0388, 0.0402, 0.0421, 0.0430, 0.0449, 0.0481, 0.0504, 0.0535]
241
-
242
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
243
- RMSE : [3.1900, 4.1998, 5.0614, 5.7498, 6.2297, 6.2971, 6.3335, 6.4340, 6.7126, 7.0601, 7.3004, 7.7929]
244
- RMSE_std : [0.8135, 0.9048, 0.8743, 0.6528, 0.6300, 0.6502, 0.4694, 0.4780, 0.5299, 0.5427, 0.4991, 0.4676]
245
- R² : [0.9859, 0.9766, 0.9674, 0.9590, 0.9522, 0.9504, 0.9486, 0.9451, 0.9387, 0.9307, 0.9249, 0.9140]
246
- R²_std : [0.0061, 0.0082, 0.0095, 0.0091, 0.0093, 0.0087, 0.0060, 0.0066, 0.0080, 0.0086, 0.0085, 0.0112]
247
- SSIM : [0.9293, 0.8965, 0.8769, 0.8578, 0.8494, 0.8437, 0.8392, 0.8259, 0.8099, 0.7946, 0.7869, 0.7769]
248
- SSIM_std : [0.0207, 0.0246, 0.0239, 0.0208, 0.0200, 0.0168, 0.0139, 0.0134, 0.0100, 0.0094, 0.0103, 0.0174]
249
-
250
- Storm 9: 2012-03-09 08:00 (Dst: -145.0 nT)
251
-
252
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
253
- RMSE : [2.7765, 3.5411, 3.8442, 4.0300, 4.1005, 4.1602, 4.1809, 4.2840, 4.3100, 4.3268, 4.3667, 4.3717]
254
- RMSE_std : [0.5255, 0.7526, 0.8436, 0.9238, 0.9147, 0.8558, 0.8243, 0.8940, 0.9317, 0.9909, 0.9979, 1.1124]
255
- R² : [0.9741, 0.9574, 0.9495, 0.9445, 0.9423, 0.9410, 0.9404, 0.9371, 0.9360, 0.9354, 0.9345, 0.9336]
256
- R²_std : [0.0083, 0.0168, 0.0223, 0.0264, 0.0272, 0.0253, 0.0239, 0.0261, 0.0282, 0.0298, 0.0313, 0.0377]
257
- SSIM : [0.9083, 0.8687, 0.8554, 0.8484, 0.8481, 0.8449, 0.8430, 0.8444, 0.8436, 0.8418, 0.8421, 0.8421]
258
- SSIM_std : [0.0223, 0.0313, 0.0349, 0.0372, 0.0366, 0.0368, 0.0379, 0.0390, 0.0405, 0.0416, 0.0391, 0.0405]
259
-
260
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
261
- RMSE : [2.7370, 3.4952, 3.6859, 3.8800, 3.9928, 4.0670, 3.9519, 4.0425, 4.3765, 5.0792, 5.4361, 5.6275]
262
- RMSE_std : [0.1858, 0.3403, 0.4141, 0.3525, 0.4055, 0.3305, 0.3694, 0.6687, 0.8193, 1.0085, 1.0451, 1.0418]
263
- R² : [0.9714, 0.9532, 0.9492, 0.9479, 0.9472, 0.9495, 0.9553, 0.9541, 0.9473, 0.9313, 0.9218, 0.9163]
264
- R²_std : [0.0055, 0.0128, 0.0167, 0.0126, 0.0172, 0.0129, 0.0072, 0.0122, 0.0174, 0.0233, 0.0233, 0.0234]
265
- SSIM : [0.9007, 0.8531, 0.8431, 0.8416, 0.8470, 0.8614, 0.8633, 0.8661, 0.8510, 0.8329, 0.8154, 0.8079]
266
- SSIM_std : [0.0172, 0.0259, 0.0365, 0.0390, 0.0443, 0.0238, 0.0142, 0.0185, 0.0358, 0.0348, 0.0426, 0.0360]
267
-
268
- Storm 10: 2012-07-15 16:00 (Dst: -139.0 nT)
269
-
270
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
271
- RMSE : [1.7877, 2.2898, 2.4989, 2.5558, 2.6388, 2.7011, 2.7689, 2.8379, 2.9002, 2.9693, 3.0291, 3.1514]
272
- RMSE_std : [0.5442, 0.6949, 0.7635, 0.8369, 0.8776, 0.9268, 1.0322, 1.0725, 1.1603, 1.1770, 1.2071, 1.2848]
273
- R² : [0.9706, 0.9515, 0.9419, 0.9385, 0.9343, 0.9309, 0.9269, 0.9228, 0.9185, 0.9139, 0.9095, 0.9003]
274
- R²_std : [0.0190, 0.0300, 0.0354, 0.0399, 0.0426, 0.0462, 0.0501, 0.0548, 0.0607, 0.0650, 0.0695, 0.0807]
275
- SSIM : [0.8991, 0.8582, 0.8411, 0.8357, 0.8332, 0.8288, 0.8241, 0.8255, 0.8249, 0.8225, 0.8220, 0.8177]
276
- SSIM_std : [0.0355, 0.0546, 0.0613, 0.0665, 0.0689, 0.0707, 0.0738, 0.0739, 0.0741, 0.0746, 0.0764, 0.0795]
277
-
278
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
279
- RMSE : [1.5452, 2.1232, 2.5653, 2.9668, 3.5853, 4.2954, 4.8807, 4.8495, 5.0580, 5.1004, 5.1712, 5.2843]
280
- RMSE_std : [0.4602, 0.6264, 0.7643, 0.8088, 0.6678, 0.7225, 0.8270, 1.0536, 1.3771, 1.3846, 1.2287, 1.0251]
281
- R² : [0.9804, 0.9643, 0.9488, 0.9338, 0.9105, 0.8813, 0.8483, 0.8464, 0.8275, 0.8201, 0.8071, 0.7799]
282
- R²_std : [0.0094, 0.0166, 0.0264, 0.0332, 0.0284, 0.0264, 0.0343, 0.0428, 0.0601, 0.0599, 0.0502, 0.0380]
283
- SSIM : [0.9101, 0.8698, 0.8429, 0.8243, 0.7981, 0.7773, 0.7429, 0.7342, 0.7151, 0.6949, 0.6756, 0.6566]
284
- SSIM_std : [0.0216, 0.0301, 0.0307, 0.0344, 0.0220, 0.0221, 0.0301, 0.0391, 0.0423, 0.0366, 0.0287, 0.0229]
285
-
286
- Storm 11: 2012-10-01 04:00 (Dst: -122.0 nT)
287
-
288
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
289
- RMSE : [2.5745, 3.3292, 3.6748, 3.8731, 4.0340, 4.1263, 4.1508, 4.2806, 4.3528, 4.4575, 4.5509, 4.6424]
290
- RMSE_std : [0.4864, 0.7616, 0.8669, 0.9595, 1.0063, 1.0929, 1.1938, 1.2975, 1.3886, 1.5154, 1.5819, 1.6895]
291
- R² : [0.9805, 0.9672, 0.9599, 0.9553, 0.9513, 0.9486, 0.9476, 0.9437, 0.9415, 0.9382, 0.9352, 0.9319]
292
- R²_std : [0.0065, 0.0132, 0.0161, 0.0187, 0.0207, 0.0237, 0.0263, 0.0303, 0.0338, 0.0395, 0.0433, 0.0472]
293
- SSIM : [0.9307, 0.8993, 0.8861, 0.8813, 0.8783, 0.8755, 0.8753, 0.8752, 0.8743, 0.8713, 0.8703, 0.8681]
294
- SSIM_std : [0.0196, 0.0332, 0.0385, 0.0417, 0.0435, 0.0457, 0.0489, 0.0512, 0.0533, 0.0554, 0.0550, 0.0595]
295
-
296
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
297
- RMSE : [2.3255, 2.7861, 3.0598, 3.2712, 3.6114, 3.8457, 4.1834, 4.8293, 5.5216, 6.4332, 7.2039, 7.8165]
298
- RMSE_std : [0.1623, 0.0970, 0.2369, 0.4266, 0.4887, 0.5726, 0.8084, 1.1631, 1.7603, 2.2259, 2.3256, 2.1795]
299
- R² : [0.9829, 0.9755, 0.9706, 0.9669, 0.9607, 0.9562, 0.9492, 0.9345, 0.9178, 0.8915, 0.8650, 0.8417]
300
- R²_std : [0.0024, 0.0021, 0.0044, 0.0080, 0.0090, 0.0104, 0.0160, 0.0262, 0.0440, 0.0638, 0.0758, 0.0783]
301
- SSIM : [0.9402, 0.9206, 0.9109, 0.9021, 0.8889, 0.8725, 0.8586, 0.8389, 0.8153, 0.7856, 0.7644, 0.7389]
302
- SSIM_std : [0.0058, 0.0080, 0.0115, 0.0257, 0.0279, 0.0289, 0.0344, 0.0419, 0.0597, 0.0668, 0.0650, 0.0618]
303
-
304
- Storm 12: 2012-04-24 04:00 (Dst: -120.0 nT)
305
-
306
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
307
- RMSE : [2.4615, 3.2274, 3.5836, 3.8127, 3.9442, 4.0468, 4.1798, 4.2512, 4.3254, 4.4075, 4.4868, 4.5309]
308
- RMSE_std : [0.4937, 0.6851, 0.7877, 0.8695, 0.9362, 0.9915, 1.0411, 1.0459, 1.0920, 1.1446, 1.2102, 1.2114]
309
- R² : [0.9817, 0.9683, 0.9609, 0.9556, 0.9525, 0.9499, 0.9462, 0.9441, 0.9417, 0.9392, 0.9370, 0.9355]
310
- R²_std : [0.0065, 0.0125, 0.0161, 0.0189, 0.0206, 0.0221, 0.0236, 0.0247, 0.0282, 0.0321, 0.0347, 0.0364]
311
- SSIM : [0.9267, 0.8932, 0.8787, 0.8723, 0.8697, 0.8680, 0.8636, 0.8652, 0.8639, 0.8611, 0.8603, 0.8584]
312
- SSIM_std : [0.0216, 0.0329, 0.0359, 0.0394, 0.0414, 0.0409, 0.0417, 0.0415, 0.0433, 0.0442, 0.0462, 0.0471]
313
-
314
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
315
- RMSE : [2.2156, 2.6833, 3.0936, 3.2732, 3.3470, 3.6751, 4.3126, 4.8522, 5.5075, 6.0052, 6.5681, 7.0342]
316
- RMSE_std : [0.2486, 0.2698, 0.3869, 0.3905, 0.4140, 0.8112, 1.2484, 1.4590, 1.3146, 1.1968, 1.0756, 0.6554]
317
- R² : [0.9852, 0.9792, 0.9729, 0.9698, 0.9684, 0.9606, 0.9459, 0.9343, 0.9213, 0.9105, 0.8934, 0.8731]
318
- R²_std : [0.0032, 0.0033, 0.0051, 0.0052, 0.0059, 0.0173, 0.0275, 0.0310, 0.0273, 0.0249, 0.0245, 0.0329]
319
- SSIM : [0.9436, 0.9259, 0.9145, 0.9104, 0.9030, 0.8810, 0.8504, 0.8311, 0.8042, 0.7874, 0.7652, 0.7525]
320
- SSIM_std : [0.0062, 0.0054, 0.0077, 0.0069, 0.0197, 0.0526, 0.0722, 0.0749, 0.0666, 0.0582, 0.0407, 0.0179]
321
-
322
- Storm 13: 2001-04-18 06:00 (Dst: -114.0 nT)
323
-
324
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
325
- RMSE : [2.3920, 2.9985, 3.3357, 3.4785, 3.5972, 3.6605, 3.6667, 3.7518, 3.8038, 3.8411, 3.9538, 3.9371]
326
- RMSE_std : [0.4652, 0.6408, 0.8000, 0.9437, 1.0688, 1.1552, 1.2140, 1.2855, 1.3053, 1.3481, 1.3800, 1.3913]
327
- R² : [0.9887, 0.9822, 0.9779, 0.9756, 0.9735, 0.9721, 0.9717, 0.9700, 0.9689, 0.9680, 0.9660, 0.9662]
328
- R²_std : [0.0049, 0.0077, 0.0109, 0.0142, 0.0175, 0.0206, 0.0220, 0.0238, 0.0247, 0.0253, 0.0263, 0.0262]
329
- SSIM : [0.9532, 0.9337, 0.9220, 0.9158, 0.9142, 0.9128, 0.9108, 0.9108, 0.9098, 0.9106, 0.9113, 0.9118]
330
- SSIM_std : [0.0133, 0.0222, 0.0285, 0.0336, 0.0370, 0.0405, 0.0425, 0.0444, 0.0452, 0.0463, 0.0449, 0.0450]
331
-
332
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
333
- RMSE : [1.8647, 2.2107, 2.4019, 2.4218, 2.5649, 2.7382, 3.1185, 3.8368, 4.6705, 5.3757, 6.1185, 6.6861]
334
- RMSE_std : [0.1496, 0.1906, 0.0985, 0.1285, 0.2331, 0.3859, 0.9381, 1.7570, 2.1950, 2.2207, 1.9859, 1.6172]
335
- R² : [0.9926, 0.9896, 0.9877, 0.9874, 0.9858, 0.9838, 0.9787, 0.9676, 0.9538, 0.9409, 0.9253, 0.9137]
336
- R²_std : [0.0011, 0.0015, 0.0008, 0.0012, 0.0024, 0.0045, 0.0126, 0.0268, 0.0359, 0.0392, 0.0403, 0.0353]
337
- SSIM : [0.9644, 0.9516, 0.9460, 0.9440, 0.9390, 0.9370, 0.9264, 0.9079, 0.8826, 0.8583, 0.8372, 0.8170]
338
- SSIM_std : [0.0047, 0.0065, 0.0025, 0.0030, 0.0081, 0.0097, 0.0247, 0.0516, 0.0684, 0.0752, 0.0675, 0.0604]
339
-
340
- Storm 14: 2012-10-09 08:00 (Dst: -109.0 nT)
341
-
342
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
343
- RMSE : [2.0786, 2.6674, 2.9512, 3.1022, 3.2108, 3.2670, 3.3019, 3.3454, 3.3570, 3.3916, 3.4228, 3.4935]
344
- RMSE_std : [0.4358, 0.6608, 0.8142, 0.8463, 0.8652, 0.9293, 0.9847, 0.9404, 0.9551, 0.9694, 0.9704, 0.9529]
345
- R² : [0.9810, 0.9683, 0.9611, 0.9573, 0.9544, 0.9527, 0.9516, 0.9504, 0.9501, 0.9492, 0.9485, 0.9466]
346
- R²_std : [0.0069, 0.0150, 0.0192, 0.0195, 0.0201, 0.0226, 0.0247, 0.0247, 0.0254, 0.0260, 0.0261, 0.0255]
347
- SSIM : [0.9281, 0.8972, 0.8846, 0.8791, 0.8763, 0.8745, 0.8717, 0.8727, 0.8725, 0.8716, 0.8702, 0.8680]
348
- SSIM_std : [0.0199, 0.0315, 0.0372, 0.0393, 0.0391, 0.0418, 0.0448, 0.0458, 0.0476, 0.0472, 0.0485, 0.0500]
349
-
350
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
351
- RMSE : [2.4764, 3.5389, 3.9560, 4.0080, 3.9729, 4.0689, 4.5338, 4.7117, 4.9499, 5.0902, 5.1908, 5.1404]
352
- RMSE_std : [0.4228, 0.7084, 0.7837, 0.6052, 0.7673, 0.8807, 0.9236, 0.8438, 0.7887, 0.5078, 0.4810, 0.4143]
353
- R² : [0.9719, 0.9419, 0.9289, 0.9318, 0.9365, 0.9359, 0.9241, 0.9212, 0.9151, 0.9099, 0.9033, 0.9000]
354
- R²_std : [0.0090, 0.0264, 0.0280, 0.0208, 0.0180, 0.0194, 0.0225, 0.0235, 0.0256, 0.0172, 0.0137, 0.0089]
355
- SSIM : [0.8955, 0.8415, 0.8227, 0.8213, 0.8361, 0.8367, 0.8312, 0.8255, 0.8115, 0.8018, 0.7958, 0.7832]
356
- SSIM_std : [0.0254, 0.0325, 0.0349, 0.0363, 0.0332, 0.0290, 0.0249, 0.0331, 0.0419, 0.0295, 0.0316, 0.0269]
357
-
358
- Storm 15: 2001-11-01 10:00 (Dst: -106.0 nT)
359
-
360
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
361
- RMSE : [3.6263, 4.4407, 4.8969, 5.2489, 5.5784, 5.7522, 5.8912, 6.0749, 6.2703, 6.4748, 6.5919, 6.7265]
362
- RMSE_std : [0.5388, 0.6421, 0.6999, 0.8272, 0.9172, 0.8951, 1.0689, 1.1094, 1.1754, 1.2233, 1.2514, 1.2887]
363
- R² : [0.9860, 0.9789, 0.9742, 0.9700, 0.9658, 0.9636, 0.9612, 0.9588, 0.9561, 0.9533, 0.9517, 0.9499]
364
- R²_std : [0.0046, 0.0067, 0.0079, 0.0103, 0.0123, 0.0123, 0.0158, 0.0168, 0.0186, 0.0194, 0.0197, 0.0199]
365
- SSIM : [0.9335, 0.9077, 0.8938, 0.8875, 0.8847, 0.8805, 0.8794, 0.8799, 0.8759, 0.8742, 0.8754, 0.8727]
366
- SSIM_std : [0.0166, 0.0238, 0.0282, 0.0302, 0.0303, 0.0332, 0.0335, 0.0336, 0.0337, 0.0337, 0.0338, 0.0326]
367
-
368
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
369
- RMSE : [3.0494, 3.7210, 4.0846, 4.5159, 5.0244, 5.7137, 6.3502, 7.1129, 7.6967, 8.3236, 8.8072, 9.2545]
370
- RMSE_std : [0.2882, 0.5703, 0.8337, 1.0869, 1.2209, 1.4258, 1.2923, 1.2026, 0.9902, 1.2097, 1.3564, 1.2246]
371
- R² : [0.9898, 0.9846, 0.9813, 0.9771, 0.9718, 0.9636, 0.9560, 0.9458, 0.9379, 0.9280, 0.9204, 0.9145]
372
- R²_std : [0.0018, 0.0049, 0.0077, 0.0104, 0.0125, 0.0161, 0.0156, 0.0170, 0.0166, 0.0218, 0.0252, 0.0234]
373
- SSIM : [0.9501, 0.9329, 0.9198, 0.9038, 0.8831, 0.8589, 0.8435, 0.8278, 0.8158, 0.8087, 0.8046, 0.8062]
374
- SSIM_std : [0.0073, 0.0151, 0.0300, 0.0418, 0.0484, 0.0543, 0.0469, 0.0359, 0.0175, 0.0212, 0.0275, 0.0244]
375
-
376
- Storm 16: 2012-11-14 06:00 (Dst: -103.0 nT)
377
-
378
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
379
- RMSE : [2.3474, 3.0244, 3.3594, 3.5398, 3.7387, 3.7885, 3.9173, 4.0413, 4.1089, 4.2127, 4.2920, 4.4030]
380
- RMSE_std : [0.6126, 0.9472, 1.2130, 1.4140, 1.4961, 1.5840, 1.6504, 1.6974, 1.6873, 1.6817, 1.6850, 1.6789]
381
- R² : [0.9810, 0.9683, 0.9606, 0.9557, 0.9502, 0.9481, 0.9443, 0.9405, 0.9389, 0.9368, 0.9350, 0.9327]
382
- R²_std : [0.0074, 0.0156, 0.0232, 0.0301, 0.0354, 0.0398, 0.0438, 0.0487, 0.0492, 0.0488, 0.0491, 0.0478]
383
- SSIM : [0.9223, 0.8901, 0.8770, 0.8698, 0.8641, 0.8623, 0.8577, 0.8571, 0.8542, 0.8539, 0.8516, 0.8487]
384
- SSIM_std : [0.0191, 0.0336, 0.0417, 0.0500, 0.0528, 0.0566, 0.0585, 0.0603, 0.0614, 0.0603, 0.0596, 0.0617]
385
-
386
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
387
- RMSE : [2.3015, 2.8941, 3.0619, 2.9598, 2.9575, 3.3257, 3.9441, 4.7917, 5.5570, 6.4429, 7.1821, 7.7887]
388
- RMSE_std : [0.2775, 0.3868, 0.4421, 0.4807, 0.4294, 1.0963, 1.5059, 2.0663, 2.3231, 2.1607, 1.6829, 1.0039]
389
- R² : [0.9794, 0.9677, 0.9652, 0.9690, 0.9715, 0.9659, 0.9552, 0.9387, 0.9220, 0.8986, 0.8774, 0.8574]
390
- R²_std : [0.0056, 0.0117, 0.0139, 0.0122, 0.0072, 0.0186, 0.0270, 0.0404, 0.0504, 0.0535, 0.0484, 0.0356]
391
- SSIM : [0.9149, 0.8815, 0.8775, 0.8830, 0.8787, 0.8732, 0.8624, 0.8437, 0.8199, 0.7952, 0.7770, 0.7565]
392
- SSIM_std : [0.0220, 0.0346, 0.0301, 0.0270, 0.0316, 0.0369, 0.0351, 0.0368, 0.0461, 0.0552, 0.0536, 0.0502]
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
training_sessions/SimVPv2/testing_info_2025-06-08_14-22-28.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,514 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Testing Session Information
2
+ ========================================================================================================================
3
+ Session name: SimVP_AllFeatures
4
+ Testing Session Start Time: 2025-06-08_14-22-28
5
+ Inputs: ['F10.7', 'Dst', 'ap', 'AE', 'pc', 'SW Temp', 'SW Density', 'SW Speed', 'SW Long Angle', 'SW Lat Angle', 'Flow Pressure', 'E Field', 'Scalar B', 'BZ (GSM)', 'Year', 'Day of Year', 'Hour']
6
+
7
+
8
+ Overall Metrics(DDP):
9
+ RMSE(TECU): 2.2523 ± 1.3458
10
+ R²: 0.9623 ± 0.0153
11
+ SSIM: 0.9688 ± 0.0192
12
+
13
+ Per-Horizon Metrics(DDP):
14
+ RMSE per step: [np.float32(1.5032), np.float32(1.9134), np.float32(2.1012), np.float32(2.1639), np.float32(2.2473), np.float32(2.27), np.float32(2.3173), np.float32(2.3436), np.float32(2.3791), np.float32(2.3913), np.float32(2.4341), np.float32(2.4548)]
15
+ RMSE_std per step: [np.float32(0.7868), np.float32(1.0276), np.float32(1.1765), np.float32(1.2778), np.float32(1.3681), np.float32(1.4085), np.float32(1.4596), np.float32(1.5134), np.float32(1.5422), np.float32(1.5799), np.float32(1.6254), np.float32(1.6466)]
16
+ R² per step: [np.float64(0.9813), np.float64(0.9701), np.float64(0.9644), np.float64(0.9635), np.float64(0.9617), np.float64(0.9609), np.float64(0.9592), np.float64(0.959), np.float64(0.9574), np.float64(0.9572), np.float64(0.9563), np.float64(0.955)]
17
+ R²_std per step: [np.float64(0.0091), np.float64(0.0146), np.float64(0.0177), np.float64(0.0181), np.float64(0.0191), np.float64(0.0201), np.float64(0.0216), np.float64(0.0227), np.float64(0.0243), np.float64(0.0249), np.float64(0.0259), np.float64(0.028)]
18
+ SSIM per step: [np.float64(0.9816), np.float64(0.9736), np.float64(0.9699), np.float64(0.9691), np.float64(0.9679), np.float64(0.9678), np.float64(0.9658), np.float64(0.967), np.float64(0.9659), np.float64(0.9661), np.float64(0.9659), np.float64(0.965)]
19
+ SSIM_std per step: [np.float64(0.0099), np.float64(0.0155), np.float64(0.0185), np.float64(0.0201), np.float64(0.0215), np.float64(0.0222), np.float64(0.0223), np.float64(0.0236), np.float64(0.0236), np.float64(0.024), np.float64(0.025), np.float64(0.0249)]
20
+
21
+ very_weak:
22
+ Overall Metrics:
23
+ RMSE(TECU): 1.1857
24
+ RMSE_std: 0.2199
25
+ R²: 0.9566
26
+ R²_std: 0.0138
27
+ SSIM: 0.9824
28
+ SSIM_std: 0.0048
29
+ RMSE per step: [0.8943, 1.1028, 1.1754, 1.1756, 1.1777, 1.1794, 1.2115, 1.1960, 1.2184, 1.2117, 1.2184, 1.2372]
30
+ RMSE std per step: [0.1843, 0.2303, 0.2504, 0.2678, 0.2821, 0.2892, 0.3128, 0.3084, 0.3328, 0.331, 0.3348, 0.344]
31
+ R² per step: [0.9746, 0.9613, 0.9561, 0.9560, 0.9560, 0.9558, 0.9533, 0.9544, 0.9527, 0.9531, 0.9528, 0.9511]
32
+ R² std per step: [0.0103, 0.0156, 0.0176, 0.0186, 0.0187, 0.0193, 0.0213, 0.0210, 0.0229, 0.0231, 0.0230, 0.0248]
33
+ SSIM per step: [0.9875, 0.9837, 0.9825, 0.9824, 0.9826, 0.9831, 0.9798, 0.9826, 0.9807, 0.9815, 0.9821, 0.9799]
34
+ SSIM std per step: [0.0041, 0.0052, 0.0057, 0.0060, 0.0062, 0.0060, 0.0083, 0.0068, 0.0082, 0.0078, 0.0074, 0.0087]
35
+
36
+ weak:
37
+ Overall Metrics:
38
+ RMSE(TECU): 1.3645
39
+ RMSE_std: 0.5857
40
+ R²: 0.9597
41
+ R²_std: 0.0137
42
+ SSIM: 0.9805
43
+ SSIM_std: 0.0094
44
+ RMSE per step: [0.9904, 1.2395, 1.3329, 1.3463, 1.3551, 1.3670, 1.3945, 1.3893, 1.4071, 1.4098, 1.4178, 1.4381]
45
+ RMSE std per step: [0.3946, 0.5169, 0.5715, 0.6081, 0.6356, 0.6428, 0.6567, 0.6635, 0.679, 0.6869, 0.6987, 0.7064]
46
+ R² per step: [0.9779, 0.9655, 0.9602, 0.9597, 0.9595, 0.9587, 0.9567, 0.9572, 0.9560, 0.9558, 0.9555, 0.9540]
47
+ R² std per step: [0.0091, 0.0143, 0.0166, 0.0176, 0.0185, 0.0195, 0.0210, 0.0208, 0.0222, 0.0223, 0.0226, 0.0233]
48
+ SSIM per step: [0.9870, 0.9824, 0.9808, 0.9804, 0.9804, 0.9806, 0.9784, 0.9803, 0.9792, 0.9792, 0.9796, 0.9777]
49
+ SSIM std per step: [0.0060, 0.0089, 0.0100, 0.0107, 0.0110, 0.0110, 0.0117, 0.0114, 0.0118, 0.0118, 0.0120, 0.0123]
50
+
51
+ moderate:
52
+ Overall Metrics:
53
+ RMSE(TECU): 2.8541
54
+ RMSE_std: 0.8192
55
+ R²: 0.9647
56
+ R²_std: 0.0157
57
+ SSIM: 0.9597
58
+ SSIM_std: 0.0150
59
+ RMSE per step: [1.9037, 2.4206, 2.6536, 2.7580, 2.8500, 2.8887, 2.9377, 2.9638, 3.0015, 3.0300, 3.0765, 3.1085]
60
+ RMSE std per step: [0.5025, 0.6614, 0.7665, 0.8411, 0.8926, 0.9328, 0.9754, 1.0233, 1.0475, 1.0824, 1.1154, 1.1428]
61
+ R² per step: [0.9840, 0.9739, 0.9687, 0.9662, 0.9639, 0.9629, 0.9614, 0.9607, 0.9596, 0.9588, 0.9575, 0.9564]
62
+ R² std per step: [0.0068, 0.0121, 0.0154, 0.0177, 0.0195, 0.0211, 0.0230, 0.0246, 0.0257, 0.0273, 0.0291, 0.0318]
63
+ SSIM per step: [0.9762, 0.9658, 0.9615, 0.9595, 0.9584, 0.9579, 0.9565, 0.9570, 0.9564, 0.9561, 0.9556, 0.9553]
64
+ SSIM std per step: [0.0083, 0.0127, 0.0151, 0.0168, 0.0177, 0.0184, 0.0195, 0.0201, 0.0208, 0.0212, 0.0218, 0.0227]
65
+
66
+ intense:
67
+ Overall Metrics:
68
+ RMSE(TECU): 3.8476
69
+ RMSE_std: 1.4485
70
+ R²: 0.9689
71
+ R²_std: 0.0156
72
+ SSIM: 0.9502
73
+ SSIM_std: 0.0228
74
+ RMSE per step: [2.4878, 3.0975, 3.4372, 3.6350, 3.7997, 3.8920, 3.9860, 4.0637, 4.1410, 4.1908, 4.2515, 4.3011]
75
+ RMSE std per step: [0.9157, 1.0944, 1.2378, 1.369, 1.4754, 1.5528, 1.6251, 1.689, 1.7324, 1.788, 1.8453, 1.9016]
76
+ R² per step: [0.9866, 0.9792, 0.9745, 0.9715, 0.9689, 0.9673, 0.9657, 0.9643, 0.9630, 0.9620, 0.9608, 0.9597]
77
+ R² std per step: [0.0077, 0.0111, 0.0136, 0.0158, 0.0179, 0.0196, 0.0213, 0.0232, 0.0239, 0.0255, 0.0275, 0.0298]
78
+ SSIM per step: [0.9716, 0.9601, 0.9537, 0.9504, 0.9487, 0.9474, 0.9461, 0.9463, 0.9454, 0.9447, 0.9445, 0.9439]
79
+ SSIM std per step: [0.0135, 0.0187, 0.0222, 0.0246, 0.0255, 0.0268, 0.0279, 0.0284, 0.0291, 0.0298, 0.0303, 0.0316]
80
+
81
+ Storm Analysis Results:
82
+ ======================================================================================================================================================
83
+ Storm Date Dst(nT) Full (RMSE ± std / R² ± std / SSIM ± std) Main (RMSE ± std / R² ± std / SSIM ± std)
84
+ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
85
+ 1 2001-03-31 08:00 -387.0 6.88 ± 2.50 / 0.95 ± 0.04 / 0.91 ± 0.05 8.61 ± 2.66 / 0.92 ± 0.04 / 0.89 ± 0.04
86
+ 2 2001-11-06 06:00 -292.0 6.32 ± 1.62 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.91 ± 0.03 8.02 ± 1.57 / 0.92 ± 0.03 / 0.88 ± 0.03
87
+ 3 2001-04-12 00:00 -236.0 5.38 ± 1.78 / 0.96 ± 0.03 / 0.93 ± 0.04 7.26 ± 1.62 / 0.93 ± 0.03 / 0.90 ± 0.03
88
+ 4 2001-11-24 16:00 -221.0 4.91 ± 1.40 / 0.96 ± 0.02 / 0.93 ± 0.03 6.93 ± 1.03 / 0.93 ± 0.02 / 0.89 ± 0.02
89
+ 5 2001-10-21 22:00 -180.0 6.33 ± 1.39 / 0.96 ± 0.02 / 0.92 ± 0.02 6.01 ± 1.14 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.91 ± 0.02
90
+ 6 2001-10-03 14:00 -166.0 5.38 ± 0.90 / 0.97 ± 0.01 / 0.93 ± 0.02 6.24 ± 0.33 / 0.96 ± 0.00 / 0.90 ± 0.01
91
+ 7 2001-10-28 10:00 -149.0 5.92 ± 1.02 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.92 ± 0.02 6.01 ± 0.83 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.91 ± 0.02
92
+ 8 2001-03-20 16:00 -146.0 4.66 ± 1.16 / 0.97 ± 0.01 / 0.94 ± 0.02 6.19 ± 0.29 / 0.95 ± 0.00 / 0.90 ± 0.00
93
+ 9 2012-03-09 08:00 -145.0 3.99 ± 0.64 / 0.95 ± 0.01 / 0.93 ± 0.01 4.31 ± 0.35 / 0.94 ± 0.01 / 0.93 ± 0.01
94
+ 10 2012-07-15 16:00 -139.0 2.63 ± 0.84 / 0.94 ± 0.04 / 0.95 ± 0.02 4.25 ± 0.36 / 0.87 ± 0.02 / 0.92 ± 0.01
95
+ 11 2012-10-01 04:00 -122.0 3.95 ± 0.95 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.94 ± 0.02 4.92 ± 1.19 / 0.93 ± 0.03 / 0.92 ± 0.02
96
+ 12 2012-04-24 04:00 -120.0 3.96 ± 0.70 / 0.95 ± 0.01 / 0.94 ± 0.02 4.69 ± 0.54 / 0.94 ± 0.01 / 0.92 ± 0.01
97
+ 13 2001-04-18 06:00 -114.0 3.59 ± 0.85 / 0.97 ± 0.01 / 0.96 ± 0.02 4.07 ± 1.06 / 0.96 ± 0.02 / 0.95 ± 0.02
98
+ 14 2012-10-09 08:00 -109.0 3.17 ± 0.66 / 0.96 ± 0.02 / 0.95 ± 0.02 4.42 ± 0.27 / 0.93 ± 0.01 / 0.92 ± 0.00
99
+ 15 2001-11-01 10:00 -106.0 5.63 ± 0.69 / 0.97 ± 0.01 / 0.92 ± 0.02 6.51 ± 0.77 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.90 ± 0.01
100
+ 16 2012-11-14 06:00 -103.0 3.79 ± 1.14 / 0.95 ± 0.03 / 0.94 ± 0.02 4.88 ± 0.97 / 0.93 ± 0.02 / 0.92 ± 0.02
101
+
102
+
103
+ ======================== Per-Horizon Breakdown ========================
104
+
105
+ Storm 1: 2001-03-31 08:00 (Dst: -387.0 nT)
106
+
107
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
108
+ RMSE : [3.9913, 5.1230, 5.8288, 6.2752, 6.6873, 6.9485, 7.1142, 7.2646, 7.4297, 7.5226, 7.6515, 7.8470]
109
+ RMSE_std : [1.3250, 1.9670, 2.3316, 2.6227, 2.8353, 3.0787, 3.1496, 3.2366, 3.0811, 3.2005, 3.4344, 3.4733]
110
+ R² : [0.9826, 0.9707, 0.9621, 0.9558, 0.9495, 0.9446, 0.9412, 0.9383, 0.9367, 0.9348, 0.9315, 0.9282]
111
+ R²_std : [0.0130, 0.0230, 0.0294, 0.0356, 0.0425, 0.0546, 0.0620, 0.0651, 0.0589, 0.0616, 0.0682, 0.0701]
112
+ SSIM : [0.9525, 0.9293, 0.9156, 0.9079, 0.9043, 0.9008, 0.8975, 0.8979, 0.8957, 0.8947, 0.8933, 0.8897]
113
+ SSIM_std : [0.0240, 0.0379, 0.0464, 0.0517, 0.0544, 0.0582, 0.0613, 0.0646, 0.0660, 0.0673, 0.0708, 0.0716]
114
+
115
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
116
+ RMSE : [2.8422, 3.4202, 3.6427, 3.9341, 4.8492, 5.8049, 6.9473, 8.1249, 9.6947, 11.6618, 13.8169, 15.1150]
117
+ RMSE_std : [0.1792, 0.3199, 0.1737, 0.3724, 1.4970, 2.6851, 3.3571, 3.8208, 4.3531, 4.5543, 4.2984, 3.3670]
118
+ R² : [0.9907, 0.9862, 0.9845, 0.9821, 0.9722, 0.9599, 0.9460, 0.9317, 0.9079, 0.8660, 0.8112, 0.7823]
119
+ R²_std : [0.0008, 0.0025, 0.0012, 0.0025, 0.0172, 0.0351, 0.0443, 0.0505, 0.0678, 0.0981, 0.1215, 0.1069]
120
+ SSIM : [0.9713, 0.9641, 0.9591, 0.9543, 0.9445, 0.9318, 0.9121, 0.8899, 0.8550, 0.8186, 0.7802, 0.7497]
121
+ SSIM_std : [0.0020, 0.0023, 0.0016, 0.0049, 0.0159, 0.0329, 0.0452, 0.0660, 0.0860, 0.0948, 0.0947, 0.0789]
122
+
123
+ Storm 2: 2001-11-06 06:00 (Dst: -292.0 nT)
124
+
125
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
126
+ RMSE : [3.8574, 4.6938, 5.2381, 5.7267, 6.1735, 6.3670, 6.5755, 6.7845, 6.8394, 7.0111, 7.1815, 7.3393]
127
+ RMSE_std : [1.0950, 1.2664, 1.4462, 1.5748, 1.7057, 1.8516, 1.8868, 2.0110, 2.0774, 2.3164, 2.5207, 2.7419]
128
+ R² : [0.9817, 0.9731, 0.9665, 0.9598, 0.9530, 0.9497, 0.9464, 0.9424, 0.9410, 0.9369, 0.9329, 0.9288]
129
+ R²_std : [0.0111, 0.0151, 0.0192, 0.0226, 0.0268, 0.0297, 0.0302, 0.0351, 0.0378, 0.0468, 0.0545, 0.0621]
130
+ SSIM : [0.9513, 0.9330, 0.9221, 0.9154, 0.9113, 0.9089, 0.9048, 0.9045, 0.9026, 0.9005, 0.8989, 0.8968]
131
+ SSIM_std : [0.0202, 0.0297, 0.0353, 0.0385, 0.0390, 0.0412, 0.0441, 0.0443, 0.0456, 0.0475, 0.0503, 0.0539]
132
+
133
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
134
+ RMSE : [3.1465, 4.1117, 4.6499, 5.1475, 5.5401, 5.8548, 6.4198, 7.4544, 8.6703, 10.3680, 12.0141, 13.7147]
135
+ RMSE_std : [0.2291, 0.2659, 0.4155, 0.4313, 0.5039, 0.9827, 1.4270, 2.5717, 3.1097, 3.4502, 3.3249, 2.7405]
136
+ R² : [0.9872, 0.9780, 0.9718, 0.9656, 0.9604, 0.9555, 0.9476, 0.9319, 0.9087, 0.8640, 0.8180, 0.7695]
137
+ R²_std : [0.0019, 0.0028, 0.0046, 0.0054, 0.0074, 0.0148, 0.0207, 0.0393, 0.0577, 0.0874, 0.0994, 0.0931]
138
+ SSIM : [0.9635, 0.9470, 0.9358, 0.9265, 0.9182, 0.9082, 0.8976, 0.8716, 0.8451, 0.8174, 0.7916, 0.7635]
139
+ SSIM_std : [0.0027, 0.0036, 0.0050, 0.0082, 0.0138, 0.0241, 0.0307, 0.0577, 0.0658, 0.0646, 0.0588, 0.0477]
140
+
141
+ Storm 3: 2001-04-12 00:00 (Dst: -236.0 nT)
142
+
143
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
144
+ RMSE : [3.1473, 4.1284, 4.6528, 4.9853, 5.2109, 5.2930, 5.5670, 5.7549, 5.8619, 5.9552, 6.1232, 6.0997]
145
+ RMSE_std : [0.9626, 1.2209, 1.3798, 1.5071, 1.6005, 1.7396, 1.9188, 2.1414, 2.3351, 2.5764, 2.7343, 2.9250]
146
+ R² : [0.9858, 0.9755, 0.9688, 0.9640, 0.9604, 0.9583, 0.9532, 0.9487, 0.9458, 0.9426, 0.9383, 0.9369]
147
+ R²_std : [0.0108, 0.0164, 0.0195, 0.0229, 0.0256, 0.0305, 0.0373, 0.0454, 0.0520, 0.0602, 0.0657, 0.0709]
148
+ SSIM : [0.9647, 0.9471, 0.9359, 0.9291, 0.9267, 0.9247, 0.9202, 0.9181, 0.9165, 0.9129, 0.9116, 0.9096]
149
+ SSIM_std : [0.0171, 0.0245, 0.0288, 0.0316, 0.0332, 0.0371, 0.0405, 0.0459, 0.0504, 0.0555, 0.0594, 0.0633]
150
+
151
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
152
+ RMSE : [2.9501, 3.5025, 3.5266, 3.6695, 4.3740, 5.2872, 6.3255, 7.2963, 8.3547, 9.6604, 10.9071, 11.9562]
153
+ RMSE_std : [0.6462, 0.5304, 0.3664, 0.2954, 1.1777, 2.2680, 2.9333, 3.1434, 3.0184, 2.7880, 2.2573, 1.8935]
154
+ R² : [0.9879, 0.9829, 0.9824, 0.9806, 0.9716, 0.9585, 0.9431, 0.9292, 0.9107, 0.8808, 0.8482, 0.8144]
155
+ R²_std : [0.0053, 0.0043, 0.0028, 0.0028, 0.0152, 0.0318, 0.0427, 0.0461, 0.0494, 0.0620, 0.0716, 0.0808]
156
+ SSIM : [0.9720, 0.9633, 0.9596, 0.9567, 0.9461, 0.9270, 0.9031, 0.8825, 0.8616, 0.8361, 0.8083, 0.7828]
157
+ SSIM_std : [0.0101, 0.0080, 0.0049, 0.0060, 0.0235, 0.0490, 0.0607, 0.0638, 0.0621, 0.0539, 0.0451, 0.0420]
158
+
159
+ Storm 4: 2001-11-24 16:00 (Dst: -221.0 nT)
160
+
161
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
162
+ RMSE : [3.2091, 3.8347, 4.3283, 4.5675, 4.7610, 4.8655, 5.1091, 5.2529, 5.3314, 5.3599, 5.4517, 5.5256]
163
+ RMSE_std : [0.8261, 1.0612, 1.2672, 1.5067, 1.5410, 1.5462, 1.7260, 1.7488, 1.8251, 1.8407, 1.8949, 1.9096]
164
+ R² : [0.9820, 0.9739, 0.9664, 0.9617, 0.9585, 0.9569, 0.9518, 0.9493, 0.9475, 0.9470, 0.9450, 0.9436]
165
+ R²_std : [0.0100, 0.0163, 0.0219, 0.0280, 0.0289, 0.0287, 0.0334, 0.0340, 0.0364, 0.0368, 0.0385, 0.0403]
166
+ SSIM : [0.9615, 0.9465, 0.9370, 0.9327, 0.9309, 0.9291, 0.9269, 0.9263, 0.9255, 0.9248, 0.9242, 0.9228]
167
+ SSIM_std : [0.0160, 0.0239, 0.0283, 0.0314, 0.0321, 0.0330, 0.0357, 0.0359, 0.0374, 0.0377, 0.0370, 0.0370]
168
+
169
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
170
+ RMSE : [3.0778, 3.4700, 3.9177, 4.3131, 5.1069, 5.9247, 6.3961, 7.2407, 8.2287, 9.2248, 9.8703, 10.1777]
171
+ RMSE_std : [0.5882, 0.4735, 0.4392, 0.7439, 1.6821, 1.9490, 2.3033, 2.2516, 2.0727, 1.3573, 0.6645, 0.7750]
172
+ R² : [0.9849, 0.9811, 0.9758, 0.9695, 0.9548, 0.9398, 0.9298, 0.9149, 0.8953, 0.8737, 0.8592, 0.8511]
173
+ R²_std : [0.0059, 0.0053, 0.0055, 0.0117, 0.0316, 0.0371, 0.0422, 0.0406, 0.0398, 0.0301, 0.0178, 0.0244]
174
+ SSIM : [0.9626, 0.9543, 0.9484, 0.9384, 0.9194, 0.9017, 0.8905, 0.8717, 0.8528, 0.8348, 0.8295, 0.8290]
175
+ SSIM_std : [0.0108, 0.0069, 0.0051, 0.0184, 0.0438, 0.0485, 0.0523, 0.0510, 0.0439, 0.0248, 0.0142, 0.0148]
176
+
177
+ Storm 5: 2001-10-21 22:00 (Dst: -180.0 nT)
178
+
179
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
180
+ RMSE : [3.8809, 4.7235, 5.2775, 5.6989, 6.0224, 6.2754, 6.5641, 6.6969, 7.0141, 7.0668, 7.2714, 7.4181]
181
+ RMSE_std : [0.9122, 1.1334, 1.3357, 1.5106, 1.6304, 1.7717, 1.8218, 1.9132, 1.9283, 2.0075, 2.0621, 2.0831]
182
+ R² : [0.9836, 0.9757, 0.9699, 0.9649, 0.9605, 0.9569, 0.9529, 0.9507, 0.9457, 0.9446, 0.9413, 0.9390]
183
+ R²_std : [0.0080, 0.0112, 0.0140, 0.0168, 0.0197, 0.0228, 0.0242, 0.0263, 0.0283, 0.0300, 0.0315, 0.0323]
184
+ SSIM : [0.9535, 0.9361, 0.9261, 0.9191, 0.9159, 0.9124, 0.9084, 0.9086, 0.9057, 0.9041, 0.9021, 0.8992]
185
+ SSIM_std : [0.0160, 0.0228, 0.0286, 0.0326, 0.0331, 0.0347, 0.0348, 0.0342, 0.0335, 0.0337, 0.0354, 0.0376]
186
+
187
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
188
+ RMSE : [3.4323, 3.8652, 4.3140, 4.4805, 4.4540, 4.6301, 5.0670, 5.8080, 6.5829, 7.3047, 8.1476, 9.2164]
189
+ RMSE_std : [0.4040, 0.3103, 0.2715, 0.3282, 0.2582, 0.3080, 1.3461, 2.4447, 2.8497, 2.7637, 2.5658, 2.0354]
190
+ R² : [0.9880, 0.9848, 0.9811, 0.9795, 0.9799, 0.9784, 0.9738, 0.9649, 0.9561, 0.9471, 0.9352, 0.9179]
191
+ R²_std : [0.0028, 0.0023, 0.0023, 0.0031, 0.0026, 0.0030, 0.0143, 0.0276, 0.0322, 0.0323, 0.0332, 0.0312]
192
+ SSIM : [0.9581, 0.9461, 0.9398, 0.9369, 0.9396, 0.9401, 0.9269, 0.9101, 0.8917, 0.8743, 0.8567, 0.8321]
193
+ SSIM_std : [0.0076, 0.0073, 0.0076, 0.0083, 0.0055, 0.0039, 0.0313, 0.0565, 0.0652, 0.0624, 0.0571, 0.0443]
194
+
195
+ Storm 6: 2001-10-03 14:00 (Dst: -166.0 nT)
196
+
197
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
198
+ RMSE : [3.3990, 4.3472, 4.8560, 5.1565, 5.3098, 5.4091, 5.5339, 5.5905, 5.7349, 5.8782, 6.0034, 6.1645]
199
+ RMSE_std : [0.5650, 0.8015, 0.9353, 1.0769, 1.0967, 1.1752, 1.2069, 1.2642, 1.2180, 1.2722, 1.3529, 1.3754]
200
+ R² : [0.9871, 0.9788, 0.9735, 0.9699, 0.9678, 0.9664, 0.9646, 0.9638, 0.9618, 0.9597, 0.9575, 0.9551]
201
+ R²_std : [0.0039, 0.0074, 0.0089, 0.0113, 0.0117, 0.0126, 0.0137, 0.0145, 0.0146, 0.0157, 0.0183, 0.0192]
202
+ SSIM : [0.9594, 0.9411, 0.9302, 0.9254, 0.9250, 0.9233, 0.9198, 0.9204, 0.9191, 0.9166, 0.9168, 0.9147]
203
+ SSIM_std : [0.0098, 0.0172, 0.0223, 0.0245, 0.0237, 0.0247, 0.0255, 0.0270, 0.0263, 0.0270, 0.0271, 0.0271]
204
+
205
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
206
+ RMSE : [3.6227, 4.8000, 5.6659, 5.9855, 6.3654, 6.7070, 6.7976, 6.6294, 6.4142, 6.4562, 6.8749, 7.2389]
207
+ RMSE_std : [0.2510, 0.4548, 0.7060, 0.8603, 0.8425, 0.7116, 0.7872, 0.7496, 0.7129, 0.8556, 0.8055, 0.7069]
208
+ R² : [0.9873, 0.9782, 0.9695, 0.9653, 0.9604, 0.9553, 0.9527, 0.9545, 0.9570, 0.9568, 0.9518, 0.9472]
209
+ R²_std : [0.0019, 0.0030, 0.0058, 0.0076, 0.0074, 0.0066, 0.0096, 0.0083, 0.0077, 0.0096, 0.0099, 0.0087]
210
+ SSIM : [0.9539, 0.9227, 0.9015, 0.8971, 0.8985, 0.8982, 0.8949, 0.8984, 0.8991, 0.8963, 0.8900, 0.8822]
211
+ SSIM_std : [0.0052, 0.0180, 0.0244, 0.0253, 0.0210, 0.0196, 0.0216, 0.0209, 0.0215, 0.0204, 0.0191, 0.0140]
212
+
213
+ Storm 7: 2001-10-28 10:00 (Dst: -149.0 nT)
214
+
215
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
216
+ RMSE : [3.8302, 4.5642, 5.0055, 5.3744, 5.7300, 5.8706, 6.1228, 6.2673, 6.5570, 6.6333, 6.7102, 6.7230]
217
+ RMSE_std : [0.6370, 0.8256, 1.0283, 1.1770, 1.2416, 1.3410, 1.4508, 1.4604, 1.5351, 1.5618, 1.6277, 1.7717]
218
+ R² : [0.9837, 0.9768, 0.9721, 0.9677, 0.9631, 0.9612, 0.9575, 0.9557, 0.9514, 0.9503, 0.9490, 0.9485]
219
+ R²_std : [0.0059, 0.0084, 0.0111, 0.0137, 0.0157, 0.0173, 0.0201, 0.0206, 0.0237, 0.0244, 0.0258, 0.0276]
220
+ SSIM : [0.9542, 0.9373, 0.9284, 0.9229, 0.9195, 0.9158, 0.9122, 0.9107, 0.9071, 0.9052, 0.9051, 0.9037]
221
+ SSIM_std : [0.0118, 0.0186, 0.0231, 0.0262, 0.0257, 0.0282, 0.0286, 0.0292, 0.0294, 0.0297, 0.0308, 0.0334]
222
+
223
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
224
+ RMSE : [3.5358, 3.7854, 4.0639, 4.3036, 4.7646, 5.0936, 5.6675, 6.4134, 7.1730, 7.4942, 7.8785, 8.6395]
225
+ RMSE_std : [0.4039, 0.2526, 0.2274, 0.3962, 0.5601, 0.7994, 1.1903, 1.7311, 1.7354, 1.5063, 1.2340, 1.0039]
226
+ R² : [0.9860, 0.9842, 0.9818, 0.9793, 0.9743, 0.9710, 0.9657, 0.9577, 0.9491, 0.9462, 0.9422, 0.9318]
227
+ R²_std : [0.0035, 0.0024, 0.0018, 0.0040, 0.0060, 0.0082, 0.0116, 0.0179, 0.0183, 0.0157, 0.0133, 0.0130]
228
+ SSIM : [0.9619, 0.9540, 0.9461, 0.9413, 0.9326, 0.9222, 0.9069, 0.8903, 0.8763, 0.8616, 0.8536, 0.8426]
229
+ SSIM_std : [0.0047, 0.0025, 0.0055, 0.0114, 0.0156, 0.0239, 0.0348, 0.0408, 0.0411, 0.0349, 0.0245, 0.0169]
230
+
231
+ Storm 8: 2001-03-20 16:00 (Dst: -146.0 nT)
232
+
233
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
234
+ RMSE : [2.8029, 3.5163, 3.9660, 4.2759, 4.5519, 4.7097, 4.8541, 4.9880, 5.0787, 5.1864, 5.2727, 5.3615]
235
+ RMSE_std : [0.6866, 0.8944, 1.0416, 1.1447, 1.2158, 1.2577, 1.3330, 1.4049, 1.5072, 1.6054, 1.7138, 1.8045]
236
+ R² : [0.9871, 0.9800, 0.9747, 0.9707, 0.9668, 0.9646, 0.9623, 0.9602, 0.9587, 0.9569, 0.9553, 0.9537]
237
+ R²_std : [0.0059, 0.0083, 0.0108, 0.0126, 0.0144, 0.0152, 0.0170, 0.0189, 0.0214, 0.0234, 0.0262, 0.0279]
238
+ SSIM : [0.9696, 0.9554, 0.9462, 0.9410, 0.9378, 0.9354, 0.9333, 0.9320, 0.9303, 0.9280, 0.9268, 0.9243]
239
+ SSIM_std : [0.0114, 0.0171, 0.0216, 0.0243, 0.0255, 0.0267, 0.0277, 0.0288, 0.0306, 0.0333, 0.0353, 0.0380]
240
+
241
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
242
+ RMSE : [3.1900, 4.1998, 5.0614, 5.7498, 6.2297, 6.2971, 6.3335, 6.4340, 6.7126, 7.0601, 7.3004, 7.7929]
243
+ RMSE_std : [0.8135, 0.9048, 0.8743, 0.6528, 0.6300, 0.6502, 0.4694, 0.4780, 0.5299, 0.5427, 0.4991, 0.4676]
244
+ R² : [0.9859, 0.9766, 0.9674, 0.9590, 0.9522, 0.9504, 0.9486, 0.9451, 0.9387, 0.9307, 0.9249, 0.9140]
245
+ R²_std : [0.0061, 0.0082, 0.0095, 0.0091, 0.0093, 0.0087, 0.0060, 0.0066, 0.0080, 0.0086, 0.0085, 0.0112]
246
+ SSIM : [0.9575, 0.9357, 0.9218, 0.9084, 0.9018, 0.8982, 0.8965, 0.8887, 0.8786, 0.8686, 0.8637, 0.8549]
247
+ SSIM_std : [0.0153, 0.0192, 0.0187, 0.0156, 0.0146, 0.0114, 0.0056, 0.0065, 0.0086, 0.0090, 0.0116, 0.0140]
248
+
249
+ Storm 9: 2012-03-09 08:00 (Dst: -145.0 nT)
250
+
251
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
252
+ RMSE : [2.7080, 3.4415, 3.7519, 3.9310, 4.0077, 4.0738, 4.0933, 4.1619, 4.1918, 4.2038, 4.2420, 4.2526]
253
+ RMSE_std : [0.5214, 0.7501, 0.8500, 0.9213, 0.9010, 0.8437, 0.8128, 0.9068, 0.9376, 0.9895, 0.9950, 1.1010]
254
+ R² : [0.9752, 0.9594, 0.9516, 0.9469, 0.9448, 0.9434, 0.9429, 0.9405, 0.9395, 0.9391, 0.9382, 0.9373]
255
+ R²_std : [0.0082, 0.0166, 0.0220, 0.0257, 0.0262, 0.0245, 0.0234, 0.0262, 0.0280, 0.0295, 0.0308, 0.0367]
256
+ SSIM : [0.9603, 0.9407, 0.9332, 0.9293, 0.9285, 0.9272, 0.9262, 0.9267, 0.9260, 0.9252, 0.9247, 0.9243]
257
+ SSIM_std : [0.0123, 0.0181, 0.0200, 0.0208, 0.0205, 0.0203, 0.0211, 0.0225, 0.0231, 0.0238, 0.0233, 0.0240]
258
+
259
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
260
+ RMSE : [2.7370, 3.4952, 3.6859, 3.8800, 3.9928, 4.0670, 3.9519, 4.0425, 4.3765, 5.0792, 5.4361, 5.6275]
261
+ RMSE_std : [0.1858, 0.3403, 0.4141, 0.3525, 0.4055, 0.3305, 0.3694, 0.6687, 0.8193, 1.0085, 1.0451, 1.0418]
262
+ R² : [0.9714, 0.9532, 0.9492, 0.9479, 0.9472, 0.9495, 0.9553, 0.9541, 0.9473, 0.9313, 0.9218, 0.9163]
263
+ R²_std : [0.0055, 0.0128, 0.0167, 0.0126, 0.0172, 0.0129, 0.0072, 0.0122, 0.0174, 0.0233, 0.0233, 0.0234]
264
+ SSIM : [0.9580, 0.9349, 0.9294, 0.9275, 0.9273, 0.9305, 0.9317, 0.9331, 0.9234, 0.9103, 0.9000, 0.8959]
265
+ SSIM_std : [0.0061, 0.0099, 0.0140, 0.0118, 0.0157, 0.0111, 0.0085, 0.0105, 0.0221, 0.0241, 0.0297, 0.0264]
266
+
267
+ Storm 10: 2012-07-15 16:00 (Dst: -139.0 nT)
268
+
269
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
270
+ RMSE : [1.7305, 2.2139, 2.4088, 2.4632, 2.5418, 2.5871, 2.6481, 2.7175, 2.7632, 2.8047, 2.8495, 2.9455]
271
+ RMSE_std : [0.5278, 0.6766, 0.7496, 0.8184, 0.8607, 0.9148, 1.0140, 1.0496, 1.1373, 1.1696, 1.2077, 1.2974]
272
+ R² : [0.9720, 0.9539, 0.9451, 0.9420, 0.9380, 0.9353, 0.9317, 0.9277, 0.9243, 0.9211, 0.9176, 0.9100]
273
+ R²_std : [0.0180, 0.0286, 0.0339, 0.0382, 0.0408, 0.0445, 0.0482, 0.0526, 0.0583, 0.0630, 0.0675, 0.0786]
274
+ SSIM : [0.9738, 0.9617, 0.9563, 0.9546, 0.9537, 0.9524, 0.9494, 0.9502, 0.9486, 0.9485, 0.9482, 0.9456]
275
+ SSIM_std : [0.0111, 0.0178, 0.0207, 0.0227, 0.0234, 0.0248, 0.0280, 0.0279, 0.0300, 0.0298, 0.0311, 0.0338]
276
+
277
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
278
+ RMSE : [1.5452, 2.1232, 2.5653, 2.9668, 3.5853, 4.2954, 4.8807, 4.8495, 5.0580, 5.1004, 5.1712, 5.2843]
279
+ RMSE_std : [0.4602, 0.6264, 0.7643, 0.8088, 0.6678, 0.7225, 0.8270, 1.0536, 1.3771, 1.3846, 1.2287, 1.0251]
280
+ R² : [0.9804, 0.9643, 0.9488, 0.9338, 0.9105, 0.8813, 0.8483, 0.8464, 0.8275, 0.8201, 0.8071, 0.7799]
281
+ R²_std : [0.0094, 0.0166, 0.0264, 0.0332, 0.0284, 0.0264, 0.0343, 0.0428, 0.0601, 0.0599, 0.0502, 0.0380]
282
+ SSIM : [0.9770, 0.9607, 0.9491, 0.9384, 0.9262, 0.9144, 0.8975, 0.9011, 0.8910, 0.8885, 0.8817, 0.8741]
283
+ SSIM_std : [0.0082, 0.0163, 0.0174, 0.0205, 0.0126, 0.0121, 0.0172, 0.0191, 0.0235, 0.0210, 0.0161, 0.0132]
284
+
285
+ Storm 11: 2012-10-01 04:00 (Dst: -122.0 nT)
286
+
287
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
288
+ RMSE : [2.5173, 3.2352, 3.5554, 3.7462, 3.8806, 3.9643, 3.9826, 4.0960, 4.1616, 4.2602, 4.3591, 4.4663]
289
+ RMSE_std : [0.4860, 0.7536, 0.8674, 0.9546, 1.0188, 1.1005, 1.1974, 1.2961, 1.3774, 1.4909, 1.5459, 1.6304]
290
+ R² : [0.9809, 0.9681, 0.9614, 0.9568, 0.9534, 0.9509, 0.9500, 0.9465, 0.9443, 0.9411, 0.9378, 0.9341]
291
+ R²_std : [0.0062, 0.0126, 0.0154, 0.0179, 0.0200, 0.0228, 0.0253, 0.0291, 0.0322, 0.0374, 0.0408, 0.0442]
292
+ SSIM : [0.9682, 0.9528, 0.9463, 0.9433, 0.9415, 0.9400, 0.9399, 0.9395, 0.9388, 0.9366, 0.9355, 0.9342]
293
+ SSIM_std : [0.0102, 0.0176, 0.0209, 0.0233, 0.0245, 0.0262, 0.0283, 0.0301, 0.0318, 0.0332, 0.0337, 0.0362]
294
+
295
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
296
+ RMSE : [2.3255, 2.7861, 3.0598, 3.2712, 3.6114, 3.8457, 4.1834, 4.8293, 5.5216, 6.4332, 7.2039, 7.8165]
297
+ RMSE_std : [0.1623, 0.0970, 0.2369, 0.4266, 0.4887, 0.5726, 0.8084, 1.1631, 1.7603, 2.2259, 2.3256, 2.1795]
298
+ R² : [0.9829, 0.9755, 0.9706, 0.9669, 0.9607, 0.9562, 0.9492, 0.9345, 0.9178, 0.8915, 0.8650, 0.8417]
299
+ R²_std : [0.0024, 0.0021, 0.0044, 0.0080, 0.0090, 0.0104, 0.0160, 0.0262, 0.0440, 0.0638, 0.0758, 0.0783]
300
+ SSIM : [0.9720, 0.9626, 0.9572, 0.9516, 0.9438, 0.9350, 0.9275, 0.9149, 0.8994, 0.8795, 0.8653, 0.8501]
301
+ SSIM_std : [0.0029, 0.0033, 0.0067, 0.0145, 0.0152, 0.0156, 0.0189, 0.0256, 0.0388, 0.0463, 0.0447, 0.0434]
302
+
303
+ Storm 12: 2012-04-24 04:00 (Dst: -120.0 nT)
304
+
305
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
306
+ RMSE : [2.4493, 3.2085, 3.5667, 3.8024, 3.9130, 4.0021, 4.1357, 4.1613, 4.2069, 4.2521, 4.3194, 4.3585]
307
+ RMSE_std : [0.4729, 0.6519, 0.7497, 0.8332, 0.9016, 0.9626, 1.0077, 1.0202, 1.0679, 1.1360, 1.2023, 1.2087]
308
+ R² : [0.9817, 0.9684, 0.9609, 0.9554, 0.9527, 0.9504, 0.9469, 0.9460, 0.9444, 0.9428, 0.9409, 0.9395]
309
+ R²_std : [0.0064, 0.0122, 0.0158, 0.0188, 0.0204, 0.0221, 0.0232, 0.0239, 0.0272, 0.0311, 0.0336, 0.0352]
310
+ SSIM : [0.9666, 0.9490, 0.9411, 0.9368, 0.9356, 0.9346, 0.9317, 0.9325, 0.9320, 0.9309, 0.9297, 0.9287]
311
+ SSIM_std : [0.0113, 0.0188, 0.0212, 0.0232, 0.0241, 0.0241, 0.0249, 0.0252, 0.0261, 0.0270, 0.0288, 0.0292]
312
+
313
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
314
+ RMSE : [2.2156, 2.6833, 3.0936, 3.2732, 3.3470, 3.6751, 4.3126, 4.8522, 5.5075, 6.0052, 6.5681, 7.0342]
315
+ RMSE_std : [0.2486, 0.2698, 0.3869, 0.3905, 0.4140, 0.8112, 1.2484, 1.4590, 1.3146, 1.1968, 1.0756, 0.6554]
316
+ R² : [0.9852, 0.9792, 0.9729, 0.9698, 0.9684, 0.9606, 0.9459, 0.9343, 0.9213, 0.9105, 0.8934, 0.8731]
317
+ R²_std : [0.0032, 0.0033, 0.0051, 0.0052, 0.0059, 0.0173, 0.0275, 0.0310, 0.0273, 0.0249, 0.0245, 0.0329]
318
+ SSIM : [0.9743, 0.9644, 0.9571, 0.9552, 0.9537, 0.9435, 0.9248, 0.9127, 0.8947, 0.8831, 0.8667, 0.8560]
319
+ SSIM_std : [0.0031, 0.0052, 0.0059, 0.0058, 0.0089, 0.0284, 0.0426, 0.0451, 0.0400, 0.0363, 0.0265, 0.0104]
320
+
321
+ Storm 13: 2001-04-18 06:00 (Dst: -114.0 nT)
322
+
323
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
324
+ RMSE : [2.3602, 2.9626, 3.3111, 3.4578, 3.5835, 3.6536, 3.6430, 3.7128, 3.7836, 3.8124, 3.9103, 3.9287]
325
+ RMSE_std : [0.4581, 0.6098, 0.7517, 0.8870, 1.0008, 1.0747, 1.1323, 1.2045, 1.2222, 1.2668, 1.2987, 1.3194]
326
+ R² : [0.9890, 0.9827, 0.9783, 0.9761, 0.9740, 0.9726, 0.9724, 0.9711, 0.9698, 0.9691, 0.9674, 0.9671]
327
+ R²_std : [0.0048, 0.0073, 0.0103, 0.0134, 0.0164, 0.0192, 0.0205, 0.0223, 0.0231, 0.0237, 0.0247, 0.0246]
328
+ SSIM : [0.9756, 0.9649, 0.9583, 0.9548, 0.9531, 0.9523, 0.9517, 0.9515, 0.9508, 0.9511, 0.9507, 0.9507]
329
+ SSIM_std : [0.0077, 0.0123, 0.0163, 0.0200, 0.0227, 0.0246, 0.0258, 0.0272, 0.0276, 0.0281, 0.0275, 0.0274]
330
+
331
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
332
+ RMSE : [1.8647, 2.2107, 2.4019, 2.4218, 2.5649, 2.7382, 3.1185, 3.8368, 4.6705, 5.3757, 6.1185, 6.6861]
333
+ RMSE_std : [0.1496, 0.1906, 0.0985, 0.1285, 0.2331, 0.3859, 0.9381, 1.7570, 2.1950, 2.2207, 1.9859, 1.6172]
334
+ R² : [0.9926, 0.9896, 0.9877, 0.9874, 0.9858, 0.9838, 0.9787, 0.9676, 0.9538, 0.9409, 0.9253, 0.9137]
335
+ R²_std : [0.0011, 0.0015, 0.0008, 0.0012, 0.0024, 0.0045, 0.0126, 0.0268, 0.0359, 0.0392, 0.0403, 0.0353]
336
+ SSIM : [0.9821, 0.9754, 0.9729, 0.9722, 0.9696, 0.9673, 0.9606, 0.9473, 0.9293, 0.9125, 0.8981, 0.8857]
337
+ SSIM_std : [0.0023, 0.0037, 0.0020, 0.0014, 0.0044, 0.0072, 0.0170, 0.0351, 0.0475, 0.0516, 0.0463, 0.0396]
338
+
339
+ Storm 14: 2012-10-09 08:00 (Dst: -109.0 nT)
340
+
341
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
342
+ RMSE : [2.0349, 2.6126, 2.8995, 3.0540, 3.1580, 3.2195, 3.2656, 3.3082, 3.3264, 3.3786, 3.4279, 3.5328]
343
+ RMSE_std : [0.4224, 0.6329, 0.7721, 0.8016, 0.8224, 0.8758, 0.9230, 0.8877, 0.8978, 0.9119, 0.9460, 0.9736]
344
+ R² : [0.9819, 0.9699, 0.9629, 0.9592, 0.9565, 0.9548, 0.9535, 0.9524, 0.9519, 0.9508, 0.9497, 0.9469]
345
+ R²_std : [0.0068, 0.0145, 0.0185, 0.0188, 0.0195, 0.0218, 0.0236, 0.0237, 0.0243, 0.0246, 0.0253, 0.0257]
346
+ SSIM : [0.9742, 0.9617, 0.9561, 0.9530, 0.9516, 0.9506, 0.9485, 0.9488, 0.9480, 0.9471, 0.9457, 0.9436]
347
+ SSIM_std : [0.0080, 0.0135, 0.0166, 0.0182, 0.0182, 0.0198, 0.0223, 0.0225, 0.0230, 0.0226, 0.0233, 0.0249]
348
+
349
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
350
+ RMSE : [2.4764, 3.5389, 3.9560, 4.0080, 3.9729, 4.0689, 4.5338, 4.7117, 4.9499, 5.0902, 5.1908, 5.1404]
351
+ RMSE_std : [0.4228, 0.7084, 0.7837, 0.6052, 0.7673, 0.8807, 0.9236, 0.8438, 0.7887, 0.5078, 0.4810, 0.4143]
352
+ R² : [0.9719, 0.9419, 0.9289, 0.9318, 0.9365, 0.9359, 0.9241, 0.9212, 0.9151, 0.9099, 0.9033, 0.9000]
353
+ R²_std : [0.0090, 0.0264, 0.0280, 0.0208, 0.0180, 0.0194, 0.0225, 0.0235, 0.0256, 0.0172, 0.0137, 0.0089]
354
+ SSIM : [0.9632, 0.9414, 0.9329, 0.9303, 0.9347, 0.9323, 0.9236, 0.9187, 0.9100, 0.9056, 0.9010, 0.8964]
355
+ SSIM_std : [0.0100, 0.0141, 0.0153, 0.0158, 0.0154, 0.0147, 0.0177, 0.0205, 0.0232, 0.0156, 0.0142, 0.0136]
356
+
357
+ Storm 15: 2001-11-01 10:00 (Dst: -106.0 nT)
358
+
359
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
360
+ RMSE : [3.5860, 4.3771, 4.8217, 5.1476, 5.4723, 5.6237, 5.7673, 5.9536, 6.1512, 6.3254, 6.4373, 6.5326]
361
+ RMSE_std : [0.5254, 0.6317, 0.6948, 0.8181, 0.9004, 0.8981, 1.0587, 1.1096, 1.2048, 1.2644, 1.2952, 1.3662]
362
+ R² : [0.9860, 0.9791, 0.9745, 0.9707, 0.9666, 0.9647, 0.9623, 0.9598, 0.9569, 0.9545, 0.9529, 0.9516]
363
+ R²_std : [0.0044, 0.0064, 0.0076, 0.0098, 0.0117, 0.0118, 0.0151, 0.0162, 0.0183, 0.0191, 0.0196, 0.0200]
364
+ SSIM : [0.9550, 0.9376, 0.9278, 0.9228, 0.9202, 0.9172, 0.9160, 0.9155, 0.9129, 0.9111, 0.9116, 0.9100]
365
+ SSIM_std : [0.0118, 0.0163, 0.0194, 0.0211, 0.0208, 0.0230, 0.0236, 0.0235, 0.0241, 0.0243, 0.0245, 0.0245]
366
+
367
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
368
+ RMSE : [3.0494, 3.7210, 4.0846, 4.5159, 5.0244, 5.7137, 6.3502, 7.1129, 7.6967, 8.3236, 8.8072, 9.2545]
369
+ RMSE_std : [0.2882, 0.5703, 0.8337, 1.0869, 1.2209, 1.4258, 1.2923, 1.2026, 0.9902, 1.2097, 1.3564, 1.2246]
370
+ R² : [0.9898, 0.9846, 0.9813, 0.9771, 0.9718, 0.9636, 0.9560, 0.9458, 0.9379, 0.9280, 0.9204, 0.9145]
371
+ R²_std : [0.0018, 0.0049, 0.0077, 0.0104, 0.0125, 0.0161, 0.0156, 0.0170, 0.0166, 0.0218, 0.0252, 0.0234]
372
+ SSIM : [0.9659, 0.9540, 0.9427, 0.9293, 0.9144, 0.8968, 0.8841, 0.8715, 0.8622, 0.8575, 0.8549, 0.8545]
373
+ SSIM_std : [0.0049, 0.0113, 0.0251, 0.0344, 0.0385, 0.0419, 0.0358, 0.0261, 0.0118, 0.0173, 0.0217, 0.0207]
374
+
375
+ Storm 16: 2012-11-14 06:00 (Dst: -103.0 nT)
376
+
377
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
378
+ RMSE : [2.3297, 2.9968, 3.3227, 3.5059, 3.7039, 3.7545, 3.8493, 3.9602, 4.0174, 4.0988, 4.1550, 4.2339]
379
+ RMSE_std : [0.5767, 0.8977, 1.1476, 1.3338, 1.4195, 1.5000, 1.5686, 1.6100, 1.5943, 1.5958, 1.6051, 1.6144]
380
+ R² : [0.9817, 0.9694, 0.9622, 0.9574, 0.9521, 0.9501, 0.9472, 0.9438, 0.9425, 0.9408, 0.9395, 0.9379]
381
+ R²_std : [0.0071, 0.0150, 0.0222, 0.0285, 0.0336, 0.0376, 0.0416, 0.0463, 0.0467, 0.0466, 0.0469, 0.0462]
382
+ SSIM : [0.9682, 0.9526, 0.9453, 0.9411, 0.9375, 0.9367, 0.9346, 0.9341, 0.9325, 0.9321, 0.9308, 0.9294]
383
+ SSIM_std : [0.0111, 0.0200, 0.0255, 0.0302, 0.0323, 0.0339, 0.0352, 0.0362, 0.0363, 0.0359, 0.0358, 0.0371]
384
+
385
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
386
+ RMSE : [2.3015, 2.8941, 3.0619, 2.9598, 2.9575, 3.3257, 3.9441, 4.7917, 5.5570, 6.4429, 7.1821, 7.7887]
387
+ RMSE_std : [0.2775, 0.3868, 0.4421, 0.4807, 0.4294, 1.0963, 1.5059, 2.0663, 2.3231, 2.1607, 1.6829, 1.0039]
388
+ R² : [0.9794, 0.9677, 0.9652, 0.9690, 0.9715, 0.9659, 0.9552, 0.9387, 0.9220, 0.8986, 0.8774, 0.8574]
389
+ R²_std : [0.0056, 0.0117, 0.0139, 0.0122, 0.0072, 0.0186, 0.0270, 0.0404, 0.0504, 0.0535, 0.0484, 0.0356]
390
+ SSIM : [0.9685, 0.9549, 0.9509, 0.9518, 0.9483, 0.9410, 0.9304, 0.9160, 0.8994, 0.8799, 0.8646, 0.8526]
391
+ SSIM_std : [0.0085, 0.0125, 0.0111, 0.0117, 0.0163, 0.0253, 0.0282, 0.0340, 0.0396, 0.0429, 0.0378, 0.0290]
392
+
393
+
394
+ C1PG Results:
395
+ ======================================================================================================================================================
396
+ Solar Descent
397
+
398
+ RMSE(TECU): 2.0498 ± 0.6943
399
+ R²: 0.9505 ± 0.0198
400
+ SSIM: 0.9664 ± 0.0140
401
+ Per-Horizon Metrics:
402
+ RMSE per step: [np.float32(1.4719), np.float32(1.8349), np.float32(1.9661), np.float32(2.0076), np.float32(2.0451), np.float32(2.0567), np.float32(2.0948), np.float32(2.0987), np.float32(2.12), np.float32(2.1301), np.float32(2.1526), np.float32(2.1636)]
403
+ RMSE_std per step: [np.float32(0.4577), np.float32(0.6057), np.float32(0.6844), np.float32(0.7343), np.float32(0.7695), np.float32(0.7935), np.float32(0.8171), np.float32(0.8359), np.float32(0.849), np.float32(0.8647), np.float32(0.8791), np.float32(0.8987)]
404
+ R² per step: [np.float64(0.9737), np.float64(0.9591), np.float64(0.953), np.float64(0.951), np.float64(0.9493), np.float64(0.9485), np.float64(0.9464), np.float64(0.9462), np.float64(0.945), np.float64(0.9444), np.float64(0.9432), np.float64(0.9423)]
405
+ R²_std per step: [np.float64(0.0106), np.float64(0.0176), np.float64(0.0218), np.float64(0.0243), np.float64(0.0262), np.float64(0.028), np.float64(0.0298), np.float64(0.0308), np.float64(0.0323), np.float64(0.0335), np.float64(0.0347), np.float64(0.0371)]
406
+ SSIM per step: [np.float64(0.9783), np.float64(0.9703), np.float64(0.9675), np.float64(0.9664), np.float64(0.9656), np.float64(0.9657), np.float64(0.9633), np.float64(0.9646), np.float64(0.9638), np.float64(0.964), np.float64(0.9636), np.float64(0.963)]
407
+ SSIM_std per step: [np.float64(0.0084), np.float64(0.0125), np.float64(0.0146), np.float64(0.0159), np.float64(0.0166), np.float64(0.0171), np.float64(0.0182), np.float64(0.0183), np.float64(0.0187), np.float64(0.0188), np.float64(0.0191), np.float64(0.0196)]
408
+
409
+
410
+ Low Activity
411
+
412
+ RMSE(TECU): 1.1760 ± 0.2403
413
+ R²: 0.9574 ± 0.0140
414
+ SSIM: 0.9827 ± 0.0050
415
+ Per-Horizon Metrics:
416
+ RMSE per step: [np.float32(0.8821), np.float32(1.0882), np.float32(1.1629), np.float32(1.1636), np.float32(1.1657), np.float32(1.1706), np.float32(1.2027), np.float32(1.1884), np.float32(1.2107), np.float32(1.2056), np.float32(1.2091), np.float32(1.228)]
417
+ RMSE_std per step: [np.float32(0.1974), np.float32(0.2488), np.float32(0.2713), np.float32(0.2887), np.float32(0.3047), np.float32(0.3103), np.float32(0.3304), np.float32(0.3236), np.float32(0.347), np.float32(0.3436), np.float32(0.3473), np.float32(0.3525)]
418
+ R² per step: [np.float64(0.9754), np.float64(0.9625), np.float64(0.9572), np.float64(0.9571), np.float64(0.9571), np.float64(0.9567), np.float64(0.9542), np.float64(0.9552), np.float64(0.9535), np.float64(0.9538), np.float64(0.9536), np.float64(0.952)]
419
+ R²_std per step: [np.float64(0.01), np.float64(0.0153), np.float64(0.0174), np.float64(0.0184), np.float64(0.019), np.float64(0.0197), np.float64(0.0215), np.float64(0.0211), np.float64(0.0229), np.float64(0.0229), np.float64(0.023), np.float64(0.0243)]
420
+ SSIM per step: [np.float64(0.9878), np.float64(0.9841), np.float64(0.9829), np.float64(0.9828), np.float64(0.983), np.float64(0.9834), np.float64(0.9803), np.float64(0.9829), np.float64(0.9812), np.float64(0.9817), np.float64(0.9824), np.float64(0.9802)]
421
+ SSIM_std per step: [np.float64(0.0043), np.float64(0.0054), np.float64(0.0059), np.float64(0.0062), np.float64(0.0064), np.float64(0.0062), np.float64(0.0082), np.float64(0.0068), np.float64(0.008), np.float64(0.0078), np.float64(0.0074), np.float64(0.0086)]
422
+
423
+
424
+
425
+ High Activity (valid_v3)
426
+
427
+ RMSE(TECU): 4.1052 ± 1.1560
428
+ R²: 0.9596 ± 0.0218
429
+ SSIM: 0.9386 ± 0.0223
430
+ Per-Horizon Metrics:
431
+ RMSE per step: [np.float32(2.8428), np.float32(3.5166), np.float32(3.8006), np.float32(3.9665), np.float32(4.0952), np.float32(4.1441), np.float32(4.201), np.float32(4.2562), np.float32(4.3153), np.float32(4.3514), np.float32(4.4258), np.float32(4.4834)]
432
+ RMSE_std per step: [np.float32(0.7349), np.float32(0.9654), np.float32(1.1092), np.float32(1.2219), np.float32(1.2789), np.float32(1.3272), np.float32(1.3816), np.float32(1.4213), np.float32(1.4594), np.float32(1.494), np.float32(1.5266), np.float32(1.5741)]
433
+ R² per step: [np.float64(0.9805), np.float64(0.9699), np.float64(0.9646), np.float64(0.9613), np.float64(0.9587), np.float64(0.9576), np.float64(0.9563), np.float64(0.955), np.float64(0.9537), np.float64(0.9528), np.float64(0.951), np.float64(0.9494)]
434
+ R²_std per step: [np.float64(0.0096), np.float64(0.0158), np.float64(0.0203), np.float64(0.024), np.float64(0.026), np.float64(0.0274), np.float64(0.0294), np.float64(0.0305), np.float64(0.0317), np.float64(0.0337), np.float64(0.0374), np.float64(0.0432)]
435
+ SSIM per step: [np.float64(0.9625), np.float64(0.9472), np.float64(0.9409), np.float64(0.938), np.float64(0.9359), np.float64(0.9354), np.float64(0.9346), np.float64(0.9348), np.float64(0.9346), np.float64(0.9338), np.float64(0.9329), np.float64(0.9323)]
436
+ SSIM_std per step: [np.float64(0.0126), np.float64(0.0194), np.float64(0.0229), np.float64(0.0254), np.float64(0.0262), np.float64(0.0272), np.float64(0.029), np.float64(0.0292), np.float64(0.03), np.float64(0.0309), np.float64(0.0313), np.float64(0.0323)]
437
+
438
+
439
+
440
+ Feature Abliation Results (DDP):
441
+ ======================================================================================================================================================
442
+ No Solar:
443
+
444
+ RMSE(TECU): 2.4098 ± 1.3644
445
+ R²: 0.9557 ± 0.0162
446
+ SSIM: 0.9644 ± 0.0200
447
+ RMSE per step: [np.float32(1.6468), np.float32(2.1169), np.float32(2.2298), np.float32(2.2932), np.float32(2.4103), np.float32(2.6141), np.float32(2.5006), np.float32(2.5073), np.float32(2.5298), np.float32(2.4949), np.float32(2.5236), np.float32(2.5709)]
448
+ RMSE_std per step: [np.float32(0.8432), np.float32(1.1021), np.float32(1.2513), np.float32(1.3235), np.float32(1.3794), np.float32(1.3732), np.float32(1.457), np.float32(1.5078), np.float32(1.5522), np.float32(1.5879), np.float32(1.6311), np.float32(1.6728)]
449
+ R² per step: [np.float64(0.977), np.float64(0.9627), np.float64(0.9606), np.float64(0.959), np.float64(0.9544), np.float64(0.9405), np.float64(0.9499), np.float64(0.9512), np.float64(0.9506), np.float64(0.9527), np.float64(0.9524), np.float64(0.9502)]
450
+ R²_std per step: [np.float64(0.0112), np.float64(0.018), np.float64(0.0179), np.float64(0.0189), np.float64(0.0217), np.float64(0.0332), np.float64(0.0255), np.float64(0.0248), np.float64(0.0262), np.float64(0.0257), np.float64(0.0262), np.float64(0.0282)]
451
+ SSIM per step: [np.float64(0.9783), np.float64(0.9682), np.float64(0.9664), np.float64(0.9654), np.float64(0.9628), np.float64(0.9579), np.float64(0.962), np.float64(0.9616), np.float64(0.9621), np.float64(0.9634), np.float64(0.9629), np.float64(0.9621)]
452
+ SSIM_std per step: [np.float64(0.0115), np.float64(0.0172), np.float64(0.02), np.float64(0.0217), np.float64(0.0223), np.float64(0.0202), np.float64(0.0222), np.float64(0.0239), np.float64(0.0244), np.float64(0.0248), np.float64(0.0261), np.float64(0.0264)]
453
+
454
+ No Geomagnetic:
455
+ RMSE(TECU): 2.3945 ± 1.4043
456
+ R²: 0.9571 ± 0.0159
457
+ SSIM: 0.9648 ± 0.0207
458
+ RMSE per step: [np.float32(1.6291), np.float32(2.0731), np.float32(2.2201), np.float32(2.322), np.float32(2.3641), np.float32(2.4187), np.float32(2.4248), np.float32(2.4851), np.float32(2.5223), np.float32(2.5735), np.float32(2.5852), np.float32(2.6121)]
459
+ RMSE std per step: [np.float32(0.8506), np.float32(1.1017), np.float32(1.2375), np.float32(1.3418), np.float32(1.3921), np.float32(1.4729), np.float32(1.5119), np.float32(1.5843), np.float32(1.5974), np.float32(1.6351), np.float32(1.6894), np.float32(1.7195)]
460
+ R² per step: [np.float64(0.9776), np.float64(0.9645), np.float64(0.9602), np.float64(0.9576), np.float64(0.9564), np.float64(0.9552), np.float64(0.955), np.float64(0.9542), np.float64(0.9518), np.float64(0.9501), np.float64(0.9511), np.float64(0.9496)]
461
+ R² std per step: [np.float64(0.0106), np.float64(0.0168), np.float64(0.0188), np.float64(0.0195), np.float64(0.021), np.float64(0.0214), np.float64(0.0221), np.float64(0.0226), np.float64(0.0241), np.float64(0.0258), np.float64(0.0251), np.float64(0.0275)]
462
+ SSIM per step: [np.float64(0.9787), np.float64(0.9695), np.float64(0.9664), np.float64(0.9651), np.float64(0.9631), np.float64(0.9631), np.float64(0.9627), np.float64(0.9631), np.float64(0.9616), np.float64(0.9612), np.float64(0.9615), np.float64(0.9616)]
463
+ SSIM std per step: [np.float64(0.0111), np.float64(0.0173), np.float64(0.02), np.float64(0.0217), np.float64(0.0223), np.float64(0.0233), np.float64(0.0236), np.float64(0.0248), np.float64(0.0249), np.float64(0.0253), np.float64(0.0261), np.float64(0.0268)]
464
+
465
+ No SW:
466
+ RMSE(TECU): 2.3618 ± 1.3869
467
+ R²: 0.9581 ± 0.0173
468
+ SSIM: 0.9658 ± 0.0200
469
+ RMSE per step: [np.float32(1.6748), np.float32(2.0166), np.float32(2.2228), np.float32(2.2677), np.float32(2.3568), np.float32(2.3549), np.float32(2.4034), np.float32(2.4791), np.float32(2.4866), np.float32(2.4874), np.float32(2.5517), np.float32(2.5571)]
470
+ RMSE_std per step: [np.float32(0.8758), np.float32(1.0717), np.float32(1.2514), np.float32(1.3199), np.float32(1.39), np.float32(1.4549), np.float32(1.5017), np.float32(1.5241), np.float32(1.5856), np.float32(1.6222), np.float32(1.6521), np.float32(1.7025)]
471
+ R² per step: [np.float64(0.9765), np.float64(0.9668), np.float64(0.9607), np.float64(0.9595), np.float64(0.9569), np.float64(0.958), np.float64(0.9563), np.float64(0.9519), np.float64(0.9533), np.float64(0.9535), np.float64(0.9508), np.float64(0.9509)]
472
+ R²_std per step: [np.float64(0.0113), np.float64(0.016), np.float64(0.0189), np.float64(0.02), np.float64(0.0218), np.float64(0.0221), np.float64(0.0232), np.float64(0.0271), np.float64(0.0267), np.float64(0.0273), np.float64(0.0292), np.float64(0.0311)]
473
+ SSIM per step: [np.float64(0.9782), np.float64(0.9707), np.float64(0.9674), np.float64(0.9669), np.float64(0.9641), np.float64(0.9657), np.float64(0.965), np.float64(0.9617), np.float64(0.9634), np.float64(0.9635), np.float64(0.9615), np.float64(0.962)]
474
+ SSIM_std per step: [np.float64(0.0109), np.float64(0.0168), np.float64(0.0195), np.float64(0.0211), np.float64(0.0218), np.float64(0.0225), np.float64(0.0232), np.float64(0.024), np.float64(0.0245), np.float64(0.0251), np.float64(0.0256), np.float64(0.0257)]
475
+
476
+ No IMF:
477
+ RMSE(TECU): 2.3827 ± 1.3789
478
+ R²: 0.9568 ± 0.0167
479
+ SSIM: 0.9650 ± 0.0201
480
+ RMSE per step: [np.float32(1.6376), np.float32(2.0399), np.float32(2.2154), np.float32(2.3009), np.float32(2.3245), np.float32(2.3878), np.float32(2.4385), np.float32(2.4798), np.float32(2.4522), np.float32(2.5757), np.float32(2.6679), np.float32(2.5947)]
481
+ RMSE_std per step: [np.float32(0.8358), np.float32(1.1134), np.float32(1.2643), np.float32(1.3061), np.float32(1.4063), np.float32(1.442), np.float32(1.4762), np.float32(1.5296), np.float32(1.5701), np.float32(1.6008), np.float32(1.6121), np.float32(1.6602)]
482
+ R² per step: [np.float64(0.9771), np.float64(0.9665), np.float64(0.961), np.float64(0.9573), np.float64(0.9585), np.float64(0.9558), np.float64(0.9532), np.float64(0.9528), np.float64(0.9545), np.float64(0.9479), np.float64(0.9427), np.float64(0.9478)]
483
+ R²_std per step: [np.float64(0.011), np.float64(0.0155), np.float64(0.0189), np.float64(0.0211), np.float64(0.0207), np.float64(0.023), np.float64(0.0248), np.float64(0.0243), np.float64(0.0254), np.float64(0.0286), np.float64(0.0321), np.float64(0.0306)]
484
+ SSIM per step: [np.float64(0.9791), np.float64(0.9699), np.float64(0.9669), np.float64(0.9645), np.float64(0.9652), np.float64(0.9642), np.float64(0.9637), np.float64(0.9628), np.float64(0.9642), np.float64(0.961), np.float64(0.9577), np.float64(0.961)]
485
+ SSIM_std per step: [np.float64(0.0112), np.float64(0.0178), np.float64(0.0206), np.float64(0.0203), np.float64(0.0231), np.float64(0.0229), np.float64(0.023), np.float64(0.0244), np.float64(0.0248), np.float64(0.0242), np.float64(0.0239), np.float64(0.025)]
486
+
487
+ No Time:
488
+
489
+ RMSE(TECU): 2.3435 ± 1.3852
490
+ R²: 0.9588 ± 0.0162
491
+ SSIM: 0.9658 ± 0.0210
492
+ RMSE per step: [np.float32(1.6904), np.float32(2.0162), np.float32(2.1879), np.float32(2.258), np.float32(2.3137), np.float32(2.3569), np.float32(2.4528), np.float32(2.442), np.float32(2.4479), np.float32(2.4831), np.float32(2.4938), np.float32(2.5112)]
493
+ RMSE_std per step: [np.float32(0.8371), np.float32(1.1035), np.float32(1.2481), np.float32(1.3376), np.float32(1.4115), np.float32(1.4489), np.float32(1.4561), np.float32(1.5312), np.float32(1.5848), np.float32(1.6154), np.float32(1.6621), np.float32(1.6866)]
494
+ R² per step: [np.float64(0.975), np.float64(0.9674), np.float64(0.9621), np.float64(0.9605), np.float64(0.9593), np.float64(0.9575), np.float64(0.9517), np.float64(0.9544), np.float64(0.9544), np.float64(0.9534), np.float64(0.9541), np.float64(0.9534)]
495
+ R²_std per step: [np.float64(0.0133), np.float64(0.015), np.float64(0.0181), np.float64(0.0191), np.float64(0.0203), np.float64(0.022), np.float64(0.0261), np.float64(0.0246), np.float64(0.0256), np.float64(0.0261), np.float64(0.0264), np.float64(0.0278)]
496
+ SSIM per step: [np.float64(0.9778), np.float64(0.9703), np.float64(0.9673), np.float64(0.9663), np.float64(0.9652), np.float64(0.9645), np.float64(0.9622), np.float64(0.9631), np.float64(0.9634), np.float64(0.9627), np.float64(0.9635), np.float64(0.9637)]
497
+ SSIM_std per step: [np.float64(0.0109), np.float64(0.0183), np.float64(0.0209), np.float64(0.0219), np.float64(0.0235), np.float64(0.0233), np.float64(0.023), np.float64(0.0252), np.float64(0.025), np.float64(0.0258), np.float64(0.027), np.float64(0.0268)]
498
+
499
+
500
+ Startified vs Chrono (valid_v3) (DDP)
501
+ ======================================================================================================================================================
502
+ Overall Metrics:
503
+ RMSE(TECU): 4.1001 ± 1.1391
504
+ R²: 0.9598 ± 0.0212
505
+ SSIM: 0.9386 ± 0.0220
506
+
507
+ Per-Horizon Metrics:
508
+ RMSE per step: [np.float32(2.8256), np.float32(3.4919), np.float32(3.7984), np.float32(3.9645), np.float32(4.1051), np.float32(4.1319), np.float32(4.1894), np.float32(4.2401), np.float32(4.3201), np.float32(4.3413), np.float32(4.434), np.float32(4.4949)]
509
+ RMSE_std per step: [np.float32(0.7147), np.float32(0.9621), np.float32(1.0792), np.float32(1.2201), np.float32(1.2895), np.float32(1.2922), np.float32(1.3651), np.float32(1.4155), np.float32(1.421), np.float32(1.4798), np.float32(1.5165), np.float32(1.5334)]
510
+ R² per step: [np.float64(0.9808), np.float64(0.9705), np.float64(0.9646), np.float64(0.9614), np.float64(0.9588), np.float64(0.9577), np.float64(0.9566), np.float64(0.9556), np.float64(0.9534), np.float64(0.953), np.float64(0.9513), np.float64(0.949)]
511
+ R²_std per step: [np.float64(0.0084), np.float64(0.0153), np.float64(0.0193), np.float64(0.0238), np.float64(0.0266), np.float64(0.0272), np.float64(0.0285), np.float64(0.0299), np.float64(0.031), np.float64(0.0325), np.float64(0.0345), np.float64(0.0413)]
512
+ SSIM per step: [np.float64(0.9628), np.float64(0.9478), np.float64(0.9407), np.float64(0.9383), np.float64(0.9357), np.float64(0.9351), np.float64(0.935), np.float64(0.9352), np.float64(0.9341), np.float64(0.9343), np.float64(0.9328), np.float64(0.9316)]
513
+ SSIM_std per step: [np.float64(0.0123), np.float64(0.0195), np.float64(0.0222), np.float64(0.0252), np.float64(0.0264), np.float64(0.0263), np.float64(0.0288), np.float64(0.0293), np.float64(0.0293), np.float64(0.0307), np.float64(0.031), np.float64(0.0315)]
514
+
training_sessions/SimVPv2_Chrono/files.json CHANGED
@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
1
  [
2
  "SimVP_chronologicalSplit_best_checkpoint_20250326_1606.pth",
3
  "SimVP_chronologicalSplit_lr8e-05_bs128_20250326_1606.txt",
4
- "testing_info_2025-04-12_17-17-53.txt"
5
  ]
 
1
  [
2
  "SimVP_chronologicalSplit_best_checkpoint_20250326_1606.pth",
3
  "SimVP_chronologicalSplit_lr8e-05_bs128_20250326_1606.txt",
4
+ "testing_info_2025-06-08_15-34-43.txt"
5
  ]
training_sessions/SimVPv2_Chrono/testing_info_2025-04-12_17-17-53.txt DELETED
@@ -1,31 +0,0 @@
1
- Testing Session Information
2
- ========================================================================================================================
3
- Session name: SimVP_chronologicalSplit
4
- Testing Session Start Time: 2025-04-12_17-17-53
5
- Inputs: ['F10.7', 'Dst', 'ap', 'AE', 'pc', 'SW Temp', 'SW Density', 'SW Speed', 'SW Long Angle', 'SW Lat Angle', 'Flow Pressure', 'E Field', 'Scalar B', 'BZ (GSM)', 'Year', 'Day of Year', 'Hour']
6
-
7
- Overall Metrics:
8
- RMSE(TECU): 4.1806 ± 1.6177
9
- R²: 0.9554 ± 0.0241
10
- SSIM: 0.8547 ± 0.0503
11
-
12
- Per-Horizon Metrics:
13
- RMSE per step: [np.float32(3.0729), np.float32(3.7443), np.float32(4.0939), np.float32(4.2806), np.float32(4.2959), np.float32(4.3203), np.float32(4.4511), np.float32(4.5364), np.float32(4.4467), np.float32(4.4654), np.float32(4.5978), np.float32(4.6508)]
14
- RMSE_std per step: [np.float32(0.7707), np.float32(1.0229), np.float32(1.2385), np.float32(1.2695), np.float32(1.3116), np.float32(1.3911), np.float32(1.4829), np.float32(1.4655), np.float32(1.4924), np.float32(1.5667), np.float32(1.6125), np.float32(1.5884)]
15
- R² per step: [np.float64(0.9773), np.float64(0.9659), np.float64(0.9594), np.float64(0.9553), np.float64(0.9544), np.float64(0.9534), np.float64(0.951), np.float64(0.9491), np.float64(0.9508), np.float64(0.9498), np.float64(0.947), np.float64(0.9458)]
16
- R²_std per step: [np.float64(0.0108), np.float64(0.0183), np.float64(0.025), np.float64(0.0272), np.float64(0.0298), np.float64(0.0332), np.float64(0.0344), np.float64(0.0332), np.float64(0.0333), np.float64(0.0393), np.float64(0.0464), np.float64(0.0462)]
17
- SSIM per step: [np.float64(0.9202), np.float64(0.8888), np.float64(0.8752), np.float64(0.874), np.float64(0.87), np.float64(0.8661), np.float64(0.8651), np.float64(0.869), np.float64(0.8696), np.float64(0.8663), np.float64(0.8658), np.float64(0.8706)]
18
- SSIM_std per step: [np.float64(0.0188), np.float64(0.0308), np.float64(0.0352), np.float64(0.0373), np.float64(0.0375), np.float64(0.042), np.float64(0.0433), np.float64(0.0429), np.float64(0.0425), np.float64(0.0464), np.float64(0.0455), np.float64(0.0448)]
19
-
20
- Storm Analysis Results:
21
- ======================================================================================================================================================
22
- Storm Date Dst(nT) Full (RMSE ± std / R² ± std / SSIM ± std) Main (RMSE ± std / R² ± std / SSIM ± std)
23
- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
24
- 1 2024-05-11 02:00 -412.0 6.45 ± 4.07 / 0.89 ± 0.10 / 0.76 ± 0.14 8.71 ± 4.13 / 0.84 ± 0.08 / 0.74 ± 0.11
25
- 2 2024-08-12 16:00 -188.0 5.65 ± 2.08 / 0.94 ± 0.03 / 0.80 ± 0.07 7.82 ± 1.86 / 0.89 ± 0.01 / 0.70 ± 0.03
26
- 3 2023-11-05 22:00 -155.0 5.52 ± 2.33 / 0.94 ± 0.03 / 0.82 ± 0.10 7.42 ± 1.89 / 0.90 ± 0.00 / 0.70 ± 0.00
27
- 4 2024-03-24 20:00 -128.0 5.92 ± 2.27 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.82 ± 0.06 6.60 ± 2.43 / 0.94 ± 0.01 / 0.78 ± 0.01
28
- 5 2024-03-03 18:00 -111.0 4.77 ± 1.76 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.83 ± 0.07 5.37 ± 2.23 / 0.93 ± 0.02 / 0.83 ± 0.03
29
- 6 2023-12-01 12:00 -107.0 4.49 ± 1.66 / 0.95 ± 0.03 / 0.84 ± 0.08 4.67 ± 1.30 / 0.95 ± 0.03 / 0.83 ± 0.05
30
- 7 2024-06-28 12:00 -105.0 3.70 ± 1.12 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.81 ± 0.05 4.40 ± 0.95 / 0.93 ± 0.01 / 0.78 ± 0.02
31
- 8 2024-04-19 18:00 -103.0 6.23 ± 1.76 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.82 ± 0.05 6.55 ± 1.88 / 0.93 ± 0.02 / 0.82 ± 0.04
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
training_sessions/SimVPv2_Chrono/testing_info_2025-06-08_15-34-43.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,18 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Testing Session Information
2
+ ========================================================================================================================
3
+ Session name: SimVP_chronologicalSplit
4
+ Testing Session Start Time: 2025-06-08_15-34-43
5
+ Inputs: ['F10.7', 'Dst', 'ap', 'AE', 'pc', 'SW Temp', 'SW Density', 'SW Speed', 'SW Long Angle', 'SW Lat Angle', 'Flow Pressure', 'E Field', 'Scalar B', 'BZ (GSM)', 'Year', 'Day of Year', 'Hour']
6
+
7
+ Overall Metrics:
8
+ RMSE(TECU): 4.3211 ± 1.1936
9
+ R²: 0.9554 ± 0.0231
10
+ SSIM: 0.9332 ± 0.0232
11
+
12
+ Per-Horizon Metrics:
13
+ RMSE per step: [np.float32(3.14), np.float32(3.8173), np.float32(4.0891), np.float32(4.2207), np.float32(4.3474), np.float32(4.3733), np.float32(4.4025), np.float32(4.4396), np.float32(4.5058), np.float32(4.5201), np.float32(4.5775), np.float32(4.6087)]
14
+ RMSE_std per step: [np.float32(0.8013), np.float32(1.0461), np.float32(1.1545), np.float32(1.2874), np.float32(1.3472), np.float32(1.3519), np.float32(1.4238), np.float32(1.4803), np.float32(1.4843), np.float32(1.5486), np.float32(1.5636), np.float32(1.5848)]
15
+ R² per step: [np.float64(0.9764), np.float64(0.9651), np.float64(0.9593), np.float64(0.9564), np.float64(0.9538), np.float64(0.9524), np.float64(0.9519), np.float64(0.9514), np.float64(0.9492), np.float64(0.9491), np.float64(0.948), np.float64(0.9463)]
16
+ R²_std per step: [np.float64(0.0096), np.float64(0.0164), np.float64(0.0216), np.float64(0.0276), np.float64(0.0292), np.float64(0.0325), np.float64(0.0331), np.float64(0.0328), np.float64(0.0353), np.float64(0.037), np.float64(0.0379), np.float64(0.0457)]
17
+ SSIM per step: [np.float64(0.9595), np.float64(0.9425), np.float64(0.9346), np.float64(0.9319), np.float64(0.9294), np.float64(0.9288), np.float64(0.9294), np.float64(0.9294), np.float64(0.9279), np.float64(0.9289), np.float64(0.9276), np.float64(0.9279)]
18
+ SSIM_std per step: [np.float64(0.0131), np.float64(0.0205), np.float64(0.0236), np.float64(0.0266), np.float64(0.028), np.float64(0.0282), np.float64(0.0298), np.float64(0.0306), np.float64(0.0309), np.float64(0.0321), np.float64(0.0321), np.float64(0.0325)]
training_sessions/SwinLSTM/files.json CHANGED
@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
1
  [
2
  "SwinLSTM_in12_out12_best_checkpoint_20250411_0134.pth",
3
  "SwinLSTM_in12_out12_lr8e-05_bs16_20250411_0134.txt",
4
- "testing_info_2025-04-11_19-00-08.txt"
5
  ]
 
1
  [
2
  "SwinLSTM_in12_out12_best_checkpoint_20250411_0134.pth",
3
  "SwinLSTM_in12_out12_lr8e-05_bs16_20250411_0134.txt",
4
+ "testing_info_2025-06-08_14-00-32.txt"
5
  ]
training_sessions/SwinLSTM/testing_info_2025-04-11_19-00-08.txt DELETED
@@ -1,390 +0,0 @@
1
- Testing Session Information
2
- ========================================================================================================================
3
- Session name: SwinLSTM_in12_out12
4
- Testing Session Start Time: 2025-04-11_19-00-08
5
- Inputs: ['F10.7', 'Dst', 'ap', 'AE', 'pc', 'SW Temp', 'SW Density', 'SW Speed', 'SW Long Angle', 'SW Lat Angle', 'Flow Pressure', 'E Field', 'Scalar B', 'BZ (GSM)', 'Year', 'Day of Year', 'Hour']
6
-
7
- Overall Metrics:
8
- RMSE(TECU): 2.5656 ± 1.6396
9
- R²: 0.9463 ± 0.0193
10
- SSIM: 0.8162 ± 0.0468
11
-
12
- Per-Horizon Metrics:
13
- RMSE per step: [np.float32(1.5229), np.float32(2.2181), np.float32(2.5416), np.float32(2.6546), np.float32(2.6752), np.float32(2.721), np.float32(2.7936), np.float32(2.8039), np.float32(2.7759), np.float32(2.7954), np.float32(2.8492), np.float32(2.9074)]
14
- RMSE_std per step: [np.float32(0.7773), np.float32(1.1527), np.float32(1.374), np.float32(1.472), np.float32(1.5113), np.float32(1.5542), np.float32(1.615), np.float32(1.6626), np.float32(1.6846), np.float32(1.7129), np.float32(1.7619), np.float32(1.8025)]
15
- R² per step: [np.float64(0.9809), np.float64(0.9594), np.float64(0.9482), np.float64(0.9439), np.float64(0.9425), np.float64(0.9402), np.float64(0.9387), np.float64(0.9392), np.float64(0.9404), np.float64(0.9397), np.float64(0.9391), np.float64(0.9365)]
16
- R²_std per step: [np.float64(0.0091), np.float64(0.0188), np.float64(0.0236), np.float64(0.0262), np.float64(0.0281), np.float64(0.0296), np.float64(0.0295), np.float64(0.0294), np.float64(0.0297), np.float64(0.03), np.float64(0.0297), np.float64(0.0316)]
17
- SSIM per step: [np.float64(0.9253), np.float64(0.8683), np.float64(0.8532), np.float64(0.8516), np.float64(0.8509), np.float64(0.8485), np.float64(0.8478), np.float64(0.85), np.float64(0.8508), np.float64(0.8499), np.float64(0.8522), np.float64(0.851)]
18
- SSIM_std per step: [np.float64(0.0263), np.float64(0.0392), np.float64(0.0398), np.float64(0.0405), np.float64(0.0411), np.float64(0.0417), np.float64(0.0406), np.float64(0.0405), np.float64(0.0411), np.float64(0.0406), np.float64(0.0384), np.float64(0.0384)]
19
-
20
- very_weak:
21
- Overall Metrics:
22
- RMSE(TECU): 1.3721
23
- RMSE_std: 0.4775
24
- R²: 0.9365
25
- R²_std: 0.0158
26
- SSIM: 0.7980
27
- SSIM_std: 0.0425
28
- RMSE per step: [0.8965, 1.2725, 1.4139, 1.4701, 1.4963, 1.5068, 1.5038, 1.4896, 1.4777, 1.4687, 1.4619, 1.4993]
29
- RMSE std per step: [0.2053, 0.2573, 0.2742, 0.2847, 0.2924, 0.3, 0.3063, 0.3094, 0.3117, 0.3158, 0.3188, 0.3178]
30
- R² per step: [0.9745, 0.9489, 0.9367, 0.9313, 0.9287, 0.9275, 0.9277, 0.9291, 0.9303, 0.9312, 0.9319, 0.9283]
31
- R² std per step: [0.0102, 0.0181, 0.0232, 0.0260, 0.0275, 0.0285, 0.0289, 0.0283, 0.0279, 0.0279, 0.0280, 0.0291]
32
- SSIM per step: [0.9067, 0.8439, 0.8305, 0.8293, 0.8291, 0.8292, 0.8294, 0.8301, 0.8304, 0.8335, 0.8391, 0.8364]
33
- SSIM std per step: [0.0271, 0.0362, 0.0373, 0.0371, 0.0370, 0.0373, 0.0376, 0.0374, 0.0372, 0.0365, 0.0353, 0.0349]
34
-
35
- weak:
36
- Overall Metrics:
37
- RMSE(TECU): 1.5882
38
- RMSE_std: 0.8289
39
- R²: 0.9401
40
- R²_std: 0.0156
41
- SSIM: 0.8033
42
- SSIM_std: 0.0402
43
- RMSE per step: [1.0155, 1.4560, 1.6223, 1.6855, 1.7179, 1.7358, 1.7393, 1.7297, 1.7212, 1.7157, 1.7090, 1.7451]
44
- RMSE std per step: [0.435, 0.62, 0.6746, 0.6975, 0.7151, 0.7289, 0.7395, 0.7501, 0.761, 0.7695, 0.7723, 0.7751]
45
- R² per step: [0.9772, 0.9531, 0.9409, 0.9358, 0.9332, 0.9317, 0.9315, 0.9326, 0.9336, 0.9342, 0.9348, 0.9318]
46
- R² std per step: [0.0094, 0.0172, 0.0223, 0.0249, 0.0264, 0.0277, 0.0280, 0.0275, 0.0272, 0.0271, 0.0272, 0.0283]
47
- SSIM per step: [0.9136, 0.8549, 0.8414, 0.8394, 0.8386, 0.8380, 0.8379, 0.8385, 0.8390, 0.8417, 0.8465, 0.8436]
48
- SSIM std per step: [0.0227, 0.0308, 0.0329, 0.0331, 0.0333, 0.0335, 0.0336, 0.0335, 0.0334, 0.0330, 0.0322, 0.0320]
49
-
50
- moderate:
51
- Overall Metrics:
52
- RMSE(TECU): 3.2179
53
- RMSE_std: 1.2064
54
- R²: 0.9520
55
- R²_std: 0.0196
56
- SSIM: 0.8288
57
- SSIM_std: 0.0463
58
- RMSE per step: [1.9749, 2.8432, 3.1724, 3.3036, 3.3750, 3.4157, 3.4434, 3.4691, 3.4980, 3.5263, 3.5466, 3.6076]
59
- RMSE std per step: [0.5378, 0.7422, 0.8662, 0.9321, 0.9736, 1.0059, 1.0331, 1.0579, 1.081, 1.1031, 1.1259, 1.1366]
60
- R² per step: [0.9827, 0.9642, 0.9553, 0.9515, 0.9493, 0.9481, 0.9472, 0.9464, 0.9455, 0.9446, 0.9440, 0.9421]
61
- R² std per step: [0.0077, 0.0154, 0.0210, 0.0240, 0.0261, 0.0277, 0.0290, 0.0300, 0.0307, 0.0316, 0.0330, 0.0343]
62
- SSIM per step: [0.9314, 0.8820, 0.8674, 0.8628, 0.8605, 0.8598, 0.8596, 0.8593, 0.8588, 0.8589, 0.8597, 0.8569]
63
- SSIM std per step: [0.0203, 0.0309, 0.0352, 0.0371, 0.0381, 0.0388, 0.0393, 0.0396, 0.0398, 0.0402, 0.0405, 0.0405]
64
-
65
- intense:
66
- Overall Metrics:
67
- RMSE(TECU): 4.3602
68
- RMSE_std: 1.8391
69
- R²: 0.9579
70
- R²_std: 0.0180
71
- SSIM: 0.8397
72
- SSIM_std: 0.0448
73
- RMSE per step: [2.5087, 3.6345, 4.1387, 4.3624, 4.4933, 4.5801, 4.6483, 4.7148, 4.7820, 4.8413, 4.9039, 5.0174]
74
- RMSE std per step: [0.9536, 1.2088, 1.4153, 1.5389, 1.6172, 1.6755, 1.7281, 1.7744, 1.8171, 1.8605, 1.9086, 1.9564]
75
- R² per step: [0.9860, 0.9716, 0.9633, 0.9592, 0.9565, 0.9548, 0.9534, 0.9520, 0.9507, 0.9495, 0.9483, 0.9460]
76
- R² std per step: [0.0095, 0.0126, 0.0169, 0.0199, 0.0222, 0.0238, 0.0254, 0.0267, 0.0277, 0.0288, 0.0303, 0.0317]
77
- SSIM per step: [0.9440, 0.8997, 0.8831, 0.8777, 0.8754, 0.8745, 0.8740, 0.8732, 0.8725, 0.8724, 0.8724, 0.8697]
78
- SSIM std per step: [0.0212, 0.0285, 0.0336, 0.0361, 0.0375, 0.0382, 0.0385, 0.0387, 0.0387, 0.0387, 0.0388, 0.0386]
79
-
80
- Storm Analysis Results:
81
- ======================================================================================================================================================
82
- Storm Date Dst(nT) Full (RMSE ± std / R² ± std / SSIM ± std) Main (RMSE ± std / R² ± std / SSIM ± std)
83
- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
84
- 1 2001-03-31 08:00 -387.0 7.49 ± 2.72 / 0.94 ± 0.03 / 0.78 ± 0.07 7.41 ± 2.40 / 0.94 ± 0.03 / 0.79 ± 0.07
85
- 2 2001-11-06 06:00 -292.0 7.19 ± 2.09 / 0.94 ± 0.03 / 0.79 ± 0.09 7.86 ± 2.42 / 0.92 ± 0.03 / 0.76 ± 0.07
86
- 3 2001-04-12 00:00 -236.0 5.72 ± 2.27 / 0.95 ± 0.03 / 0.81 ± 0.07 6.45 ± 2.86 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.79 ± 0.06
87
- 4 2001-11-24 16:00 -221.0 5.48 ± 1.45 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.82 ± 0.06 6.01 ± 1.36 / 0.94 ± 0.01 / 0.77 ± 0.04
88
- 5 2001-10-21 22:00 -180.0 6.90 ± 1.95 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.81 ± 0.05 5.70 ± 1.90 / 0.97 ± 0.01 / 0.86 ± 0.02
89
- 6 2001-10-03 14:00 -166.0 6.19 ± 1.60 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.81 ± 0.03 6.39 ± 1.58 / 0.96 ± 0.00 / 0.79 ± 0.00
90
- 7 2001-10-28 10:00 -149.0 6.76 ± 1.87 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.82 ± 0.03 6.31 ± 1.62 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.82 ± 0.04
91
- 8 2001-03-20 16:00 -146.0 5.06 ± 1.94 / 0.96 ± 0.02 / 0.83 ± 0.05 6.77 ± 2.09 / 0.93 ± 0.00 / 0.75 ± 0.01
92
- 9 2012-03-09 08:00 -145.0 4.26 ± 1.53 / 0.93 ± 0.01 / 0.77 ± 0.04 4.54 ± 1.60 / 0.93 ± 0.01 / 0.75 ± 0.01
93
- 10 2012-07-15 16:00 -139.0 3.20 ± 1.33 / 0.90 ± 0.05 / 0.73 ± 0.09 4.48 ± 1.56 / 0.84 ± 0.03 / 0.62 ± 0.05
94
- 11 2012-10-01 04:00 -122.0 4.57 ± 1.57 / 0.93 ± 0.02 / 0.80 ± 0.07 4.72 ± 1.74 / 0.93 ± 0.01 / 0.79 ± 0.05
95
- 12 2012-04-24 04:00 -120.0 4.24 ± 1.63 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.80 ± 0.05 4.56 ± 1.55 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.79 ± 0.04
96
- 13 2001-04-18 06:00 -114.0 4.12 ± 1.35 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.86 ± 0.05 3.72 ± 1.40 / 0.97 ± 0.01 / 0.87 ± 0.03
97
- 14 2012-10-09 08:00 -109.0 3.53 ± 1.20 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.81 ± 0.05 4.71 ± 1.48 / 0.91 ± 0.02 / 0.72 ± 0.01
98
- 15 2001-11-01 10:00 -106.0 6.78 ± 1.46 / 0.95 ± 0.01 / 0.82 ± 0.04 7.09 ± 1.53 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.77 ± 0.05
99
- 16 2012-11-14 06:00 -103.0 4.52 ± 1.68 / 0.93 ± 0.03 / 0.79 ± 0.07 5.63 ± 1.81 / 0.90 ± 0.02 / 0.74 ± 0.03
100
-
101
-
102
- ======================== Per-Horizon Breakdown ========================
103
-
104
- Storm 1: 2001-03-31 08:00 (Dst: -387.0 nT)
105
-
106
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
107
- RMSE : [3.4391, 5.3110, 6.5054, 7.3834, 7.7908, 7.8701, 7.9624, 8.2423, 8.4769, 8.5146, 8.6033, 8.8693]
108
- RMSE_std : [0.8850, 1.3328, 1.7703, 2.1855, 2.7009, 2.8239, 2.6043, 2.6701, 3.0199, 3.0721, 2.8018, 2.8449]
109
- R² : [0.9876, 0.9706, 0.9570, 0.9430, 0.9335, 0.9310, 0.9334, 0.9278, 0.9201, 0.9180, 0.9208, 0.9154]
110
- R²_std : [0.0058, 0.0127, 0.0200, 0.0313, 0.0469, 0.0528, 0.0412, 0.0437, 0.0618, 0.0684, 0.0514, 0.0506]
111
- SSIM : [0.9465, 0.8916, 0.8609, 0.8493, 0.8452, 0.8442, 0.8422, 0.8404, 0.8398, 0.8396, 0.8382, 0.8368]
112
- SSIM_std : [0.0194, 0.0357, 0.0466, 0.0569, 0.0647, 0.0645, 0.0642, 0.0697, 0.0735, 0.0707, 0.0688, 0.0739]
113
-
114
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
115
- RMSE : [2.8306, 4.4659, 4.9864, 5.1276, 5.0252, 5.1598, 5.6380, 7.0591, 7.8381, 8.9906, 11.2158, 13.2739]
116
- RMSE_std : [0.0045, 0.3050, 0.5545, 0.5193, 0.3790, 0.1440, 0.9775, 2.4105, 3.1548, 3.8062, 4.6705, 4.0892]
117
- R² : [0.9908, 0.9771, 0.9714, 0.9691, 0.9702, 0.9697, 0.9657, 0.9480, 0.9392, 0.9243, 0.8816, 0.8205]
118
- R²_std : [0.0008, 0.0015, 0.0054, 0.0067, 0.0067, 0.0045, 0.0087, 0.0273, 0.0373, 0.0481, 0.0763, 0.1049]
119
- SSIM : [0.9660, 0.9274, 0.9170, 0.9079, 0.9086, 0.9088, 0.9058, 0.8774, 0.8647, 0.8333, 0.7839, 0.7340]
120
- SSIM_std : [0.0029, 0.0045, 0.0009, 0.0050, 0.0100, 0.0070, 0.0188, 0.0440, 0.0581, 0.0828, 0.1047, 0.1011]
121
-
122
- Storm 2: 2001-11-06 06:00 (Dst: -292.0 nT)
123
-
124
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
125
- RMSE : [4.2887, 5.7329, 6.5427, 6.9096, 7.1450, 7.3385, 7.4658, 7.6412, 7.7731, 8.0067, 8.2663, 8.5596]
126
- RMSE_std : [1.5217, 1.2655, 1.8389, 1.7135, 1.5413, 1.7133, 2.1255, 2.0618, 2.0811, 2.2709, 2.4915, 2.3075]
127
- R² : [0.9761, 0.9609, 0.9495, 0.9428, 0.9373, 0.9352, 0.9338, 0.9292, 0.9232, 0.9198, 0.9168, 0.9102]
128
- R²_std : [0.0170, 0.0168, 0.0277, 0.0302, 0.0305, 0.0300, 0.0363, 0.0416, 0.0511, 0.0512, 0.0517, 0.0525]
129
- SSIM : [0.9220, 0.8682, 0.8437, 0.8382, 0.8343, 0.8325, 0.8306, 0.8322, 0.8296, 0.8273, 0.8223, 0.8216]
130
- SSIM_std : [0.0358, 0.0388, 0.0562, 0.0609, 0.0591, 0.0544, 0.0643, 0.0677, 0.0658, 0.0604, 0.0688, 0.0699]
131
-
132
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
133
- RMSE : [3.0091, 4.6826, 5.4696, 5.6007, 5.8019, 6.3045, 6.9410, 7.6069, 8.6342, 10.7794, 11.7781, 12.4762]
134
- RMSE_std : [0.0796, 0.1078, 0.3349, 0.3442, 0.1184, 0.3843, 0.7379, 1.6264, 2.7165, 4.0535, 3.8534, 3.6780]
135
- R² : [0.9881, 0.9716, 0.9608, 0.9579, 0.9567, 0.9509, 0.9407, 0.9229, 0.9075, 0.8710, 0.8299, 0.7778]
136
- R²_std : [0.0010, 0.0011, 0.0068, 0.0086, 0.0026, 0.0040, 0.0068, 0.0258, 0.0467, 0.0753, 0.0997, 0.1288]
137
- SSIM : [0.9439, 0.8947, 0.8747, 0.8730, 0.8591, 0.8353, 0.8337, 0.8131, 0.7897, 0.7264, 0.7185, 0.7030]
138
- SSIM_std : [0.0066, 0.0029, 0.0146, 0.0156, 0.0298, 0.0369, 0.0318, 0.0509, 0.0449, 0.0849, 0.0969, 0.0698]
139
-
140
- Storm 3: 2001-04-12 00:00 (Dst: -236.0 nT)
141
-
142
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
143
- RMSE : [2.8311, 4.2933, 5.1971, 5.8013, 5.9683, 5.9508, 6.0947, 6.3376, 6.5291, 6.5803, 6.6623, 6.7254]
144
- RMSE_std : [0.6654, 0.9944, 1.1245, 1.3234, 1.8341, 1.9935, 1.9372, 1.9599, 2.3119, 2.4623, 2.4476, 2.4499]
145
- R² : [0.9890, 0.9749, 0.9637, 0.9529, 0.9483, 0.9478, 0.9457, 0.9401, 0.9352, 0.9333, 0.9319, 0.9293]
146
- R²_std : [0.0054, 0.0117, 0.0154, 0.0237, 0.0353, 0.0383, 0.0379, 0.0405, 0.0501, 0.0562, 0.0582, 0.0589]
147
- SSIM : [0.9533, 0.9073, 0.8783, 0.8683, 0.8638, 0.8632, 0.8561, 0.8560, 0.8521, 0.8521, 0.8473, 0.8509]
148
- SSIM_std : [0.0184, 0.0313, 0.0391, 0.0437, 0.0555, 0.0578, 0.0559, 0.0575, 0.0676, 0.0688, 0.0666, 0.0679]
149
-
150
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
151
- RMSE : [2.2898, 3.6590, 4.8045, 4.5921, 4.4570, 4.8574, 6.3337, 7.6071, 8.0134, 8.3528, 9.6145, 11.4078]
152
- RMSE_std : [0.0915, 0.0673, 0.6013, 0.3623, 0.0375, 0.4270, 1.7062, 3.1668, 3.3297, 2.7779, 1.6296, 0.9570]
153
- R² : [0.9929, 0.9819, 0.9687, 0.9704, 0.9711, 0.9658, 0.9435, 0.9222, 0.9162, 0.9144, 0.8835, 0.8375]
154
- R²_std : [0.0011, 0.0008, 0.0058, 0.0032, 0.0001, 0.0054, 0.0255, 0.0486, 0.0514, 0.0414, 0.0356, 0.0436]
155
- SSIM : [0.9653, 0.9256, 0.8991, 0.9019, 0.9009, 0.8902, 0.8544, 0.8217, 0.8242, 0.8092, 0.7729, 0.7216]
156
- SSIM_std : [0.0017, 0.0034, 0.0021, 0.0009, 0.0037, 0.0161, 0.0370, 0.0748, 0.0685, 0.0591, 0.0408, 0.0253]
157
-
158
- Storm 4: 2001-11-24 16:00 (Dst: -221.0 nT)
159
-
160
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
161
- RMSE : [2.8079, 4.2618, 5.1581, 5.5220, 5.5964, 5.7436, 5.9861, 6.0543, 5.9612, 6.0030, 6.1171, 6.2244]
162
- RMSE_std : [0.4943, 0.4989, 0.9125, 1.1423, 1.2656, 1.1662, 1.2651, 1.4600, 1.5786, 1.3876, 1.3153, 1.4205]
163
- R² : [0.9866, 0.9699, 0.9563, 0.9483, 0.9450, 0.9427, 0.9392, 0.9363, 0.9360, 0.9364, 0.9363, 0.9327]
164
- R²_std : [0.0049, 0.0083, 0.0147, 0.0203, 0.0243, 0.0245, 0.0256, 0.0293, 0.0330, 0.0310, 0.0279, 0.0301]
165
- SSIM : [0.9413, 0.8898, 0.8610, 0.8561, 0.8565, 0.8530, 0.8447, 0.8497, 0.8555, 0.8539, 0.8475, 0.8486]
166
- SSIM_std : [0.0182, 0.0261, 0.0380, 0.0422, 0.0442, 0.0375, 0.0438, 0.0465, 0.0468, 0.0385, 0.0421, 0.0430]
167
-
168
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
169
- RMSE : [2.9593, 4.5912, 4.7605, 4.5244, 4.6400, 5.6299, 6.3482, 6.1750, 6.0804, 7.1328, 8.5973, 8.8148]
170
- RMSE_std : [0.1797, 0.7412, 0.0142, 0.0024, 0.1768, 0.3586, 1.2445, 1.5818, 1.5569, 1.7796, 0.9300, 1.0380]
171
- R² : [0.9864, 0.9669, 0.9652, 0.9672, 0.9657, 0.9507, 0.9365, 0.9368, 0.9408, 0.9227, 0.8923, 0.8824]
172
- R²_std : [0.0007, 0.0089, 0.0004, 0.0029, 0.0007, 0.0036, 0.0228, 0.0264, 0.0233, 0.0301, 0.0197, 0.0276]
173
- SSIM : [0.9468, 0.8848, 0.8778, 0.8852, 0.8725, 0.8375, 0.8234, 0.8248, 0.8198, 0.7816, 0.7567, 0.7623]
174
- SSIM_std : [0.0033, 0.0047, 0.0090, 0.0008, 0.0114, 0.0162, 0.0543, 0.0608, 0.0375, 0.0349, 0.0049, 0.0079]
175
-
176
- Storm 5: 2001-10-21 22:00 (Dst: -180.0 nT)
177
-
178
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
179
- RMSE : [4.4282, 5.6986, 6.3021, 6.7619, 6.9182, 7.0353, 7.0785, 7.2743, 7.4309, 7.6790, 7.8874, 8.1004]
180
- RMSE_std : [1.7774, 1.2890, 1.4752, 1.5347, 1.7295, 1.6714, 1.7925, 1.8110, 1.9987, 1.9436, 1.9655, 1.9518]
181
- R² : [0.9761, 0.9642, 0.9568, 0.9515, 0.9470, 0.9462, 0.9459, 0.9441, 0.9391, 0.9362, 0.9333, 0.9309]
182
- R²_std : [0.0196, 0.0162, 0.0190, 0.0205, 0.0248, 0.0231, 0.0252, 0.0252, 0.0295, 0.0291, 0.0305, 0.0313]
183
- SSIM : [0.9260, 0.8795, 0.8598, 0.8528, 0.8567, 0.8506, 0.8465, 0.8454, 0.8508, 0.8450, 0.8389, 0.8369]
184
- SSIM_std : [0.0363, 0.0386, 0.0436, 0.0402, 0.0445, 0.0480, 0.0496, 0.0459, 0.0477, 0.0519, 0.0511, 0.0456]
185
-
186
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
187
- RMSE : [3.6532, 4.7229, 5.4381, 4.9095, 4.9891, 4.9440, 4.8632, 4.8990, 6.4183, 7.6866, 7.8072, 7.7351]
188
- RMSE_std : [0.1788, 0.0238, 0.4201, 0.0518, 0.0595, 0.0681, 0.0262, 0.2227, 1.5461, 2.8027, 2.9475, 2.5066]
189
- R² : [0.9865, 0.9776, 0.9704, 0.9754, 0.9748, 0.9752, 0.9763, 0.9761, 0.9603, 0.9443, 0.9417, 0.9374]
190
- R²_std : [0.0017, 0.0010, 0.0038, 0.0006, 0.0000, 0.0013, 0.0009, 0.0017, 0.0163, 0.0321, 0.0353, 0.0360]
191
- SSIM : [0.9393, 0.8895, 0.8731, 0.8924, 0.8916, 0.8853, 0.8898, 0.8929, 0.8448, 0.8186, 0.8181, 0.8065]
192
- SSIM_std : [0.0077, 0.0042, 0.0118, 0.0064, 0.0094, 0.0063, 0.0007, 0.0112, 0.0616, 0.0746, 0.0696, 0.0702]
193
-
194
- Storm 6: 2001-10-03 14:00 (Dst: -166.0 nT)
195
-
196
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
197
- RMSE : [3.9123, 5.1887, 5.9391, 6.3942, 6.4157, 6.3707, 6.4772, 6.7470, 6.7514, 6.7296, 6.8306, 7.0414]
198
- RMSE_std : [0.8930, 0.7088, 0.8555, 1.0902, 1.2824, 1.3099, 1.2507, 1.2793, 1.3279, 1.2986, 1.2386, 1.1548]
199
- R² : [0.9829, 0.9705, 0.9613, 0.9557, 0.9544, 0.9542, 0.9523, 0.9492, 0.9486, 0.9484, 0.9464, 0.9444]
200
- R²_std : [0.0084, 0.0088, 0.0109, 0.0148, 0.0203, 0.0214, 0.0192, 0.0184, 0.0219, 0.0224, 0.0208, 0.0183]
201
- SSIM : [0.9315, 0.8855, 0.8640, 0.8552, 0.8628, 0.8601, 0.8573, 0.8536, 0.8591, 0.8577, 0.8579, 0.8539]
202
- SSIM_std : [0.0193, 0.0216, 0.0238, 0.0316, 0.0330, 0.0301, 0.0270, 0.0327, 0.0332, 0.0300, 0.0296, 0.0329]
203
-
204
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
205
- RMSE : [3.2970, 5.6489, 6.8292, 6.9191, 6.5163, 6.9038, 7.5117, 7.0135, 6.6568, 6.6697, 6.6816, 6.8226]
206
- RMSE_std : [0.3741, 1.0910, 1.6145, 0.9748, 0.0245, 0.5680, 0.8426, 0.6580, 0.0388, 0.3646, 0.0999, 0.3971]
207
- R² : [0.9893, 0.9695, 0.9552, 0.9543, 0.9576, 0.9523, 0.9456, 0.9519, 0.9540, 0.9531, 0.9546, 0.9527]
208
- R²_std : [0.0021, 0.0096, 0.0173, 0.0106, 0.0023, 0.0017, 0.0064, 0.0050, 0.0002, 0.0013, 0.0014, 0.0032]
209
- SSIM : [0.9355, 0.8629, 0.8324, 0.8323, 0.8308, 0.8296, 0.8272, 0.8510, 0.8463, 0.8471, 0.8507, 0.8434]
210
- SSIM_std : [0.0200, 0.0384, 0.0478, 0.0123, 0.0055, 0.0252, 0.0394, 0.0245, 0.0071, 0.0085, 0.0143, 0.0215]
211
-
212
- Storm 7: 2001-10-28 10:00 (Dst: -149.0 nT)
213
-
214
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
215
- RMSE : [3.4557, 5.5365, 6.4802, 6.7093, 6.8994, 7.1515, 7.4015, 7.3285, 7.3682, 7.5643, 7.6988, 7.6839]
216
- RMSE_std : [0.5228, 0.9601, 1.2172, 1.2272, 1.2893, 1.3845, 1.5159, 1.4928, 1.4593, 1.5480, 1.7726, 1.7788]
217
- R² : [0.9869, 0.9667, 0.9529, 0.9499, 0.9476, 0.9441, 0.9379, 0.9395, 0.9395, 0.9367, 0.9319, 0.9325]
218
- R²_std : [0.0042, 0.0108, 0.0159, 0.0176, 0.0196, 0.0213, 0.0238, 0.0240, 0.0242, 0.0264, 0.0326, 0.0335]
219
- SSIM : [0.9441, 0.8814, 0.8600, 0.8527, 0.8518, 0.8501, 0.8480, 0.8457, 0.8474, 0.8467, 0.8460, 0.8415]
220
- SSIM_std : [0.0144, 0.0320, 0.0321, 0.0355, 0.0400, 0.0390, 0.0339, 0.0374, 0.0404, 0.0365, 0.0310, 0.0360]
221
-
222
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
223
- RMSE : [3.7263, 4.6855, 5.3687, 5.4820, 5.7553, 6.2885, 6.2516, 6.1607, 6.9173, 7.9189, 8.1378, 8.7329]
224
- RMSE_std : [0.2689, 0.0433, 0.0831, 0.4209, 0.2217, 0.0569, 0.1251, 0.7992, 1.4136, 1.7694, 1.8444, 1.7664]
225
- R² : [0.9845, 0.9754, 0.9684, 0.9678, 0.9634, 0.9547, 0.9564, 0.9602, 0.9532, 0.9396, 0.9341, 0.9260]
226
- R²_std : [0.0023, 0.0013, 0.0004, 0.0045, 0.0032, 0.0014, 0.0017, 0.0086, 0.0137, 0.0177, 0.0217, 0.0255]
227
- SSIM : [0.9419, 0.9017, 0.8831, 0.8863, 0.8720, 0.8588, 0.8497, 0.8551, 0.8375, 0.8200, 0.7955, 0.7764]
228
- SSIM_std : [0.0006, 0.0011, 0.0047, 0.0047, 0.0077, 0.0040, 0.0082, 0.0315, 0.0435, 0.0461, 0.0491, 0.0493]
229
-
230
- Storm 8: 2001-03-20 16:00 (Dst: -146.0 nT)
231
-
232
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
233
- RMSE : [2.4401, 3.8029, 4.5384, 4.9242, 5.1366, 5.4478, 5.5531, 5.6779, 5.7189, 5.9266, 5.9873, 6.1526]
234
- RMSE_std : [0.4424, 0.8751, 1.0121, 1.3121, 1.4881, 1.6119, 1.6260, 1.7231, 1.7776, 1.7487, 1.7254, 1.7214]
235
- R² : [0.9901, 0.9764, 0.9664, 0.9604, 0.9567, 0.9516, 0.9497, 0.9473, 0.9467, 0.9439, 0.9428, 0.9401]
236
- R²_std : [0.0028, 0.0081, 0.0111, 0.0162, 0.0194, 0.0223, 0.0235, 0.0258, 0.0268, 0.0261, 0.0267, 0.0277]
237
- SSIM : [0.9546, 0.9107, 0.8851, 0.8816, 0.8748, 0.8652, 0.8606, 0.8658, 0.8643, 0.8582, 0.8550, 0.8584]
238
- SSIM_std : [0.0152, 0.0266, 0.0337, 0.0413, 0.0462, 0.0464, 0.0483, 0.0516, 0.0524, 0.0490, 0.0489, 0.0508]
239
-
240
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
241
- RMSE : [2.8481, 4.4835, 5.4867, 6.4247, 7.2364, 7.3439, 7.2302, 7.3827, 7.6866, 8.2395, 8.8425, 9.0642]
242
- RMSE_std : [0.7952, 0.8590, 0.6905, 0.2432, 0.5062, 0.6328, 0.4518, 0.4699, 0.2954, 0.0392, 0.2610, 0.3317]
243
- R² : [0.9886, 0.9730, 0.9602, 0.9474, 0.9362, 0.9341, 0.9345, 0.9303, 0.9224, 0.9067, 0.8918, 0.8855]
244
- R²_std : [0.0048, 0.0068, 0.0054, 0.0003, 0.0092, 0.0095, 0.0045, 0.0037, 0.0008, 0.0074, 0.0104, 0.0091]
245
- SSIM : [0.9493, 0.8932, 0.8599, 0.8297, 0.8106, 0.7984, 0.8024, 0.7965, 0.7839, 0.7587, 0.7435, 0.7416]
246
- SSIM_std : [0.0186, 0.0250, 0.0246, 0.0139, 0.0004, 0.0030, 0.0196, 0.0191, 0.0135, 0.0081, 0.0055, 0.0016]
247
-
248
- Storm 9: 2012-03-09 08:00 (Dst: -145.0 nT)
249
-
250
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
251
- RMSE : [2.7289, 3.8607, 4.3032, 4.5498, 4.6037, 4.6608, 4.5832, 4.6204, 4.6312, 4.6896, 4.7195, 4.8548]
252
- RMSE_std : [0.4595, 0.5219, 0.6250, 1.0034, 1.0474, 0.7891, 0.6928, 1.0139, 1.1976, 1.0101, 0.9462, 1.2288]
253
- R² : [0.9750, 0.9480, 0.9375, 0.9304, 0.9280, 0.9253, 0.9298, 0.9287, 0.9269, 0.9234, 0.9233, 0.9194]
254
- R²_std : [0.0074, 0.0170, 0.0203, 0.0307, 0.0312, 0.0252, 0.0226, 0.0312, 0.0350, 0.0310, 0.0357, 0.0443]
255
- SSIM : [0.9127, 0.8375, 0.8235, 0.8184, 0.8190, 0.8103, 0.8213, 0.8184, 0.8231, 0.8119, 0.8183, 0.8151]
256
- SSIM_std : [0.0160, 0.0350, 0.0243, 0.0342, 0.0338, 0.0430, 0.0258, 0.0320, 0.0361, 0.0463, 0.0310, 0.0350]
257
-
258
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
259
- RMSE : [2.8085, 4.0308, 4.6082, 4.1163, 4.5490, 4.9108, 4.8277, 4.6228, 4.3559, 5.2282, 5.6408, 6.5016]
260
- RMSE_std : [0.2533, 0.1885, 0.1577, 0.2195, 0.0866, 0.2367, 0.1097, 0.4129, 0.1396, 0.2503, 1.4515, 1.9309]
261
- R² : [0.9678, 0.9383, 0.9280, 0.9387, 0.9252, 0.9230, 0.9307, 0.9359, 0.9461, 0.9307, 0.9127, 0.8898]
262
- R²_std : [0.0095, 0.0008, 0.0000, 0.0017, 0.0207, 0.0131, 0.0081, 0.0079, 0.0056, 0.0096, 0.0390, 0.0509]
263
- SSIM : [0.8813, 0.8177, 0.8155, 0.8039, 0.7819, 0.8130, 0.8236, 0.8367, 0.8418, 0.8390, 0.7915, 0.7933]
264
- SSIM_std : [0.0291, 0.0060, 0.0072, 0.0288, 0.0768, 0.0351, 0.0025, 0.0034, 0.0224, 0.0122, 0.0502, 0.0604]
265
-
266
- Storm 10: 2012-07-15 16:00 (Dst: -139.0 nT)
267
-
268
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
269
- RMSE : [1.8072, 2.6811, 3.0516, 3.1734, 3.3163, 3.4446, 3.4683, 3.5015, 3.6027, 3.6499, 3.6424, 3.7168]
270
- RMSE_std : [0.4243, 0.6105, 0.8509, 1.0634, 1.2208, 1.0494, 1.0506, 1.2408, 1.3752, 1.1748, 1.1481, 1.2862]
271
- R² : [0.9721, 0.9348, 0.9130, 0.9060, 0.8987, 0.8880, 0.8844, 0.8828, 0.8776, 0.8713, 0.8694, 0.8652]
272
- R²_std : [0.0120, 0.0316, 0.0479, 0.0568, 0.0639, 0.0653, 0.0687, 0.0757, 0.0827, 0.0816, 0.0841, 0.0940]
273
- SSIM : [0.9072, 0.8375, 0.8117, 0.8052, 0.8052, 0.7971, 0.7961, 0.7934, 0.7954, 0.7896, 0.7922, 0.7859]
274
- SSIM_std : [0.0258, 0.0513, 0.0605, 0.0649, 0.0740, 0.0791, 0.0763, 0.0790, 0.0867, 0.0852, 0.0792, 0.0804]
275
-
276
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
277
- RMSE : [1.6908, 2.5416, 2.9113, 2.7174, 3.2398, 4.6095, 5.6643, 6.2898, 5.7097, 5.1469, 5.5209, 6.1053]
278
- RMSE_std : [0.5302, 1.1341, 1.3066, 0.9747, 0.4037, 0.4532, 1.0546, 2.0588, 1.6733, 0.1482, 0.6684, 1.3261]
279
- R² : [0.9754, 0.9455, 0.9270, 0.9399, 0.9208, 0.8571, 0.7964, 0.7627, 0.7702, 0.7972, 0.7818, 0.7555]
280
- R²_std : [0.0121, 0.0358, 0.0506, 0.0362, 0.0194, 0.0275, 0.0560, 0.1108, 0.1088, 0.0366, 0.0022, 0.0313]
281
- SSIM : [0.9047, 0.8546, 0.8159, 0.8251, 0.7975, 0.7693, 0.7236, 0.7080, 0.7034, 0.7021, 0.6743, 0.6434]
282
- SSIM_std : [0.0313, 0.0436, 0.0491, 0.0515, 0.0198, 0.0134, 0.0336, 0.0546, 0.0664, 0.0637, 0.0361, 0.0322]
283
-
284
- Storm 11: 2012-10-01 04:00 (Dst: -122.0 nT)
285
-
286
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
287
- RMSE : [2.6925, 3.9936, 4.3120, 4.6257, 4.9089, 5.0053, 4.8533, 4.8989, 4.9954, 5.0566, 4.9762, 5.1021]
288
- RMSE_std : [0.6354, 0.8926, 0.8684, 1.0679, 1.2162, 1.3223, 1.1817, 1.3122, 1.4549, 1.5423, 1.4678, 1.5825]
289
- R² : [0.9788, 0.9527, 0.9435, 0.9365, 0.9285, 0.9237, 0.9269, 0.9281, 0.9257, 0.9213, 0.9214, 0.9200]
290
- R²_std : [0.0087, 0.0188, 0.0199, 0.0238, 0.0287, 0.0364, 0.0336, 0.0327, 0.0366, 0.0445, 0.0432, 0.0408]
291
- SSIM : [0.9291, 0.8782, 0.8558, 0.8449, 0.8424, 0.8445, 0.8414, 0.8399, 0.8412, 0.8447, 0.8419, 0.8354]
292
- SSIM_std : [0.0163, 0.0326, 0.0426, 0.0504, 0.0469, 0.0521, 0.0520, 0.0549, 0.0519, 0.0574, 0.0559, 0.0592]
293
-
294
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
295
- RMSE : [2.4483, 3.2724, 3.8780, 4.1644, 4.1252, 4.0831, 4.6040, 4.8548, 5.1292, 5.9467, 7.0988, 7.4690]
296
- RMSE_std : [0.2763, 0.3773, 0.0738, 0.1083, 0.1867, 0.3498, 0.2414, 0.4238, 0.6862, 1.1665, 1.7327, 1.7297]
297
- R² : [0.9812, 0.9653, 0.9528, 0.9449, 0.9479, 0.9500, 0.9400, 0.9308, 0.9265, 0.9074, 0.8782, 0.8619]
298
- R²_std : [0.0043, 0.0086, 0.0002, 0.0030, 0.0047, 0.0066, 0.0028, 0.0068, 0.0132, 0.0269, 0.0447, 0.0482]
299
- SSIM : [0.9369, 0.8962, 0.8718, 0.8682, 0.8732, 0.8525, 0.8371, 0.8219, 0.8227, 0.7860, 0.7394, 0.7266]
300
- SSIM_std : [0.0091, 0.0161, 0.0062, 0.0092, 0.0086, 0.0394, 0.0323, 0.0310, 0.0434, 0.0284, 0.0470, 0.0418]
301
-
302
- Storm 12: 2012-04-24 04:00 (Dst: -120.0 nT)
303
-
304
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
305
- RMSE : [2.4478, 3.8555, 4.3335, 4.4281, 4.4740, 4.7022, 4.7290, 4.7069, 4.6919, 4.8174, 4.7641, 4.6865]
306
- RMSE_std : [0.4246, 0.7457, 0.9198, 0.9384, 0.9123, 0.9763, 1.1344, 1.0840, 1.0559, 1.1142, 1.3050, 1.2505]
307
- R² : [0.9822, 0.9553, 0.9417, 0.9396, 0.9390, 0.9319, 0.9290, 0.9319, 0.9334, 0.9292, 0.9275, 0.9313]
308
- R²_std : [0.0051, 0.0140, 0.0256, 0.0278, 0.0227, 0.0239, 0.0331, 0.0310, 0.0263, 0.0276, 0.0415, 0.0420]
309
- SSIM : [0.9270, 0.8680, 0.8507, 0.8445, 0.8436, 0.8401, 0.8438, 0.8422, 0.8418, 0.8390, 0.8455, 0.8442]
310
- SSIM_std : [0.0208, 0.0351, 0.0360, 0.0370, 0.0398, 0.0444, 0.0450, 0.0422, 0.0456, 0.0489, 0.0477, 0.0432]
311
-
312
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
313
- RMSE : [2.6918, 3.6564, 3.7685, 3.6308, 4.1401, 4.0642, 4.2029, 4.6669, 5.4704, 5.6039, 6.1080, 6.5334]
314
- RMSE_std : [0.4103, 0.5539, 0.1112, 0.5682, 0.6136, 0.5624, 0.0159, 1.3549, 1.9175, 2.2201, 1.9512, 0.7837]
315
- R² : [0.9782, 0.9605, 0.9585, 0.9605, 0.9530, 0.9545, 0.9499, 0.9357, 0.9165, 0.9146, 0.9064, 0.8964]
316
- R²_std : [0.0023, 0.0055, 0.0010, 0.0114, 0.0096, 0.0088, 0.0006, 0.0315, 0.0456, 0.0511, 0.0444, 0.0162]
317
- SSIM : [0.9410, 0.9005, 0.8883, 0.8915, 0.8777, 0.8860, 0.8578, 0.8210, 0.7941, 0.8035, 0.7812, 0.7446]
318
- SSIM_std : [0.0138, 0.0070, 0.0030, 0.0134, 0.0034, 0.0041, 0.0302, 0.0808, 0.0914, 0.0820, 0.0464, 0.0064]
319
-
320
- Storm 13: 2001-04-18 06:00 (Dst: -114.0 nT)
321
-
322
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
323
- RMSE : [2.7736, 3.5642, 4.0606, 4.3333, 4.2800, 4.1866, 4.2992, 4.5018, 4.4057, 4.3599, 4.5509, 4.7753]
324
- RMSE_std : [0.9667, 0.7642, 0.9992, 1.0676, 0.9997, 1.0774, 1.2023, 1.1366, 1.0256, 1.1100, 1.2572, 1.1760]
325
- R² : [0.9836, 0.9750, 0.9675, 0.9631, 0.9637, 0.9643, 0.9624, 0.9595, 0.9610, 0.9606, 0.9572, 0.9541]
326
- R²_std : [0.0117, 0.0099, 0.0146, 0.0169, 0.0164, 0.0196, 0.0206, 0.0192, 0.0188, 0.0225, 0.0237, 0.0213]
327
- SSIM : [0.9465, 0.9154, 0.8969, 0.8881, 0.8952, 0.8963, 0.8920, 0.8873, 0.8954, 0.8965, 0.8913, 0.8854]
328
- SSIM_std : [0.0238, 0.0193, 0.0286, 0.0322, 0.0344, 0.0378, 0.0387, 0.0363, 0.0367, 0.0393, 0.0396, 0.0356]
329
-
330
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
331
- RMSE : [2.0332, 2.8044, 2.9977, 2.8759, 2.7653, 2.9906, 3.3031, 3.4740, 3.9861, 5.1686, 5.7138, 5.6712]
332
- RMSE_std : [0.1600, 0.0528, 0.0394, 0.0309, 0.1197, 0.0516, 0.2120, 0.4306, 1.2328, 2.0778, 2.1717, 1.6090]
333
- R² : [0.9911, 0.9830, 0.9811, 0.9826, 0.9836, 0.9805, 0.9769, 0.9745, 0.9669, 0.9476, 0.9368, 0.9345]
334
- R²_std : [0.0013, 0.0013, 0.0009, 0.0003, 0.0016, 0.0002, 0.0026, 0.0060, 0.0170, 0.0321, 0.0370, 0.0314]
335
- SSIM : [0.9648, 0.9299, 0.9206, 0.9231, 0.9267, 0.9285, 0.9150, 0.9101, 0.8944, 0.8696, 0.8440, 0.8400]
336
- SSIM_std : [0.0009, 0.0043, 0.0039, 0.0018, 0.0014, 0.0027, 0.0049, 0.0044, 0.0309, 0.0632, 0.0657, 0.0580]
337
-
338
- Storm 14: 2012-10-09 08:00 (Dst: -109.0 nT)
339
-
340
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
341
- RMSE : [2.1563, 2.9925, 3.4924, 3.7330, 3.6229, 3.6948, 3.8426, 3.9154, 3.7798, 3.8463, 3.9669, 4.0164]
342
- RMSE_std : [0.3962, 0.5457, 0.8615, 1.0071, 0.7902, 0.8051, 1.0054, 1.0845, 0.8478, 0.8821, 1.0473, 1.0529]
343
- R² : [0.9795, 0.9606, 0.9467, 0.9386, 0.9419, 0.9401, 0.9365, 0.9338, 0.9373, 0.9352, 0.9322, 0.9301]
344
- R²_std : [0.0060, 0.0096, 0.0189, 0.0288, 0.0226, 0.0205, 0.0259, 0.0306, 0.0256, 0.0253, 0.0296, 0.0312]
345
- SSIM : [0.9227, 0.8682, 0.8465, 0.8423, 0.8472, 0.8422, 0.8365, 0.8397, 0.8487, 0.8403, 0.8324, 0.8355]
346
- SSIM_std : [0.0192, 0.0238, 0.0307, 0.0383, 0.0342, 0.0344, 0.0422, 0.0482, 0.0429, 0.0385, 0.0451, 0.0528]
347
-
348
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
349
- RMSE : [2.2447, 3.6344, 4.8435, 5.1504, 4.3370, 4.5820, 5.5475, 4.9204, 5.0461, 5.7458, 6.1715, 5.3349]
350
- RMSE_std : [0.1943, 0.4491, 0.7797, 0.2486, 0.3067, 1.0225, 1.0165, 0.3279, 0.6605, 0.6034, 0.1920, 0.1238]
351
- R² : [0.9771, 0.9362, 0.8887, 0.8896, 0.9254, 0.9184, 0.8862, 0.9063, 0.9082, 0.8883, 0.8752, 0.8913]
352
- R²_std : [0.0030, 0.0194, 0.0427, 0.0166, 0.0038, 0.0184, 0.0138, 0.0018, 0.0218, 0.0275, 0.0189, 0.0145]
353
- SSIM : [0.9108, 0.8378, 0.7891, 0.7734, 0.7918, 0.7700, 0.7775, 0.8087, 0.8027, 0.7508, 0.7437, 0.7712]
354
- SSIM_std : [0.0147, 0.0346, 0.0081, 0.0218, 0.0335, 0.0076, 0.0106, 0.0024, 0.0250, 0.0250, 0.0384, 0.0354]
355
-
356
- Storm 15: 2001-11-01 10:00 (Dst: -106.0 nT)
357
-
358
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
359
- RMSE : [3.2281, 5.2834, 6.3246, 6.7795, 6.9335, 7.1396, 7.4205, 7.5241, 7.4573, 7.5316, 7.6330, 7.7400]
360
- RMSE_std : [0.3164, 0.6031, 0.6691, 0.6838, 0.8617, 1.1306, 1.2140, 1.2092, 1.0935, 1.1165, 1.1806, 1.2668]
361
- R² : [0.9891, 0.9705, 0.9567, 0.9509, 0.9485, 0.9448, 0.9387, 0.9377, 0.9394, 0.9383, 0.9355, 0.9343]
362
- R²_std : [0.0021, 0.0071, 0.0093, 0.0106, 0.0138, 0.0186, 0.0206, 0.0201, 0.0175, 0.0182, 0.0195, 0.0202]
363
- SSIM : [0.9464, 0.8811, 0.8540, 0.8482, 0.8478, 0.8466, 0.8427, 0.8440, 0.8475, 0.8477, 0.8428, 0.8416]
364
- SSIM_std : [0.0142, 0.0298, 0.0315, 0.0356, 0.0357, 0.0389, 0.0394, 0.0386, 0.0357, 0.0367, 0.0358, 0.0333]
365
-
366
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
367
- RMSE : [3.0670, 4.4539, 5.3425, 5.7763, 6.1864, 6.5187, 6.8391, 7.5960, 8.5510, 9.0958, 9.4258, 9.6777]
368
- RMSE_std : [0.1402, 0.0804, 0.0445, 0.4278, 0.7850, 0.8992, 1.1502, 1.4229, 1.5327, 1.9475, 1.8611, 1.2918]
369
- R² : [0.9896, 0.9783, 0.9691, 0.9636, 0.9587, 0.9548, 0.9494, 0.9366, 0.9209, 0.9124, 0.9079, 0.9062]
370
- R²_std : [0.0012, 0.0011, 0.0002, 0.0054, 0.0099, 0.0111, 0.0164, 0.0221, 0.0271, 0.0353, 0.0320, 0.0199]
371
- SSIM : [0.9537, 0.9075, 0.8990, 0.8827, 0.8585, 0.8398, 0.8243, 0.8097, 0.7884, 0.7773, 0.7646, 0.7649]
372
- SSIM_std : [0.0008, 0.0081, 0.0107, 0.0192, 0.0430, 0.0415, 0.0543, 0.0477, 0.0233, 0.0234, 0.0101, 0.0043]
373
-
374
- Storm 16: 2012-11-14 06:00 (Dst: -103.0 nT)
375
-
376
- ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
377
- RMSE : [2.4643, 3.5519, 4.0546, 4.3466, 4.5944, 4.6426, 4.7073, 4.9053, 5.1268, 5.1631, 5.1027, 5.2751]
378
- RMSE_std : [0.7270, 1.0264, 1.3629, 1.5812, 1.6523, 1.7300, 1.6534, 1.6925, 1.7147, 1.7835, 1.7384, 1.5929]
379
- R² : [0.9789, 0.9565, 0.9435, 0.9342, 0.9264, 0.9246, 0.9244, 0.9183, 0.9106, 0.9096, 0.9137, 0.9087]
380
- R²_std : [0.0104, 0.0192, 0.0277, 0.0390, 0.0437, 0.0459, 0.0409, 0.0482, 0.0511, 0.0505, 0.0448, 0.0451]
381
- SSIM : [0.9260, 0.8635, 0.8281, 0.8252, 0.8327, 0.8222, 0.8041, 0.8118, 0.8212, 0.8152, 0.8034, 0.8055]
382
- SSIM_std : [0.0184, 0.0298, 0.0433, 0.0546, 0.0549, 0.0570, 0.0550, 0.0586, 0.0591, 0.0586, 0.0561, 0.0558]
383
-
384
- ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
385
- RMSE : [2.7224, 3.6477, 4.2676, 4.2383, 4.2347, 4.2298, 4.6671, 6.2196, 7.1921, 7.7051, 8.0132, 8.5501]
386
- RMSE_std : [0.3485, 0.2972, 0.9726, 0.6971, 0.1445, 0.1872, 0.7391, 1.5848, 1.5492, 2.6533, 2.0428, 0.0298]
387
- R² : [0.9715, 0.9490, 0.9258, 0.9315, 0.9387, 0.9407, 0.9345, 0.8964, 0.8708, 0.8585, 0.8475, 0.8263]
388
- R²_std : [0.0066, 0.0117, 0.0394, 0.0294, 0.0036, 0.0020, 0.0159, 0.0367, 0.0333, 0.0612, 0.0532, 0.0064]
389
- SSIM : [0.9130, 0.8361, 0.8146, 0.8172, 0.8085, 0.8019, 0.8101, 0.7943, 0.7659, 0.7528, 0.7368, 0.7337]
390
- SSIM_std : [0.0007, 0.0285, 0.0523, 0.0238, 0.0105, 0.0205, 0.0453, 0.0277, 0.0129, 0.0238, 0.0361, 0.0275]
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
training_sessions/SwinLSTM/testing_info_2025-06-08_14-00-32.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,390 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Testing Session Information
2
+ ========================================================================================================================
3
+ Session name: SwinLSTM_in12_out12
4
+ Testing Session Start Time: 2025-06-08_14-00-32
5
+ Inputs: ['F10.7', 'Dst', 'ap', 'AE', 'pc', 'SW Temp', 'SW Density', 'SW Speed', 'SW Long Angle', 'SW Lat Angle', 'Flow Pressure', 'E Field', 'Scalar B', 'BZ (GSM)', 'Year', 'Day of Year', 'Hour']
6
+
7
+ Overall Metrics:
8
+ RMSE(TECU): 2.6572 ± 1.4930
9
+ R²: 0.9462 ± 0.0194
10
+ SSIM: 0.9584 ± 0.0228
11
+
12
+ Per-Horizon Metrics:
13
+ RMSE per step: [np.float32(1.5235), np.float32(2.24), np.float32(2.5264), np.float32(2.636), np.float32(2.7138), np.float32(2.7478), np.float32(2.7649), np.float32(2.7912), np.float32(2.8014), np.float32(2.8109), np.float32(2.8353), np.float32(2.8921)]
14
+ RMSE_std per step: [np.float32(0.7765), np.float32(1.1742), np.float32(1.3682), np.float32(1.4611), np.float32(1.5344), np.float32(1.5715), np.float32(1.6105), np.float32(1.6599), np.float32(1.6895), np.float32(1.7242), np.float32(1.7611), np.float32(1.7927)]
15
+ R² per step: [np.float64(0.9809), np.float64(0.9594), np.float64(0.948), np.float64(0.944), np.float64(0.9415), np.float64(0.9393), np.float64(0.9394), np.float64(0.9396), np.float64(0.939), np.float64(0.9396), np.float64(0.9395), np.float64(0.9361)]
16
+ R²_std per step: [np.float64(0.0091), np.float64(0.0183), np.float64(0.0242), np.float64(0.0265), np.float64(0.0278), np.float64(0.03), np.float64(0.0299), np.float64(0.0293), np.float64(0.0304), np.float64(0.03), np.float64(0.0302), np.float64(0.0326)]
17
+ SSIM per step: [np.float64(0.9817), np.float64(0.9648), np.float64(0.9585), np.float64(0.9566), np.float64(0.9549), np.float64(0.9547), np.float64(0.9548), np.float64(0.9545), np.float64(0.955), np.float64(0.9555), np.float64(0.9553), np.float64(0.9544)]
18
+ SSIM_std per step: [np.float64(0.0102), np.float64(0.0194), np.float64(0.0228), np.float64(0.0242), np.float64(0.0255), np.float64(0.0256), np.float64(0.026), np.float64(0.0271), np.float64(0.0274), np.float64(0.0278), np.float64(0.0285), np.float64(0.0284)]
19
+
20
+ very_weak:
21
+ Overall Metrics:
22
+ RMSE(TECU): 1.4360
23
+ RMSE_std: 0.2204
24
+ R²: 0.9365
25
+ R²_std: 0.0158
26
+ SSIM: 0.9758
27
+ SSIM_std: 0.0048
28
+ RMSE per step: [0.8965, 1.2725, 1.4139, 1.4701, 1.4963, 1.5068, 1.5038, 1.4896, 1.4777, 1.4687, 1.4619, 1.4993]
29
+ RMSE std per step: [0.2053, 0.2573, 0.2742, 0.2847, 0.2924, 0.3, 0.3063, 0.3094, 0.3117, 0.3158, 0.3188, 0.3178]
30
+ R² per step: [0.9745, 0.9489, 0.9367, 0.9313, 0.9287, 0.9275, 0.9277, 0.9291, 0.9303, 0.9312, 0.9319, 0.9283]
31
+ R² std per step: [0.0102, 0.0181, 0.0232, 0.0260, 0.0275, 0.0285, 0.0289, 0.0283, 0.0279, 0.0279, 0.0280, 0.0291]
32
+ SSIM per step: [0.9888, 0.9790, 0.9750, 0.9737, 0.9730, 0.9728, 0.9731, 0.9739, 0.9746, 0.9752, 0.9758, 0.9747]
33
+ SSIM std per step: [0.0039, 0.0058, 0.0063, 0.0066, 0.0068, 0.0070, 0.0071, 0.0071, 0.0071, 0.0071, 0.0071, 0.0071]
34
+
35
+ weak:
36
+ Overall Metrics:
37
+ RMSE(TECU): 1.6606
38
+ RMSE_std: 0.6721
39
+ R²: 0.9401
40
+ R²_std: 0.0156
41
+ SSIM: 0.9723
42
+ SSIM_std: 0.0119
43
+ RMSE per step: [1.0155, 1.4560, 1.6223, 1.6855, 1.7179, 1.7358, 1.7393, 1.7297, 1.7212, 1.7157, 1.7090, 1.7451]
44
+ RMSE std per step: [0.435, 0.62, 0.6746, 0.6975, 0.7151, 0.7289, 0.7395, 0.7501, 0.761, 0.7695, 0.7723, 0.7751]
45
+ R² per step: [0.9772, 0.9531, 0.9409, 0.9358, 0.9332, 0.9317, 0.9315, 0.9326, 0.9336, 0.9342, 0.9348, 0.9318]
46
+ R² std per step: [0.0094, 0.0172, 0.0223, 0.0249, 0.0264, 0.0277, 0.0280, 0.0275, 0.0272, 0.0271, 0.0272, 0.0283]
47
+ SSIM per step: [0.9873, 0.9764, 0.9720, 0.9705, 0.9696, 0.9691, 0.9691, 0.9698, 0.9705, 0.9712, 0.9719, 0.9707]
48
+ SSIM std per step: [0.0067, 0.0115, 0.0127, 0.0132, 0.0135, 0.0136, 0.0137, 0.0139, 0.0142, 0.0145, 0.0145, 0.0144]
49
+
50
+ moderate:
51
+ Overall Metrics:
52
+ RMSE(TECU): 3.3269
53
+ RMSE_std: 0.8616
54
+ R²: 0.9520
55
+ R²_std: 0.0196
56
+ SSIM: 0.9470
57
+ SSIM_std: 0.0171
58
+ RMSE per step: [1.9749, 2.8432, 3.1724, 3.3036, 3.3750, 3.4157, 3.4434, 3.4691, 3.4980, 3.5263, 3.5466, 3.6076]
59
+ RMSE std per step: [0.5378, 0.7422, 0.8662, 0.9321, 0.9736, 1.0059, 1.0331, 1.0579, 1.081, 1.1031, 1.1259, 1.1366]
60
+ R² per step: [0.9827, 0.9642, 0.9553, 0.9515, 0.9493, 0.9481, 0.9472, 0.9464, 0.9455, 0.9446, 0.9440, 0.9421]
61
+ R² std per step: [0.0077, 0.0154, 0.0210, 0.0240, 0.0261, 0.0277, 0.0290, 0.0300, 0.0307, 0.0316, 0.0330, 0.0343]
62
+ SSIM per step: [0.9750, 0.9547, 0.9477, 0.9452, 0.9438, 0.9432, 0.9430, 0.9428, 0.9425, 0.9424, 0.9426, 0.9413]
63
+ SSIM std per step: [0.0091, 0.0152, 0.0184, 0.0199, 0.0207, 0.0214, 0.0218, 0.0223, 0.0226, 0.0230, 0.0233, 0.0234]
64
+
65
+ intense:
66
+ Overall Metrics:
67
+ RMSE(TECU): 4.4754
68
+ RMSE_std: 1.5377
69
+ R²: 0.9579
70
+ R²_std: 0.0180
71
+ SSIM: 0.9355
72
+ SSIM_std: 0.0253
73
+ RMSE per step: [2.5087, 3.6345, 4.1387, 4.3624, 4.4933, 4.5801, 4.6483, 4.7148, 4.7820, 4.8413, 4.9039, 5.0174]
74
+ RMSE std per step: [0.9536, 1.2088, 1.4153, 1.5389, 1.6172, 1.6755, 1.7281, 1.7744, 1.8171, 1.8605, 1.9086, 1.9564]
75
+ R² per step: [0.9860, 0.9716, 0.9633, 0.9592, 0.9565, 0.9548, 0.9534, 0.9520, 0.9507, 0.9495, 0.9483, 0.9460]
76
+ R² std per step: [0.0095, 0.0126, 0.0169, 0.0199, 0.0222, 0.0238, 0.0254, 0.0267, 0.0277, 0.0288, 0.0303, 0.0317]
77
+ SSIM per step: [0.9712, 0.9470, 0.9371, 0.9335, 0.9319, 0.9311, 0.9305, 0.9299, 0.9293, 0.9290, 0.9288, 0.9272]
78
+ SSIM std per step: [0.0141, 0.0217, 0.0266, 0.0287, 0.0297, 0.0303, 0.0308, 0.0313, 0.0316, 0.0320, 0.0323, 0.0326]
79
+
80
+ Storm Analysis Results:
81
+ ======================================================================================================================================================
82
+ Storm Date Dst(nT) Full (RMSE ± std / R² ± std / SSIM ± std) Main (RMSE ± std / R² ± std / SSIM ± std)
83
+ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
84
+ 1 2001-03-31 08:00 -387.0 7.61 ± 2.19 / 0.94 ± 0.03 / 0.89 ± 0.04 8.45 ± 2.27 / 0.93 ± 0.04 / 0.89 ± 0.04
85
+ 2 2001-11-06 06:00 -292.0 7.02 ± 1.62 / 0.94 ± 0.03 / 0.89 ± 0.04 8.67 ± 1.76 / 0.91 ± 0.03 / 0.86 ± 0.03
86
+ 3 2001-04-12 00:00 -236.0 5.90 ± 1.78 / 0.95 ± 0.03 / 0.91 ± 0.04 7.61 ± 1.33 / 0.92 ± 0.02 / 0.89 ± 0.02
87
+ 4 2001-11-24 16:00 -221.0 5.54 ± 1.06 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.92 ± 0.02 6.47 ± 0.78 / 0.94 ± 0.01 / 0.89 ± 0.01
88
+ 5 2001-10-21 22:00 -180.0 7.05 ± 1.31 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.90 ± 0.02 6.38 ± 0.99 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.90 ± 0.02
89
+ 6 2001-10-03 14:00 -166.0 6.09 ± 0.88 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.91 ± 0.02 6.66 ± 0.25 / 0.96 ± 0.00 / 0.89 ± 0.01
90
+ 7 2001-10-28 10:00 -149.0 6.87 ± 1.04 / 0.95 ± 0.02 / 0.90 ± 0.02 6.82 ± 0.78 / 0.95 ± 0.01 / 0.89 ± 0.02
91
+ 8 2001-03-20 16:00 -146.0 5.27 ± 1.28 / 0.96 ± 0.02 / 0.92 ± 0.03 7.20 ± 0.15 / 0.93 ± 0.00 / 0.87 ± 0.01
92
+ 9 2012-03-09 08:00 -145.0 4.42 ± 0.63 / 0.94 ± 0.01 / 0.92 ± 0.01 4.93 ± 0.54 / 0.93 ± 0.01 / 0.91 ± 0.01
93
+ 10 2012-07-15 16:00 -139.0 3.23 ± 0.95 / 0.90 ± 0.05 / 0.94 ± 0.03 4.84 ± 0.35 / 0.84 ± 0.02 / 0.91 ± 0.01
94
+ 11 2012-10-01 04:00 -122.0 4.60 ± 0.95 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.93 ± 0.03 5.30 ± 0.81 / 0.92 ± 0.02 / 0.91 ± 0.02
95
+ 12 2012-04-24 04:00 -120.0 4.41 ± 0.71 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.93 ± 0.02 4.95 ± 0.54 / 0.93 ± 0.01 / 0.91 ± 0.01
96
+ 13 2001-04-18 06:00 -114.0 4.16 ± 0.74 / 0.97 ± 0.01 / 0.94 ± 0.02 4.29 ± 0.83 / 0.96 ± 0.01 / 0.94 ± 0.01
97
+ 14 2012-10-09 08:00 -109.0 3.61 ± 0.66 / 0.94 ± 0.02 / 0.94 ± 0.02 5.01 ± 0.35 / 0.90 ± 0.01 / 0.90 ± 0.01
98
+ 15 2001-11-01 10:00 -106.0 6.69 ± 0.79 / 0.95 ± 0.01 / 0.90 ± 0.02 7.42 ± 0.85 / 0.94 ± 0.01 / 0.87 ± 0.02
99
+ 16 2012-11-14 06:00 -103.0 4.55 ± 1.27 / 0.93 ± 0.03 / 0.92 ± 0.03 6.09 ± 0.74 / 0.90 ± 0.02 / 0.89 ± 0.02
100
+
101
+
102
+ ======================== Per-Horizon Breakdown ========================
103
+
104
+ Storm 1: 2001-03-31 08:00 (Dst: -387.0 nT)
105
+
106
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
107
+ RMSE : [3.7110, 5.7039, 6.7292, 7.2527, 7.5542, 7.7555, 7.9141, 8.0533, 8.1775, 8.2947, 8.4523, 8.6920]
108
+ RMSE_std : [1.4217, 1.7801, 2.0744, 2.3233, 2.5361, 2.7260, 2.8764, 2.9415, 2.9649, 2.9756, 2.9804, 2.9730]
109
+ R² : [0.9844, 0.9651, 0.9516, 0.9434, 0.9379, 0.9336, 0.9301, 0.9272, 0.9250, 0.9230, 0.9203, 0.9162]
110
+ R²_std : [0.0165, 0.0216, 0.0276, 0.0338, 0.0412, 0.0500, 0.0575, 0.0594, 0.0585, 0.0585, 0.0589, 0.0587]
111
+ SSIM : [0.9584, 0.9168, 0.8970, 0.8893, 0.8859, 0.8846, 0.8835, 0.8825, 0.8817, 0.8811, 0.8803, 0.8781]
112
+ SSIM_std : [0.0222, 0.0351, 0.0431, 0.0483, 0.0523, 0.0556, 0.0582, 0.0599, 0.0616, 0.0633, 0.0647, 0.0655]
113
+
114
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
115
+ RMSE : [2.8011, 4.1076, 4.6270, 4.7965, 5.1392, 5.8197, 6.6180, 7.8230, 9.5325, 11.4571, 13.1471, 14.2885]
116
+ RMSE_std : [0.1791, 0.4117, 0.4626, 0.3788, 0.8345, 1.9222, 2.6554, 3.2170, 4.0571, 4.4379, 4.1029, 3.1178]
117
+ R² : [0.9909, 0.9802, 0.9747, 0.9731, 0.9699, 0.9620, 0.9531, 0.9387, 0.9121, 0.8709, 0.8291, 0.8065]
118
+ R²_std : [0.0010, 0.0035, 0.0051, 0.0053, 0.0089, 0.0229, 0.0320, 0.0400, 0.0622, 0.0950, 0.1093, 0.0915]
119
+ SSIM : [0.9753, 0.9514, 0.9421, 0.9391, 0.9351, 0.9259, 0.9117, 0.8863, 0.8514, 0.8139, 0.7811, 0.7555]
120
+ SSIM_std : [0.0017, 0.0032, 0.0036, 0.0047, 0.0121, 0.0296, 0.0435, 0.0614, 0.0819, 0.0905, 0.0836, 0.0663]
121
+
122
+ Storm 2: 2001-11-06 06:00 (Dst: -292.0 nT)
123
+
124
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
125
+ RMSE : [3.6662, 5.4246, 6.2719, 6.6721, 6.9191, 7.0934, 7.2470, 7.4133, 7.5946, 7.7696, 7.9538, 8.1929]
126
+ RMSE_std : [1.0567, 1.2185, 1.4613, 1.6327, 1.7485, 1.8375, 1.9362, 2.0404, 2.1690, 2.2761, 2.3382, 2.3321]
127
+ R² : [0.9833, 0.9648, 0.9528, 0.9463, 0.9418, 0.9386, 0.9355, 0.9321, 0.9281, 0.9242, 0.9202, 0.9154]
128
+ R²_std : [0.0110, 0.0159, 0.0216, 0.0260, 0.0297, 0.0323, 0.0356, 0.0397, 0.0451, 0.0502, 0.0547, 0.0567]
129
+ SSIM : [0.9556, 0.9135, 0.8949, 0.8887, 0.8861, 0.8849, 0.8838, 0.8821, 0.8802, 0.8787, 0.8776, 0.8752]
130
+ SSIM_std : [0.0187, 0.0298, 0.0383, 0.0420, 0.0440, 0.0455, 0.0469, 0.0481, 0.0494, 0.0504, 0.0507, 0.0500]
131
+
132
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
133
+ RMSE : [2.9854, 4.6357, 5.3595, 5.7910, 6.2115, 6.7032, 7.4299, 8.6627, 10.0029, 11.4153, 12.7281, 13.7144]
134
+ RMSE_std : [0.1523, 0.1495, 0.3237, 0.3540, 0.4782, 0.9744, 1.6968, 2.8539, 3.3691, 3.4341, 3.1364, 2.5746]
135
+ R² : [0.9885, 0.9720, 0.9625, 0.9564, 0.9507, 0.9425, 0.9303, 0.9090, 0.8800, 0.8394, 0.8002, 0.7707]
136
+ R²_std : [0.0015, 0.0025, 0.0053, 0.0065, 0.0057, 0.0150, 0.0275, 0.0491, 0.0692, 0.0906, 0.0971, 0.0889]
137
+ SSIM : [0.9662, 0.9315, 0.9163, 0.9060, 0.8957, 0.8827, 0.8685, 0.8420, 0.8145, 0.7927, 0.7750, 0.7603]
138
+ SSIM_std : [0.0039, 0.0032, 0.0077, 0.0174, 0.0244, 0.0319, 0.0389, 0.0609, 0.0671, 0.0634, 0.0557, 0.0431]
139
+
140
+ Storm 3: 2001-04-12 00:00 (Dst: -236.0 nT)
141
+
142
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
143
+ RMSE : [2.9618, 4.5529, 5.3482, 5.7186, 5.9110, 6.0240, 6.1198, 6.2382, 6.3622, 6.4689, 6.5371, 6.6001]
144
+ RMSE_std : [1.2040, 1.2558, 1.3478, 1.5071, 1.6958, 1.8728, 2.0418, 2.2026, 2.3534, 2.4943, 2.5993, 2.6329]
145
+ R² : [0.9866, 0.9704, 0.9593, 0.9529, 0.9488, 0.9459, 0.9432, 0.9401, 0.9368, 0.9338, 0.9317, 0.9300]
146
+ R²_std : [0.0163, 0.0189, 0.0220, 0.0262, 0.0313, 0.0368, 0.0425, 0.0484, 0.0539, 0.0585, 0.0616, 0.0626]
147
+ SSIM : [0.9677, 0.9349, 0.9181, 0.9108, 0.9072, 0.9051, 0.9033, 0.9014, 0.8998, 0.8985, 0.8976, 0.8967]
148
+ SSIM_std : [0.0190, 0.0254, 0.0303, 0.0337, 0.0375, 0.0416, 0.0451, 0.0487, 0.0519, 0.0547, 0.0568, 0.0576]
149
+
150
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
151
+ RMSE : [2.8541, 4.0143, 4.4257, 4.5137, 5.0299, 5.9762, 6.9826, 7.9095, 8.8905, 9.9808, 11.0372, 11.7980]
152
+ RMSE_std : [1.0853, 0.6834, 0.5012, 0.3989, 1.1961, 2.2156, 2.7831, 2.9151, 2.6564, 2.1905, 1.4954, 1.1536]
153
+ R² : [0.9877, 0.9774, 0.9722, 0.9706, 0.9628, 0.9484, 0.9328, 0.9192, 0.9018, 0.8773, 0.8497, 0.8247]
154
+ R²_std : [0.0105, 0.0070, 0.0048, 0.0048, 0.0173, 0.0335, 0.0427, 0.0443, 0.0435, 0.0475, 0.0508, 0.0563]
155
+ SSIM : [0.9702, 0.9458, 0.9373, 0.9347, 0.9255, 0.9079, 0.8891, 0.8709, 0.8518, 0.8294, 0.8054, 0.7843]
156
+ SSIM_std : [0.0133, 0.0076, 0.0073, 0.0053, 0.0196, 0.0411, 0.0506, 0.0555, 0.0530, 0.0461, 0.0354, 0.0317]
157
+
158
+ Storm 4: 2001-11-24 16:00 (Dst: -221.0 nT)
159
+
160
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
161
+ RMSE : [3.0014, 4.4461, 5.1449, 5.4809, 5.6367, 5.7237, 5.7890, 5.8571, 5.9214, 5.9639, 6.0230, 6.1496]
162
+ RMSE_std : [0.8988, 0.9357, 1.1240, 1.2137, 1.2627, 1.3133, 1.3639, 1.4100, 1.4187, 1.4065, 1.3885, 1.3730]
163
+ R² : [0.9841, 0.9660, 0.9540, 0.9476, 0.9445, 0.9427, 0.9413, 0.9397, 0.9383, 0.9374, 0.9362, 0.9336]
164
+ R²_std : [0.0108, 0.0155, 0.0224, 0.0251, 0.0260, 0.0266, 0.0279, 0.0292, 0.0297, 0.0298, 0.0304, 0.0314]
165
+ SSIM : [0.9632, 0.9326, 0.9183, 0.9121, 0.9097, 0.9089, 0.9083, 0.9080, 0.9079, 0.9082, 0.9084, 0.9066]
166
+ SSIM_std : [0.0158, 0.0212, 0.0251, 0.0271, 0.0281, 0.0287, 0.0292, 0.0294, 0.0289, 0.0285, 0.0279, 0.0268]
167
+
168
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
169
+ RMSE : [3.3467, 4.3502, 4.7208, 4.8936, 5.3811, 5.8435, 6.1058, 6.6611, 7.3301, 8.0962, 8.6848, 8.8595]
170
+ RMSE_std : [0.9296, 0.4943, 0.5224, 0.5339, 0.9829, 1.2377, 1.3830, 1.6247, 1.6274, 1.3398, 0.8651, 0.7799]
171
+ R² : [0.9814, 0.9703, 0.9649, 0.9619, 0.9532, 0.9444, 0.9396, 0.9299, 0.9178, 0.9023, 0.8903, 0.8871]
172
+ R²_std : [0.0120, 0.0071, 0.0073, 0.0077, 0.0164, 0.0211, 0.0233, 0.0265, 0.0281, 0.0271, 0.0219, 0.0200]
173
+ SSIM : [0.9577, 0.9332, 0.9244, 0.9173, 0.9040, 0.8925, 0.8861, 0.8744, 0.8608, 0.8500, 0.8455, 0.8483]
174
+ SSIM_std : [0.0165, 0.0096, 0.0110, 0.0146, 0.0296, 0.0333, 0.0351, 0.0378, 0.0320, 0.0199, 0.0133, 0.0137]
175
+
176
+ Storm 5: 2001-10-21 22:00 (Dst: -180.0 nT)
177
+
178
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
179
+ RMSE : [3.7588, 5.4434, 6.2158, 6.6084, 6.8585, 7.0387, 7.1961, 7.3829, 7.5947, 7.8179, 8.0664, 8.3742]
180
+ RMSE_std : [1.1419, 1.1768, 1.3575, 1.4900, 1.6197, 1.7074, 1.7677, 1.8342, 1.8965, 1.9274, 1.9623, 2.0048]
181
+ R² : [0.9838, 0.9678, 0.9581, 0.9527, 0.9489, 0.9461, 0.9436, 0.9405, 0.9368, 0.9330, 0.9285, 0.9228]
182
+ R²_std : [0.0122, 0.0137, 0.0170, 0.0195, 0.0223, 0.0242, 0.0255, 0.0273, 0.0293, 0.0312, 0.0335, 0.0363]
183
+ SSIM : [0.9568, 0.9185, 0.9025, 0.8967, 0.8939, 0.8922, 0.8906, 0.8887, 0.8868, 0.8852, 0.8830, 0.8793]
184
+ SSIM_std : [0.0194, 0.0253, 0.0299, 0.0315, 0.0331, 0.0340, 0.0348, 0.0351, 0.0352, 0.0352, 0.0354, 0.0360]
185
+
186
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
187
+ RMSE : [3.6120, 4.6759, 5.0169, 5.0345, 5.0287, 5.0086, 5.3405, 6.0883, 6.9054, 7.6869, 8.5700, 9.5251]
188
+ RMSE_std : [0.6045, 0.4761, 0.4457, 0.2622, 0.1616, 0.0941, 1.0608, 2.0478, 2.4650, 2.5343, 2.4092, 1.9438]
189
+ R² : [0.9865, 0.9777, 0.9743, 0.9741, 0.9744, 0.9749, 0.9715, 0.9631, 0.9536, 0.9428, 0.9295, 0.9130]
190
+ R²_std : [0.0048, 0.0042, 0.0044, 0.0030, 0.0020, 0.0010, 0.0111, 0.0229, 0.0283, 0.0313, 0.0327, 0.0305]
191
+ SSIM : [0.9552, 0.9233, 0.9159, 0.9176, 0.9185, 0.9192, 0.9096, 0.8922, 0.8752, 0.8573, 0.8387, 0.8208]
192
+ SSIM_std : [0.0113, 0.0096, 0.0129, 0.0077, 0.0058, 0.0057, 0.0301, 0.0502, 0.0563, 0.0555, 0.0506, 0.0388]
193
+
194
+ Storm 6: 2001-10-03 14:00 (Dst: -166.0 nT)
195
+
196
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
197
+ RMSE : [3.3812, 4.9961, 5.7249, 6.0147, 6.1261, 6.2128, 6.3031, 6.3922, 6.4888, 6.5809, 6.6716, 6.7911]
198
+ RMSE_std : [0.6670, 0.8131, 1.0095, 1.1035, 1.1846, 1.2585, 1.3145, 1.3316, 1.3181, 1.3211, 1.3216, 1.3258]
199
+ R² : [0.9870, 0.9721, 0.9632, 0.9591, 0.9571, 0.9555, 0.9539, 0.9524, 0.9508, 0.9492, 0.9476, 0.9454]
200
+ R²_std : [0.0055, 0.0084, 0.0122, 0.0144, 0.0165, 0.0180, 0.0193, 0.0198, 0.0200, 0.0206, 0.0210, 0.0220]
201
+ SSIM : [0.9603, 0.9242, 0.9091, 0.9045, 0.9038, 0.9033, 0.9024, 0.9017, 0.9014, 0.9010, 0.9006, 0.8990]
202
+ SSIM_std : [0.0117, 0.0183, 0.0229, 0.0245, 0.0253, 0.0262, 0.0269, 0.0272, 0.0270, 0.0268, 0.0267, 0.0265]
203
+
204
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
205
+ RMSE : [3.3957, 5.6161, 6.6237, 6.9951, 7.0758, 7.1159, 7.0730, 6.8637, 6.7033, 6.7624, 7.0458, 7.2950]
206
+ RMSE_std : [0.3875, 0.9296, 1.0649, 0.9226, 0.8313, 0.7456, 0.6908, 0.4995, 0.2472, 0.2947, 0.4977, 0.5120]
207
+ R² : [0.9889, 0.9699, 0.9580, 0.9526, 0.9512, 0.9498, 0.9491, 0.9513, 0.9532, 0.9529, 0.9496, 0.9464]
208
+ R²_std : [0.0020, 0.0082, 0.0110, 0.0093, 0.0075, 0.0063, 0.0073, 0.0062, 0.0038, 0.0029, 0.0063, 0.0072]
209
+ SSIM : [0.9545, 0.8995, 0.8766, 0.8714, 0.8733, 0.8773, 0.8814, 0.8880, 0.8919, 0.8895, 0.8825, 0.8770]
210
+ SSIM_std : [0.0103, 0.0245, 0.0272, 0.0236, 0.0248, 0.0266, 0.0234, 0.0134, 0.0076, 0.0105, 0.0125, 0.0095]
211
+
212
+ Storm 7: 2001-10-28 10:00 (Dst: -149.0 nT)
213
+
214
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
215
+ RMSE : [3.7100, 5.4785, 6.3117, 6.6821, 6.9059, 7.0596, 7.1898, 7.3029, 7.4161, 7.4961, 7.5588, 7.6491]
216
+ RMSE_std : [0.9048, 0.9604, 1.1124, 1.2242, 1.3106, 1.3697, 1.4075, 1.4321, 1.4686, 1.5206, 1.5810, 1.6107]
217
+ R² : [0.9841, 0.9666, 0.9557, 0.9503, 0.9469, 0.9444, 0.9423, 0.9405, 0.9386, 0.9373, 0.9361, 0.9345]
218
+ R²_std : [0.0095, 0.0116, 0.0153, 0.0179, 0.0198, 0.0211, 0.0222, 0.0231, 0.0244, 0.0259, 0.0277, 0.0288]
219
+ SSIM : [0.9571, 0.9165, 0.9003, 0.8954, 0.8928, 0.8909, 0.8892, 0.8876, 0.8859, 0.8845, 0.8834, 0.8817]
220
+ SSIM_std : [0.0148, 0.0228, 0.0272, 0.0279, 0.0279, 0.0281, 0.0285, 0.0287, 0.0289, 0.0294, 0.0302, 0.0307]
221
+
222
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
223
+ RMSE : [3.3185, 4.7124, 5.4071, 5.6677, 5.8824, 6.1299, 6.4978, 7.0216, 7.6518, 8.2834, 8.8572, 9.3914]
224
+ RMSE_std : [0.3707, 0.2050, 0.2240, 0.3291, 0.3372, 0.5274, 1.0402, 1.5659, 1.6604, 1.6961, 1.5806, 1.1615]
225
+ R² : [0.9877, 0.9756, 0.9678, 0.9643, 0.9612, 0.9585, 0.9553, 0.9498, 0.9422, 0.9339, 0.9263, 0.9191]
226
+ R²_std : [0.0029, 0.0021, 0.0030, 0.0046, 0.0050, 0.0064, 0.0107, 0.0171, 0.0191, 0.0214, 0.0217, 0.0177]
227
+ SSIM : [0.9655, 0.9327, 0.9179, 0.9113, 0.9046, 0.8969, 0.8856, 0.8732, 0.8583, 0.8441, 0.8325, 0.8254]
228
+ SSIM_std : [0.0045, 0.0034, 0.0068, 0.0068, 0.0104, 0.0184, 0.0286, 0.0355, 0.0358, 0.0345, 0.0282, 0.0197]
229
+
230
+ Storm 8: 2001-03-20 16:00 (Dst: -146.0 nT)
231
+
232
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
233
+ RMSE : [2.6239, 3.9819, 4.6678, 5.0216, 5.2558, 5.4214, 5.5431, 5.6409, 5.7276, 5.8103, 5.8917, 6.0288]
234
+ RMSE_std : [0.7974, 0.9523, 1.2012, 1.3680, 1.4747, 1.5451, 1.5809, 1.6117, 1.6354, 1.6649, 1.7008, 1.7034]
235
+ R² : [0.9883, 0.9744, 0.9649, 0.9593, 0.9555, 0.9527, 0.9507, 0.9491, 0.9478, 0.9464, 0.9450, 0.9428]
236
+ R²_std : [0.0080, 0.0103, 0.0153, 0.0188, 0.0212, 0.0227, 0.0235, 0.0242, 0.0248, 0.0257, 0.0270, 0.0278]
237
+ SSIM : [0.9713, 0.9434, 0.9287, 0.9222, 0.9187, 0.9167, 0.9152, 0.9141, 0.9132, 0.9124, 0.9115, 0.9091]
238
+ SSIM_std : [0.0136, 0.0192, 0.0258, 0.0299, 0.0323, 0.0337, 0.0346, 0.0352, 0.0357, 0.0364, 0.0373, 0.0380]
239
+
240
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
241
+ RMSE : [3.3895, 5.1936, 6.0924, 6.6724, 7.0068, 7.0801, 7.1738, 7.4642, 7.9162, 8.4438, 8.7902, 8.9497]
242
+ RMSE_std : [1.1112, 0.9170, 0.7006, 0.4427, 0.4887, 0.5078, 0.4077, 0.3738, 0.4602, 0.4449, 0.2447, 0.3781]
243
+ R² : [0.9836, 0.9647, 0.9533, 0.9453, 0.9399, 0.9376, 0.9343, 0.9262, 0.9145, 0.9007, 0.8911, 0.8866]
244
+ R²_std : [0.0100, 0.0091, 0.0079, 0.0061, 0.0072, 0.0064, 0.0040, 0.0071, 0.0117, 0.0121, 0.0075, 0.0124]
245
+ SSIM : [0.9564, 0.9153, 0.8915, 0.8773, 0.8691, 0.8669, 0.8636, 0.8553, 0.8452, 0.8362, 0.8324, 0.8316]
246
+ SSIM_std : [0.0216, 0.0236, 0.0211, 0.0114, 0.0047, 0.0050, 0.0050, 0.0089, 0.0095, 0.0047, 0.0048, 0.0104]
247
+
248
+ Storm 9: 2012-03-09 08:00 (Dst: -145.0 nT)
249
+
250
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
251
+ RMSE : [2.7369, 3.8375, 4.2640, 4.4361, 4.5129, 4.5389, 4.5440, 4.5515, 4.5936, 4.6441, 4.6856, 4.7498]
252
+ RMSE_std : [0.5347, 0.7377, 0.8117, 0.8661, 0.8806, 0.8599, 0.8772, 0.9300, 1.0078, 1.0734, 1.0995, 1.1030]
253
+ R² : [0.9746, 0.9499, 0.9383, 0.9333, 0.9310, 0.9305, 0.9305, 0.9300, 0.9284, 0.9266, 0.9254, 0.9235]
254
+ R²_std : [0.0093, 0.0184, 0.0227, 0.0260, 0.0274, 0.0266, 0.0263, 0.0277, 0.0307, 0.0342, 0.0367, 0.0380]
255
+ SSIM : [0.9586, 0.9275, 0.9166, 0.9131, 0.9117, 0.9115, 0.9120, 0.9121, 0.9117, 0.9109, 0.9103, 0.9086]
256
+ SSIM_std : [0.0129, 0.0190, 0.0203, 0.0205, 0.0206, 0.0202, 0.0208, 0.0219, 0.0230, 0.0240, 0.0250, 0.0250]
257
+
258
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
259
+ RMSE : [2.8487, 3.9550, 4.2476, 4.4577, 4.6514, 4.7008, 4.6847, 4.7558, 5.1601, 5.7180, 6.0608, 6.2956]
260
+ RMSE_std : [0.3834, 0.4768, 0.3300, 0.3304, 0.3500, 0.2956, 0.3409, 0.4315, 0.9310, 1.4678, 1.6762, 1.4981]
261
+ R² : [0.9688, 0.9411, 0.9345, 0.9320, 0.9296, 0.9331, 0.9373, 0.9373, 0.9272, 0.9119, 0.9005, 0.8936]
262
+ R²_std : [0.0089, 0.0138, 0.0126, 0.0131, 0.0160, 0.0128, 0.0082, 0.0083, 0.0255, 0.0404, 0.0460, 0.0409]
263
+ SSIM : [0.9562, 0.9209, 0.9138, 0.9111, 0.9104, 0.9160, 0.9211, 0.9220, 0.9109, 0.8969, 0.8847, 0.8772]
264
+ SSIM_std : [0.0088, 0.0124, 0.0137, 0.0158, 0.0178, 0.0120, 0.0080, 0.0065, 0.0253, 0.0348, 0.0419, 0.0401]
265
+
266
+ Storm 10: 2012-07-15 16:00 (Dst: -139.0 nT)
267
+
268
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
269
+ RMSE : [1.7140, 2.5611, 2.9264, 3.0930, 3.2052, 3.2884, 3.3587, 3.4237, 3.4707, 3.5018, 3.5248, 3.5760]
270
+ RMSE_std : [0.4322, 0.7423, 0.9312, 1.0267, 1.0867, 1.1553, 1.2241, 1.2678, 1.2680, 1.2564, 1.2762, 1.2901]
271
+ R² : [0.9735, 0.9395, 0.9195, 0.9090, 0.9017, 0.8959, 0.8905, 0.8854, 0.8817, 0.8792, 0.8767, 0.8726]
272
+ R²_std : [0.0124, 0.0329, 0.0474, 0.0554, 0.0604, 0.0660, 0.0724, 0.0780, 0.0807, 0.0820, 0.0865, 0.0913]
273
+ SSIM : [0.9760, 0.9542, 0.9444, 0.9406, 0.9381, 0.9361, 0.9342, 0.9325, 0.9316, 0.9311, 0.9307, 0.9292]
274
+ SSIM_std : [0.0088, 0.0180, 0.0240, 0.0275, 0.0294, 0.0313, 0.0335, 0.0356, 0.0365, 0.0368, 0.0373, 0.0376]
275
+
276
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
277
+ RMSE : [1.6498, 2.4638, 3.0084, 3.5605, 4.2894, 5.1160, 5.6096, 5.6956, 5.7064, 5.7196, 5.7090, 5.5874]
278
+ RMSE_std : [0.5768, 0.8654, 0.9629, 0.9152, 0.8771, 1.2559, 1.4282, 1.4818, 1.2809, 1.0053, 0.9708, 0.9192]
279
+ R² : [0.9773, 0.9508, 0.9289, 0.9056, 0.8726, 0.8305, 0.7972, 0.7849, 0.7781, 0.7728, 0.7649, 0.7539]
280
+ R²_std : [0.0127, 0.0280, 0.0369, 0.0380, 0.0405, 0.0611, 0.0770, 0.0820, 0.0675, 0.0376, 0.0254, 0.0243]
281
+ SSIM : [0.9769, 0.9565, 0.9420, 0.9311, 0.9175, 0.9026, 0.8922, 0.8885, 0.8850, 0.8786, 0.8707, 0.8679]
282
+ SSIM_std : [0.0103, 0.0180, 0.0214, 0.0193, 0.0129, 0.0224, 0.0287, 0.0291, 0.0256, 0.0186, 0.0130, 0.0123]
283
+
284
+ Storm 11: 2012-10-01 04:00 (Dst: -122.0 nT)
285
+
286
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
287
+ RMSE : [2.6136, 3.8151, 4.2835, 4.5289, 4.6871, 4.7659, 4.7990, 4.8162, 4.8309, 4.8571, 4.9011, 5.0016]
288
+ RMSE_std : [0.5557, 0.8576, 1.0035, 1.0900, 1.1702, 1.2412, 1.2869, 1.3239, 1.3736, 1.4351, 1.4873, 1.5003]
289
+ R² : [0.9794, 0.9558, 0.9440, 0.9369, 0.9319, 0.9291, 0.9277, 0.9268, 0.9259, 0.9245, 0.9227, 0.9193]
290
+ R²_std : [0.0074, 0.0166, 0.0220, 0.0250, 0.0284, 0.0315, 0.0328, 0.0336, 0.0351, 0.0374, 0.0391, 0.0393]
291
+ SSIM : [0.9655, 0.9374, 0.9280, 0.9239, 0.9211, 0.9198, 0.9192, 0.9191, 0.9190, 0.9188, 0.9185, 0.9167]
292
+ SSIM_std : [0.0111, 0.0216, 0.0264, 0.0285, 0.0304, 0.0320, 0.0330, 0.0336, 0.0343, 0.0349, 0.0356, 0.0357]
293
+
294
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
295
+ RMSE : [2.4653, 3.5259, 3.8606, 4.0373, 4.2243, 4.4621, 4.7796, 5.1702, 5.8392, 6.6414, 7.4085, 7.9553]
296
+ RMSE_std : [0.2470, 0.3113, 0.2695, 0.2481, 0.3031, 0.4120, 0.4744, 0.8228, 1.3711, 1.6940, 1.7342, 1.4746]
297
+ R² : [0.9807, 0.9605, 0.9532, 0.9499, 0.9465, 0.9413, 0.9346, 0.9260, 0.9103, 0.8882, 0.8625, 0.8424]
298
+ R²_std : [0.0041, 0.0071, 0.0063, 0.0058, 0.0059, 0.0084, 0.0092, 0.0174, 0.0328, 0.0462, 0.0557, 0.0521]
299
+ SSIM : [0.9690, 0.9449, 0.9380, 0.9324, 0.9254, 0.9177, 0.9096, 0.8994, 0.8834, 0.8652, 0.8495, 0.8382]
300
+ SSIM_std : [0.0040, 0.0065, 0.0078, 0.0128, 0.0168, 0.0190, 0.0165, 0.0212, 0.0327, 0.0362, 0.0352, 0.0291]
301
+
302
+ Storm 12: 2012-04-24 04:00 (Dst: -120.0 nT)
303
+
304
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
305
+ RMSE : [2.5177, 3.7393, 4.2489, 4.4490, 4.5436, 4.6019, 4.6219, 4.6151, 4.6068, 4.6199, 4.6292, 4.6543]
306
+ RMSE_std : [0.4770, 0.6807, 0.8219, 0.8882, 0.9177, 0.9492, 0.9926, 1.0344, 1.0964, 1.1481, 1.2003, 1.2172]
307
+ R² : [0.9808, 0.9575, 0.9445, 0.9389, 0.9363, 0.9346, 0.9340, 0.9341, 0.9341, 0.9334, 0.9327, 0.9318]
308
+ R²_std : [0.0061, 0.0140, 0.0213, 0.0251, 0.0257, 0.0259, 0.0267, 0.0273, 0.0294, 0.0323, 0.0350, 0.0361]
309
+ SSIM : [0.9661, 0.9362, 0.9249, 0.9212, 0.9196, 0.9189, 0.9189, 0.9193, 0.9196, 0.9195, 0.9195, 0.9185]
310
+ SSIM_std : [0.0109, 0.0188, 0.0222, 0.0244, 0.0256, 0.0263, 0.0272, 0.0279, 0.0288, 0.0291, 0.0295, 0.0295]
311
+
312
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
313
+ RMSE : [2.3922, 3.4479, 3.8048, 3.8795, 3.8763, 4.0825, 4.4926, 4.9659, 5.5916, 6.1169, 6.5789, 7.0600]
314
+ RMSE_std : [0.3271, 0.5291, 0.6104, 0.6587, 0.5784, 0.6434, 1.0979, 1.4380, 1.6284, 1.5836, 1.1858, 0.6544]
315
+ R² : [0.9828, 0.9656, 0.9589, 0.9572, 0.9576, 0.9524, 0.9422, 0.9315, 0.9177, 0.9060, 0.8930, 0.8726]
316
+ R²_std : [0.0038, 0.0079, 0.0100, 0.0114, 0.0096, 0.0130, 0.0238, 0.0312, 0.0359, 0.0353, 0.0271, 0.0310]
317
+ SSIM : [0.9713, 0.9491, 0.9413, 0.9418, 0.9411, 0.9331, 0.9184, 0.9047, 0.8883, 0.8735, 0.8598, 0.8485]
318
+ SSIM_std : [0.0042, 0.0076, 0.0093, 0.0105, 0.0114, 0.0253, 0.0403, 0.0457, 0.0461, 0.0412, 0.0263, 0.0087]
319
+
320
+ Storm 13: 2001-04-18 06:00 (Dst: -114.0 nT)
321
+
322
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
323
+ RMSE : [2.3450, 3.4644, 3.9548, 4.1459, 4.2240, 4.2577, 4.2835, 4.3265, 4.3718, 4.4163, 4.4657, 4.5787]
324
+ RMSE_std : [0.6213, 0.6608, 0.8253, 0.9490, 1.0040, 1.0335, 1.0426, 1.0384, 1.0594, 1.0874, 1.1044, 1.1200]
325
+ R² : [0.9889, 0.9766, 0.9693, 0.9660, 0.9645, 0.9637, 0.9632, 0.9624, 0.9614, 0.9604, 0.9595, 0.9576]
326
+ R²_std : [0.0071, 0.0085, 0.0122, 0.0150, 0.0165, 0.0176, 0.0181, 0.0184, 0.0192, 0.0201, 0.0207, 0.0209]
327
+ SSIM : [0.9758, 0.9537, 0.9443, 0.9411, 0.9401, 0.9398, 0.9397, 0.9393, 0.9391, 0.9388, 0.9386, 0.9372]
328
+ SSIM_std : [0.0100, 0.0130, 0.0176, 0.0205, 0.0222, 0.0231, 0.0234, 0.0233, 0.0235, 0.0237, 0.0237, 0.0237]
329
+
330
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
331
+ RMSE : [1.9573, 2.8069, 2.9636, 2.9238, 2.9756, 3.1350, 3.5134, 4.1503, 4.8645, 5.5426, 6.1822, 6.7261]
332
+ RMSE_std : [0.1187, 0.1029, 0.1389, 0.1084, 0.2252, 0.3616, 0.7618, 1.4497, 1.8640, 1.8369, 1.6612, 1.3214]
333
+ R² : [0.9918, 0.9832, 0.9812, 0.9817, 0.9810, 0.9789, 0.9738, 0.9641, 0.9521, 0.9397, 0.9262, 0.9149]
334
+ R²_std : [0.0009, 0.0013, 0.0020, 0.0016, 0.0027, 0.0047, 0.0105, 0.0220, 0.0302, 0.0319, 0.0319, 0.0267]
335
+ SSIM : [0.9810, 0.9627, 0.9599, 0.9616, 0.9608, 0.9587, 0.9520, 0.9391, 0.9234, 0.9080, 0.8933, 0.8823]
336
+ SSIM_std : [0.0018, 0.0027, 0.0024, 0.0015, 0.0044, 0.0066, 0.0146, 0.0298, 0.0410, 0.0431, 0.0389, 0.0301]
337
+
338
+ Storm 14: 2012-10-09 08:00 (Dst: -109.0 nT)
339
+
340
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
341
+ RMSE : [2.0994, 3.0391, 3.4034, 3.5812, 3.6647, 3.7027, 3.7455, 3.7794, 3.8019, 3.8489, 3.8927, 3.9561]
342
+ RMSE_std : [0.3761, 0.6369, 0.8023, 0.8340, 0.8356, 0.8503, 0.8818, 0.9097, 0.9149, 0.9014, 0.9344, 0.9721]
343
+ R² : [0.9810, 0.9598, 0.9494, 0.9443, 0.9419, 0.9410, 0.9397, 0.9387, 0.9381, 0.9369, 0.9356, 0.9338]
344
+ R²_std : [0.0057, 0.0154, 0.0218, 0.0228, 0.0227, 0.0233, 0.0248, 0.0261, 0.0266, 0.0264, 0.0275, 0.0288]
345
+ SSIM : [0.9719, 0.9492, 0.9412, 0.9373, 0.9352, 0.9344, 0.9338, 0.9333, 0.9329, 0.9319, 0.9307, 0.9285]
346
+ SSIM_std : [0.0071, 0.0139, 0.0177, 0.0194, 0.0204, 0.0214, 0.0225, 0.0232, 0.0234, 0.0234, 0.0247, 0.0268]
347
+
348
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
349
+ RMSE : [2.4782, 3.8676, 4.4396, 4.6979, 4.8018, 4.9115, 5.2325, 5.4599, 5.6382, 5.7230, 5.7507, 5.7520]
350
+ RMSE_std : [0.2349, 0.5992, 0.7197, 0.6355, 0.7723, 0.7636, 0.7115, 0.7414, 0.7025, 0.4503, 0.4862, 0.4174]
351
+ R² : [0.9723, 0.9315, 0.9116, 0.9069, 0.9083, 0.9079, 0.9003, 0.8960, 0.8913, 0.8862, 0.8809, 0.8740]
352
+ R²_std : [0.0053, 0.0251, 0.0340, 0.0266, 0.0205, 0.0155, 0.0158, 0.0204, 0.0241, 0.0187, 0.0177, 0.0161]
353
+ SSIM : [0.9627, 0.9298, 0.9186, 0.9115, 0.9077, 0.9065, 0.9016, 0.8945, 0.8869, 0.8810, 0.8766, 0.8713]
354
+ SSIM_std : [0.0079, 0.0123, 0.0104, 0.0107, 0.0157, 0.0179, 0.0187, 0.0213, 0.0212, 0.0151, 0.0161, 0.0155]
355
+
356
+ Storm 15: 2001-11-01 10:00 (Dst: -106.0 nT)
357
+
358
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
359
+ RMSE : [3.5405, 5.2942, 6.1058, 6.4860, 6.7237, 6.9069, 7.0559, 7.1606, 7.2424, 7.3051, 7.3640, 7.4777]
360
+ RMSE_std : [0.7907, 0.7108, 0.7930, 0.8980, 1.0164, 1.1236, 1.1991, 1.2398, 1.2578, 1.2652, 1.2640, 1.2787]
361
+ R² : [0.9859, 0.9694, 0.9593, 0.9539, 0.9501, 0.9471, 0.9445, 0.9428, 0.9414, 0.9405, 0.9396, 0.9376]
362
+ R²_std : [0.0080, 0.0089, 0.0112, 0.0132, 0.0152, 0.0170, 0.0184, 0.0191, 0.0192, 0.0191, 0.0190, 0.0194]
363
+ SSIM : [0.9574, 0.9158, 0.8991, 0.8941, 0.8920, 0.8909, 0.8903, 0.8898, 0.8895, 0.8894, 0.8894, 0.8883]
364
+ SSIM_std : [0.0142, 0.0195, 0.0237, 0.0254, 0.0265, 0.0276, 0.0282, 0.0283, 0.0278, 0.0273, 0.0266, 0.0256]
365
+
366
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
367
+ RMSE : [2.9920, 4.4276, 5.2856, 5.8163, 6.2489, 6.7781, 7.3869, 8.1150, 8.8248, 9.3694, 9.7828, 10.0447]
368
+ RMSE_std : [0.3542, 0.4762, 0.7145, 0.7578, 0.8049, 0.9404, 1.1177, 1.2816, 1.3554, 1.3781, 1.1904, 0.8591]
369
+ R² : [0.9901, 0.9785, 0.9694, 0.9635, 0.9580, 0.9507, 0.9414, 0.9298, 0.9183, 0.9096, 0.9037, 0.9011]
370
+ R²_std : [0.0023, 0.0047, 0.0082, 0.0091, 0.0101, 0.0129, 0.0168, 0.0208, 0.0233, 0.0239, 0.0206, 0.0153]
371
+ SSIM : [0.9685, 0.9374, 0.9166, 0.9015, 0.8867, 0.8704, 0.8564, 0.8426, 0.8315, 0.8274, 0.8247, 0.8253]
372
+ SSIM_std : [0.0055, 0.0113, 0.0277, 0.0325, 0.0343, 0.0342, 0.0308, 0.0229, 0.0121, 0.0111, 0.0086, 0.0085]
373
+
374
+ Storm 16: 2012-11-14 06:00 (Dst: -103.0 nT)
375
+
376
+ ── FullPeriod Per-Horizon Metrics ──
377
+ RMSE : [2.4853, 3.6361, 4.1090, 4.3275, 4.4652, 4.5598, 4.6512, 4.7458, 4.8507, 4.9413, 5.0086, 5.1173]
378
+ RMSE_std : [0.6071, 1.0126, 1.3110, 1.4864, 1.5836, 1.6439, 1.6850, 1.7179, 1.7280, 1.7324, 1.7242, 1.6772]
379
+ R² : [0.9792, 0.9553, 0.9424, 0.9359, 0.9315, 0.9285, 0.9257, 0.9230, 0.9201, 0.9176, 0.9159, 0.9132]
380
+ R²_std : [0.0081, 0.0205, 0.0310, 0.0372, 0.0413, 0.0447, 0.0471, 0.0487, 0.0496, 0.0503, 0.0501, 0.0489]
381
+ SSIM : [0.9656, 0.9358, 0.9239, 0.9188, 0.9156, 0.9138, 0.9124, 0.9112, 0.9101, 0.9092, 0.9088, 0.9073]
382
+ SSIM_std : [0.0107, 0.0222, 0.0299, 0.0337, 0.0358, 0.0376, 0.0390, 0.0399, 0.0402, 0.0404, 0.0403, 0.0396]
383
+
384
+ ── MainPhase Per-Horizon Metrics ──
385
+ RMSE : [2.4758, 3.3972, 3.8537, 3.9188, 4.0696, 4.6533, 5.4433, 6.5058, 7.4335, 8.0091, 8.6314, 8.9008]
386
+ RMSE_std : [0.3207, 0.4062, 0.6399, 0.5380, 0.5819, 1.2670, 1.6717, 2.0081, 2.0385, 1.8541, 1.3377, 0.8837]
387
+ R² : [0.9763, 0.9560, 0.9447, 0.9461, 0.9461, 0.9344, 0.9169, 0.8914, 0.8669, 0.8497, 0.8293, 0.8181]
388
+ R²_std : [0.0068, 0.0144, 0.0253, 0.0193, 0.0132, 0.0282, 0.0378, 0.0454, 0.0479, 0.0455, 0.0342, 0.0151]
389
+ SSIM : [0.9644, 0.9385, 0.9285, 0.9249, 0.9168, 0.9033, 0.8891, 0.8720, 0.8564, 0.8441, 0.8329, 0.8267]
390
+ SSIM_std : [0.0066, 0.0103, 0.0127, 0.0138, 0.0209, 0.0307, 0.0349, 0.0340, 0.0331, 0.0318, 0.0227, 0.0118]