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- ---
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- license: apache-2.0
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- ---
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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+ ---
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+ license: apache-2.0
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+ language:
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+ - en
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+ pipeline_tag: tabular-regression
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+ tags:
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+ - tubular-regression
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+ - demand-forecasting
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+ ---
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+
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+ # Shelfy: Tomorrow's Best Sellers
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+ **AI Demand Prediction** - Rank products by tomorrow's conversion rate. Top 30% products captures **50% of actual sales**.
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+
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+ ## Usage
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+ 1. Enter today's product stats
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+ 2. See tomorrow's predicted conversion + revenue
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+ 3. **Stock Top 10% products → 2.5x ROI**
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+
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+ ## Business Results (42M events test)
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+ - Top 10% → **25.4%** sales - ROI: **2.5x** <br>
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+ - Top 30% → **52.1%** sales - ROI: **1.7x** <br>
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+ - **Test:** Oct 25-29 (blind) **Dataset:** 42M ecommerce events
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+
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+ ## Features
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+ - **Live prediction** - Tomorrow's conversion rate per product
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+ - **Demand signals** - High / Medium / Low
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+ - **production features** - Views, carts, momentum, intent ratios
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+
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+ ## Model Card
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+ - Architecture: XGBoost Regressor
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+ - Features (8): views(29%) + carts(29%) + cart momentum(13%) + user metrics(17%) + other(2%)
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+ - Target: Tomorrow's purchase rate (actual purchases / views)
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+ - Stability: 82% day-to-day Top 10% products overlap
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+
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+ ## Production Stack
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+ - Data: Clickstream (views, carts, purchases)
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+ - Stack: Python + XGBoost + FastAPI + PostgreSQL
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+ - Retraining: Weekly with shelfy's real data
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+
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+ ## Tech Stack
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+ - Model: shelfy_purchase_rate_v2.joblib (XGBoost)
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+ - UI: Gradio 4.44.0
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+ - Data: Ecommerce behavior (Oct 2019)
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+
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+ ---
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+ **Built for datastorm hackathon** | **Apache 2.0** | **Deployed 1/16/2026**